Tuesday, May 19th, 2009 at 11:49 am  |  90 responses

Lakers/Nuggs Series Preview

Will the Nuggets become Hollywood fool’s gold?

Chauncey Billups & Kobe Bryant

by Myles Brown

Life’s expectations can be trapping. Misconceptions can make us their unwitting prey and it can be a struggle to accept that many of our dreams and desires will be denied. Life’s path is long, its opportunities few, and its lessons most often are absorbed through defeat.

Life can be hard. In fact, life can be war. With one’s self and surroundings in a battle to forge an identity and seize what’s rightfully ours.

Denver’s escape from the first round certainly has been impressive, though any idiot on ESPN could tell you to look at the schedule. The Hornets did everything short of fold their arms and stare back at Byron Scott and were it not for the most egregious of officiating blunders in Dallas things might have taken a turn for the worse in that series. But regardless of how you look at it, the fact of the matter remains that the Nuggets haven’t proven themselves under duress.

The Lakers failure to maintain a chokehold on the competition has been nothing short of disappointing, though when enraged something is still to be said for their power. As it should also be said that the Jazz and Rockets were missing key players, however both teams still proposed a number of problems for any opponent undermanned at point guard and weak willed in the post. But regardless of how you look at it, the fact of the matter remains that the Lakers have proven themselves to be vulnerable.

Last year in L.A. the Lakers march through May began with the Nuggets and now that same team is the final obstacle to surmount in escaping a bloodthirsty Western Conference. Any prior doubts concerning Denver’s character were removed in that same series last year and now they have a chance not only to reclaim their honor, but stake their claim to a ring.

And now is all either of these teams have. Though they’re both primarily young, Chauncey Billups and Kobe Bryant aren’t getting any younger. The Nuggets are rebellious and determined, defying convention and making their own rules. The Lakers are a flummoxed giant, incapable of focusing their strength until pushed to the brink of collapse. Both will attempt to defeat the forces and frailties that torment them, but only one of them can escape. And whoever doesn’t make it might finally go f*cking crazy.

What will happen?

Lakers in six. It’s right there, you figure it out.

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  • http://www.slamonline.com Ryan Jones

    .

  • http://www.slamonline.com Ryan Jones

    So Big Chief Triangle snuffs out the home team’s biggest and most famous fan? I gotta be honest man, I don’t see Phil trying to do Jack like that.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Ryan Jones

    Also, that’s a foul on Kobe. And a flagrant 2 on Chief.

  • http://slamonline.com/ Ryne Nelson

    Couldn’t say it more succinctly than this. Outside of Billups and Martin, the Nuggets have not been to this stage. L.A. takes this series easier than most would expect.

  • http://double-technical.blogspot.com Zee!

    Myles, thank you for this article/PSA. Strangely, it’s 12:25 pm in the east and no one has commented. No one as in the usual haters.

  • http://lastknickstanding.blogspot.com Bryan

    I can’t say I’d be mad to see either team win. I love kobe, but a cavs denver series would be good also. Sh*t a nugs v. Magic series would be pretty good too.

  • Dionisio

    That clip has a whole lot of crazy, but I don’t think it’s the best for this article; especially since you say Lakers in 6. I mean, wouldn’t Jack represent the Lakers…?

  • http://effyou@heythere.com Allenp

    So, the Lakers are the Chief, huh?
    I didn’t watch the clip, but given your giant reference and your past allusion to One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s nest, that’s what I’m going with.
    I agree with you on your assessment of the Nuggets previous opponents, and I think this series offers some interesting matchups. Whoever wins the most of them, wins the series.
    Kobe vs. The Bums
    Pau vs. Kenyon
    Bynum vs. Nene
    Fisher vs. Billups
    Melo vs. Ariza.
    My guess is that Kobe, Pau and, surprisingly, Ariza, win their matchups. Bynum and Nene is a wash and Billups abuses Fisher like it’s 2005 all over again.
    Lakers in six.

  • http://www.slamonline.com george

    Nice article Myles but if the Lakers are going to have problems with a depleted Houston team how are they going to handle the Nuggets. Odom and Jones are the ex-factors. Jones is not expected to shut Kobe down just hold him under 30. Thats a good nights work.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Ryan Jones

    “Jones is not expected to shut Kobe down”
    George must be new around here or he’d know me better than that.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Ryan Jones

    Funny thing about this series: “Everybody” is doubting the Lakers because of how they played v. Houston, and “everybody” is impressed by the mission the Nuggets seem to be on… and yet “everybody” I’ve read here and everywhere else is picking the Lakers, usually in six. It’s cool when the reverse-upset pick is actually unanimous consensus.

  • http://www.twitter.com/TheDiesel Anton

    I think the team who scores the most points will win.

  • http://www.slamonline.com george

    You are cuckoo Allen.Ariza can’t gaurd ‘mello, Nene will eat that bum Bynum up and Billups will have his way with Fisher. Nuggets in 6

  • http://ittakesanationofmillionstoholdthissac.blogspot.com ciolkstar

    C’mon SLAM you couldn’t get somebody less biased towards the Fakers to write this preview? Like maybe…Jack Nicholson?

