Tuesday, May 19th, 2009 at 11:49 am  |  90 responses

Lakers/Nuggs Series Preview

Will the Nuggets become Hollywood fool’s gold?

Chauncey Billups & Kobe Bryant

by Myles Brown

Life’s expectations can be trapping. Misconceptions can make us their unwitting prey and it can be a struggle to accept that many of our dreams and desires will be denied. Life’s path is long, its opportunities few, and its lessons most often are absorbed through defeat.

Life can be hard. In fact, life can be war. With one’s self and surroundings in a battle to forge an identity and seize what’s rightfully ours.

Denver’s escape from the first round certainly has been impressive, though any idiot on ESPN could tell you to look at the schedule. The Hornets did everything short of fold their arms and stare back at Byron Scott and were it not for the most egregious of officiating blunders in Dallas things might have taken a turn for the worse in that series. But regardless of how you look at it, the fact of the matter remains that the Nuggets haven’t proven themselves under duress.

The Lakers failure to maintain a chokehold on the competition has been nothing short of disappointing, though when enraged something is still to be said for their power. As it should also be said that the Jazz and Rockets were missing key players, however both teams still proposed a number of problems for any opponent undermanned at point guard and weak willed in the post. But regardless of how you look at it, the fact of the matter remains that the Lakers have proven themselves to be vulnerable.

Last year in L.A. the Lakers march through May began with the Nuggets and now that same team is the final obstacle to surmount in escaping a bloodthirsty Western Conference. Any prior doubts concerning Denver’s character were removed in that same series last year and now they have a chance not only to reclaim their honor, but stake their claim to a ring.

And now is all either of these teams have. Though they’re both primarily young, Chauncey Billups and Kobe Bryant aren’t getting any younger. The Nuggets are rebellious and determined, defying convention and making their own rules. The Lakers are a flummoxed giant, incapable of focusing their strength until pushed to the brink of collapse. Both will attempt to defeat the forces and frailties that torment them, but only one of them can escape. And whoever doesn’t make it might finally go f*cking crazy.

What will happen?

Lakers in six. It’s right there, you figure it out.

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  • http://www.manutd.com Z

    Something must be said about LA’s defensive abilities against Denver as well. Denver can score in bunches and they have lots of firepower. When they play Chauncey with JR and Melo on the wings and basically two targets for lobs inside in KMart and Nene… it can get ugly real fast. I think this is going to be a track meet.

  • http://ittakesanationofmillionstoholdthissac.blogspot.com ciolkstar

    Denver also led the league in FT attempts all season, and one of LA’s biggest defensive deficeincies is stopping penetration and potecting the rim. Denver will need to be solid on the glass, espceially defensively to keep Pau and Bynum from getting easy putbacks. If Denver can get some TOs, and hit 8 or so threes, the Lakers will need their role players to step up bigtime. I actually think Ariza will be a MAJOR X factor, defensively against Melo and on offense. When he and Odom are nailing open threes and scoring efficiently the Lakers are at their best.

  • Tenorca

    All I know is Magic/Cavs pales in comparison to this series. I have high hopes. I’ll be pulling for Denver but I’m really pulling for a game 7.

  • http://web.mac.com/roaringred bbaby

    Ryan, I know this is off topic but I wanted to know if you had seen the Evan Longoria issue of ESPN the Magazine.

  • http://effyou@heythere.com Allenp

    Everybody
    No doubt Denver can score. They have a balanced attack.
    There is no question LA has had problems on defense. The question is why?
    Lack of effort.
    Now, when the Lakers are locked in, they can and do play defense. The Nuggets have a clear offensive advantage at point guard, and a probable advantage at small forward, although I’m not convinced it’s as great as people think. They have no advantage when it comes to Nene. None with Martin or even J.R. Smith, who while explosive, so unpredictable and putrid on defense that it’s hard to put him in the plus column.
    I think LA is equipped to defend all of the Nuggets’ offensive strengths, except for point guard. And, I think the only way the Nuggets exploit the Lakers is if Chauncey posts up regularly. (I’m not convinced he can break Fisher down off the bounch anymore. Not because Fisher is so good, but because Chauncey has lost a step and isn’t finishing as well at the rim.) Unfortunately, if they do post Chauncey the forces Nene away from the basket and makes Melo a jumpshooter. I think the Nuggets strengths don’t outweigh the Lakers strengths, but, I admit that this is all predicated on the Lakers playing with effort every game. If they take games off, then the whole series changes.

  • http://ittakesanationofmillionstoholdthissac.blogspot.com ciolkstar

    I think if Denver takes one of the first two in LA they win the series. If not, and it hurts to even type this, it’ll be LA in seven. And for all JR’s scizophrenic play, he yet to go supernova in these playoffs, the sooner it happens the better.
    Either way, I’m tired of the debate and ready for some good ball tonight!