  • http://www.shawn-kemps-offspring.blogspot.com Eboy

    In the attached photo, should that have been a foul on Bean?

  • http://ittakesanationofmillionstoholdthissac.blogspot.com ciolkstar

    And IF the Lakers can close Denver out at all, I really don’t see them doing it on the road. It’ll be Denver in 6 or Lakers in 7.

  • http://sfdjilf.com Jukai

    What’s odd to me is that everyone is giving the Lakers so much crap for their performance against the Rockets and are suggesting a Nugget victory… yet at least a half a dozen of those same people are ignoring the Magic’s struggles and predicting that the Magic beat the Cavaliers.
    Interesting.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Ryan Jones

    Eboy: 11:58 am. At least try to look like you’re trying.

  • http://where-basketball-b-longs.blogspot.com B. Long

    Nice preview. Hope it’s a little more accurate than the last one.

  • http://www.showmeyourwits.com showmeyourwits

    The Lakers went 2-1 against a full strength Rockets team, then 2-2 against a depleted team. Regardless they got the W’s. They have their swag back and the main thing is that Kobe’s avg and % go up against the nugs, while Melo’s avg and % go down against the lakers. Lakers in 6, maybe 5 with some late-game magic in denver.

  • Jacob

    Denver in 6 maybe 7

  • http://www.manutd.com Z

    As crazy as this sounds, I honestly believe that Kobe is not the main problem when facing the Lakers. When the Lakers’ bigs are clicking and the perimeter guys are feeding them, the team is almost unbeatable. Too tall, too skilled, too agile. Can Nene stay out of foul trouble on Pau? (It makes no sense to put Kenyon on Pau, he’s way too short. Let him deal with Bynum and his 6 points per)

  • http://slamonline.com Russ Bengtson

    Nuggets in 7.

  • http://effyou@heythere.com Allenp

    George
    Ariza is exactly the type of defender that gives Melo problems. I’ve watched enough Carmelo isolations to know who he eats up and who he struggles with.
    Quick defenders with good reach and toughness give him problems because the can challeng him athleticall on his jumper, and move their feet and beat him to the spot. Melo has a bad habit of making up his mind before he catches the ball whether he’s going to shoot or pass, and he often decides which offensive move he’s going to beforehand as well. I think Ariza gets enough offensive fouls on MElo to make him tentative and frustrated. He has to play outstanding for the Nuggets and I don’t see that. But I could be wrong.

  • BobbyDale

    Aight. It’s like this. Kobe will not be denied. He and the LakeShow have been on a revenge mission to oust Lebron and the Cavs and there is no way he lets the Nuggets get in the way of that. Lakers in 5 and then Lakers in 4 against the Cavs… call me crazy, but just remember to witness!

  • http://effyou@heythere.com Allenp

    Z
    Nene is the Nuggets best post scorer. You don’t put your best post scorer on the other teams best scorer unless you have to. Why waste Kenyon on Bynum, since all Bynum does is hit the offensive glass, when you can have him trying to body up Pau and make his soft butt collapse?
    I think Kenyon tries to punk Pau the same way he tried to punk Dirk. I just don’t know how Pau will react to that.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Myles Brown

    Gee, I wish there was a way to go back and see who wrote every other Lakers preview. What? There is?! It was me? And the Lakers won those series as predicted? And a ciolkstar had no problem with those predictions? But now that the Lakers are facing a team he’s been actively hoping they’ll lose to, he wants someone else less biased to do the preview? I was originally planning on doing this with Cub-a Nuggets fan-but he had other commitments. Regardless, such evenhandedness wouldn’t matter to you either unless we wouldve told you what you wanted to hear. So shutup. That’s my comment for the day, hope I don’t have to use tomorrows ahead of time.KbacktoworkBai.

  • http://kb24.com Bigi

    Lakers in 6.Also,remember when the Nets made the Finals TWO times…Me neither,I’m just glad that kind of madddnnneeesss is over.

  • http://double-technical.blogspot.com Zee!

    Next, the nuggs will say the Laker fans are racist.

  • Babygab

    Nuggets in 7. This thing will go back and forth but I believe the nuggets will take the serie

  • http://effyou@heythere.com Allenp

    Didn’t Myles comment on another post today?
    Somebody is using Bush math…

  • http://double-technical.blogspot.com Zee!

    After they’ve gone down 2-0 of course. Then they’ll say the refs are racist.

  • mj23

    Game 1 may be the Nuggets best chance of stealing a game in LA. That being said, this series will go 7 games. I think if the Nuggets can steal game 1 or 2 in LA, they have a chance, otherwise Lakers will win because of homecourt. Lakers may be worn down from the Rockets series, but they are always tough to beat at home. They are 6-1 at home in the playoffs and 36-5 for the season.

  • http://ittakesanationofmillionstoholdthissac.blogspot.com ciolkstar

    AllenP’s analysis on Melo is pretty good, when Melo is struggling to hit his jumper he can get predictable and force things off the dribble, which is where he picks up charges and/or turns the ball over, but Melo’s J is looking like fire right now, if he can keep that going he’ll be just fine.

  • http://www.manutd.com Z

    I’ll go out on a limb and say that Pau will murder Kenyon if they go with that match up. Pau is not a b!tch, he’s soft. There’s a big difference. He’s never really intimidated and won’t give two sh!ts about K-Mart’s growls. He’s just a finesse dude that will lay the ball over Kenyon short arms in one of his patented euro dunks where he grazes the rim with his finger tips.

  • http://www.manutd.com Z

    Melo does program his iso moves. Spot on, Allen.

  • http://where-basketball-b-longs.blogspot.com B. Long

    Everyone’s J looks like fire when you play the Mavs.

  • http://sfdjilf.com Jukai

    Co-sign B Long, I think Melo is gonna have a bit of troubel against the Lakers this series.
    I actually think you dudes are underestimating Kobe though. Kobe was downright flustered playing against Shane and Arest (who wouldn’t?) and now that he is going against JR “I don’t waste my time on defense, shooting threes is too important” Smith, I predict Kobe averaging 30 points this series.
    PREDICT.

  • Sparker

    denver seems to have a little more momentum, and i can’t say i agree that they’ve had the easier ride (esp. since there is the troubling matter that they have played teams with worse records). still, it may not matter, as chippy teams often implode. i hope i’m wrong, but i say lakers in 6. as for those of you picking orlando, though… just put down the pipe and back away

  • Sparker

    sorry, i mean denver has played teams with better records

  • breeze

    Ive read most comments…and everyone have good insights but no one mentioned once if lamar has a good series..if this happens the triangle offense will beat the nuggets. if lamar can manage to spread the floor like he did against the jazz they have no chance. and i predict that kobe/ariza will gaurd melo and he will struggle. i do believe that chauncey will be a problem and maybe even j.r , but to when this series they need kleiza,nene, and martin to be consistent throughout.

  • http://ittakesanationofmillionstoholdthissac.blogspot.com ciolkstar

    Kobe averaging 30 flat would be OK, espceially on 45% shooting or less, but if he gets closer to 35 ppg and keeps hs FG% and FT attempts high, the Nuggs could be in big trouble.

  • http://Nicekicks.com Meloman156

    AllenP is right about Melo strugling against long, athletic players, BUT i think we’ve seen a different Melo in the Playoffs and hopefully he can prove yall wrong just like he’s been doin

  • http://slamonline.com Jacob J

    Denver will pass the lakers and will defeat the Magic and become the 2009 NBA champions with Chauncey winning MVP! Nuggets in five.

  • bakers’ dozen (12-13)

    So even though Denver got past Dallas and New Orleans, people are saying the Lakers had a tougher road against Utah and Houston? Utah totally sucked, and Houston was without Stars #1 and 2. Ludicrous. The lakers are good, but people seem to forget that the Nuggets are, too. If they hadn’t had that slight dip in production after the all-star break, they’d have been fighting for #1 overall in the West. Give the Nuggets some credit.

  • breeze

    @jacob are your serious…are you just wishing…!!!

  • kh

    L.A in 5

  • Tenorca

    I call BS. Dallas is easily as quality as that Rockets team the Lakers barely edged and the Jazz and Hornets were basically the same: great young PG, disappointing supporting cast missing players to injury. Denver has come out hard and proven themselves. LA has proven that they’re the same as last year. Denver in 6.

  • http://effyou@heythere.com Allenp

    Tenorca
    It’s all about matchups in the playoffs and the Nuggets drew the two teams that afforded them the best matchups. If they had played the Spurs or the Jazz in round one, they wouldn’t have looked so impressive.
    I think the Lakers will win because of the structure they play with on offense. I’m not certain the Nuggets will rotate correctly on defense for an entire game against a team that has scorers at multiple positions, and who rebounds well.
    If you look at Dallas and New Orleans, their offensive attacks are so limited and predicatable that it doesn’t require that much game planning on defense, just effort and athletic ability. The Lakers require talking, team defense that I’m not certain the Nuggets can play yet. But, I am interested in seeing if I’m wrong.

  • Tenorca

    Allenp,
    I think you could say the same thing about the Lakers. The Nuggets offense is so much more dynamic than the Jazz (pick and roll, pick and roll…and then, wait for it: pick and roll) or the Rockets.
    Both teams have yet to play an opponent these playoffs with the athletic talent they possess, so I see that as a wash.
    But the Lakers’ namby-pamby-ness is still there. They got bullied by the Celts, bullied by the Rockets. And we all know the Nuggets are physical and probably partially insane.
    While I agree matchups are key and that the Lakers are an infinitely harder cover for the Nuggs than either NOLA or Dallas, the same can be said of Denver in respect to LA’s other opponents. I think Denver’s strenghts will exploit LA’s weaknesses. Stickin’ to Billups & co. in 6.

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