  • Harlem_World

    Gasol is the key to this series. And to negate Gasol, you have to be physical. Bang him. Move away from the finesse game. Kenyon, while undersized, can be physical. Whoever he matches up with has to be aggressive and attack the basket. Lakers are a different team with him out of the mix. Bynum is overrated. A Lamar Odom sighting could also change the series, but who knows if thats going to happen…

  • http://sfdjilf.com Jukai

    Allenp: did you watch how Kidd posted up Chauncy and simultaneously hit cutters on three straight possessions when the Mavs were cheated a game against the Nuggets? Not saying that Chauncy’s got the vision that Kidd has (even now) but let’s combine the pure strength advantage that Chauncy has over the cutters the Nuggets have, and this could cause some problem with the Lakers offense. Not saying they’d run this every possession, but it’ll get them some baskets.
    On the flipside, while Chauncy will do DAMAGE, I agree with Allenp that he doesn’t have the advantage that Aaron Brooks had. Aaron Brooks was downright speed, and the Lakers defense at the point have no lateral motion, so it was easy for Brooks to get bucket after bucket. Chauncy is and always has been mostly a jump shooter. So that advantage that the Nuggets have at the point wont be utilized as well.

  • http://sfdjilf.com Jukai

    I mean, hell, pretty much I agree with 95% of what Allenp says, and we never agree, so Lakers in six. And yes, they close on the road.

  • J Dizzle

    The Lakers are notorious for not showing up against mediocre teams. I’m not surprised the Rockets put up that good of a fight, even without some key players. Sure they were undermanned, but like I said: the Lakers always seem to not show up against teams they aren’t scared of. And it seems like everyone forgot what happened last year. Boston went seven games against the 8 seed Atlanta, but went on the handle the Lakers in the finals. How can you say the Lakers are going to fail, just because they went seven with the Rockets? I think the fact that Boston and Atlanta went seven games last year was just as bad, if not worse, than the Lakers/Rockets series going to seven this year. Atlanta was nothing compared to the (even Yao-less)Rockets squad the Lakers were facing. Yet Boston still stayed strong and took it all. Expect the Lakers to the same thing. They take it in 5 or 6 games against Denver. Then in 4 or 5 against the Cavs.

  • http://ittakesanationofmillionstoholdthissac.blogspot.com ciolkstar

    Thats my biggest point of contention there Jukster. the Lakers haven’t shown me ANYTHING theis season, or really in the past two years, to suggest they’ll be able to close a desperate Nugget team at home (where they play extremely well), if it goes to a game 7 in LA I think LA has an advantage. But I don’t see them closing Denver in Denver.

  • http://ittakesanationofmillionstoholdthissac.blogspot.com ciolkstar

    And I don’t think yall are giving Chauncey enough credit, he’s a bull with the ball and when he drives he’s sure to atleast draw fouls, even if Fish is on his hip. If the Nuggets can steal this one tonight I think they win the series. If LA comes out and dominates, I may have to start writing about how they’ll have ‘No Chance’ against the Cavs.

  • Tenorca

    J Dizzle:
    The difference for me is that while the Celtics were pushed to the brink, they looked hungry and motivated. They never folded like the Lakeshow did in Games 4 and 6 last series. That was sorry. The thing here is that the Nuggets do in fact have a solid chance to win and will come to play every single game. Since you can’t say the same about the Lakers, I call it like I see it.

  • Igor

    Lakers in 6 games!!!

  • http://www.hibachi20.blogspot.com BETCATS

    You all fail. Let me break it down: The Lakers offense is better than the Nuggets offense. The Nuggets defense is better than the Lakers offense. The Nuggets offense is better than the Lakers defense, thus giving Denver the advantage in a 1/2 court game and LA the advantage in a run-and-gun game. That being said, Nuggets in 6! Nuggets in 6! Nuggets in 6! Nuggets in 6! Nuggets in 6! Nuggets in 6!

  • http://www.kb24.com The Seed

    Denver plays no defense, if Dallas can average 107 points a game against them and should have been 2-2 not for a ref not calling a foul, who knows what would have happen. Lakers have to many scorers for Denver to handle. The only way Denver can make this a series if they win game one. Lakers in 5.

  • http://joeloholic.wordpress.com Joel O’s

    Nuggets. Seven. Obliterated both opponents in playoffs, as opposed to sleeping through the first and then struggling to put away a Yao-less Houston.

  • Teddy-the-Bear

    @ Myles: Why do you have to act all high and mighty for? You predicted the Lakers would win, as MOST people did (except for us Rockets fans, obviously). But don’t forget you also said the Lakers would win in 5 games, with ease.
    Why don’t you mention the fact that the Rockets d@mn near BEAT the Lakers?

  • http://joeloholic.wordpress.com Joel O’s

    @ciolkstar: Right on with the Billups observation. He led the Pistons to beating that HOF-laden Laker lineup five years ago.

  • Teddy-the-Bear

    Joel O’s.

  • chintao

    The “X-factor” appears to be George Karl. Fil is no brain surgeon, but GK just handed the Lakers Game 1 by subbing-in Anthony Carter. Words cannot express my dismay.

  • http://www.twitter.com/TheDiesel Anton

    Gotta hit your free throws

  • http://Double-technical.blogspot.com Zee!

    40 spot. And billiups was out of bounds.

  • clapzilla

    Nuggets’ 4th Quarter Offense Was What Killed Them. The Only Thing That Kept It Afloat Was Melo’s Offensive Rebounds. The Lakers’ Bigs Were Trash Tonight. Denver’s Got This Series If They Can’t Get Their Heads On Straight, Which Probably Won’t Happen.

  • http://Nicekicks.com Meloman156

    Hey guys! does anyone remember me?? im the on who started the noise about anthony carter being the worst player in the history of the league. well, i’ve calmed down a bit over the past few months, mainly because Ac has managed to Not screw up as much. But just When u think the man has turned the corner….BAMMM!! there goes Game 1. I hate this guy more then any person i’ve ever hated before and i still don’t know y Karl insists on giving him precious PT. can u guys pleeeese send a memo to coach Karl notifying him of the $h*tness that lies on his bench< thanks

  • http://fjdklsf.com Jukai

    Hey guys, remember when everyone said Gasol was the X-factor and I said that it was going to be Kobe who was going to have a feel day?
    Because, you know. Tadaaaaa!

  • http://www.lkz.ch Darksaber

    Damn. Bad decisions from the Nuggs in the 4th, sometimes you gotta take your foot off the gaspedal to see what unfolds before you. Melo finally understanding that he’s basically a smoother version of Lebron with a better jumper and the same nightmarish mismatch qualities has been fun these playoffs. My dislike for him (began in slapalozoola at MSG, really burned brightly at Beijing 08) is fading…fast. He did what he wanted to KB/Ariza/Walton this game, and played some smashmouth D on Kobe at times, more often than not making him miss shots. Nene, get your head outta your butt!!! Nuggets aren’t winning when their crunchtime lineup is Billups (being guarded all 4th quarter long by Ariza = genius move by Phil), AJ (apart from the stupid turnover, he actually did a good job on Kobe, would have helped if he hit his two WIDE OPEN shots in the fourth thought), Birdman (too erratic on O), Kenyon (played well, until the 4th started) and Melo (didn’t get enough touches in the fourth). Key to the Lakers getting the turnaround was Gasol though. a rejection AND a charge taken, that was the game right there. That and Fisher always keeping the game in range with his damn three’s. great game to watch.

  • http://www.lkz.ch Darksaber

    Wait till JR gets back.. oh, wait…

  • http://Nicekicks.com Meloman156

    And why do the Nuggets Refuse to give Melo the rock at crucnh time. i know he should demand it but i can’t imagine him not saying anything about it

  • clapzilla

    Ariza Holding Melo To 14-20 Shooting Was One of The Best Defensive Performances The Game Has Ever Seen. Give That Man Finals MVP Right Now!

  • http://www.twitter.com/TheDiesel Anton

    Wait till Bynum gets back…oh, wait…

  • http://sportzin.com Joey E.

    JR sprained his knee. will be evaluated in the morning. looked pretty similar to KG’s

  • chazz michael michaels

    denver will win for many reasons if u hav a problem with it u can come lick my bootyhole

  • http://www.mynameinorange.blogspot.com Hisham

    ^very sensible and well thought out comment

  • http://ittakesanationofmillionstoholdthissac.blogspot.com ciolkstar

    As long were comparing X factors – I said it would be Ariza, while he got shredded by Carmelo, one could argue that his two steals were the Lakers biggest plays of the game. Heartbreaking loss but the Nuggets outplayed the Lakers and I really don’t see why it couldn’t happen again in game 2. Billups and JR had off nights and while Melo probably won’t replicate his game 1 performance, his J is most certainly fire right now, and his confidence should still be sky high.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Cub Buenning

    When using the abbreviated version of the Nuggets, the use of “Nugs” is more accepted than “Nuggs.”

  • chintao

    ^ Mr. Manners with a local take on abbreviation etiquette.

  • http://www.triplejunearthed.com/dacre Dacre

    Cub what about Nuggies…?

  • http://effyou@heythere.com Allenp

    I got a lot of my predictions wrong and the Lakers still won.

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