Monday, January 12th, 2009 at 8:44 am  |  26 responses

Element of Surprise

The highs and lows of college hoops thus far.

by Joey Whelan

Ah 2009, the new year. College football season is over (congratulations to the Florida Gators), inauguration day is just a over a week away and the NFL Playoffs are in full swing. Of course, most importantly, conference play is underway in college basketball. For the next two months, we can look forward Big East battles, Big 12 throw downs and ACC clashes among other things.

The season is already at the halfway point and we are starting to get a sense of who is for real and who may be packing their bags earlier than expected come March. With that in mind, here is a run down of the teams and individuals who have surprised and disappointed so far this year.

Surprises

Minnesota
Tubby Smith works fast, real fast. The Golden Gophers were picked to finish fifth in preseason Big Ten Poll, but in just his second year with the program, Smith has his team off to a torrid 15-1 start and a No. 22 ranking in the most recent AP Poll.

After winning 20 games last season there wasn’t a question that Minnesota was primed to have another successful season with some key returning upperclassmen, and a few talented newcomers to their roster. What has surprised, though, have been some of the quality wins that the Gophers can already boast on their resume. Wins over a better-than-expected Iowa and strong Ohio State team in the early part of the Big Ten schedule have been promising, but there is little doubt that the crown jewel for Minnesota thus far has been a 70-64 victory over then-No. 9 Louisville.

It’s been scoring by committee for Tubby’s boys so far, but if they can stay consistent and continue to get solid minutes from freshman bigs Ralph Sampson III and Colton Iverson, Minnesota should find themselves near the top of the conference.

Jodie Meeks
Anytime a player averages over 20 ppg in one of the big six conferences, it is of note. In the case of Kentucky’s sharp shooting junior, this is even more impressive. Coming off a sophomore campaign in which he appeared in just 11 games due to a stress fracture in his pelvis, and owning a career scoring average of less than 9 points, Meeks has risen to the top of the national scoring race by netting 24.2 ppg this year.

The Georgia native has been torching the nets, shooting 47 percent from the field which is amazing considering over 50 percent of his shots come from beyond the arc; it helps when you shoot 42.5 percent from 3, though. Sure Meeks has put up points against lesser opponents (39 vs. Must be some crazy Demon danceVMI and 46 vs. Appalachian State), but he has done it against bigger names as well, including 37 points in a win over Kansas State and most recently 28 points on the road at Louisville. SEC teams, you have been warned.

Wake Forest
OK, maybe this isn’t a huge surprise since the Demon Deacons were ranked 21st in the preseason AP Poll, but to be fair, not many people anticipated Wake being undefeated and ranked 4th in the country the first week of the new year. With the dominating performances the Deacons have turned in so far, their win over North Carolina was absolutely no fluke.

Jeff Teague has improved by leaps and bounds, seeing boosts in every major statistical category. James Johnson is still a force and freshman Al-Farouq Aminu has been as good as advertised averaging 13 points and 9 rebounds.

Disappointments

Gonzaga
The overtime win on the road at Tennessee on Wednesday was a step in the right direction, but for a team many were penciling into their preseason Final Fours, Gonzaga has been somewhat of a letdown. The loss on the road to Arizona was tough but not unimaginable since Jordan Hill has been playing so well this year, but the three game skid to end 2008 was hard to watch if you are a Bulldog fan.

The Zag’s blew an 11-point lead with 12 minutes to go against UConn. The Huskies were able to force overtime and pull away for the win, again tough, but not unacceptable. Subsequent losses to Portland State and Utah however are real cause for concern for head coach Mark Few. By no means does this mean that Gonzaga isn’t capable of making a deep run come Tournament time, but this team should be looking at a 13-1 or 12-2 record as opposed to their current 9-4 standing.

B.J. Mullens & Co.
This year’s freshman class has performed admirably thanks in part to individuals like Greg Monroe, Willie Warren and Sylven Landesberg. Many of the marquee names who were expected D060208043.JPGto make an immediate impact have fallen far short of expectations, none more so than Ohio State’s latest 7-foot recruit.

Mullens has barely made a blip on the radar in his first 13 games at the collegiate level, recording just three double-digit scoring performances and grabbing more than 5 rebounds just 5 times. Widely considered to be a top-3 recruit and arguably the most physically talented big man Thad Matta has ever recruited, Mullens has been slow in coming along.

UCLA’s Jrue Holiday and USC’s Demar DeRozan, a pair of west coast players expected to challenge for Pac-10 Player of the Year honors have also been somewhat of a let down. Though they have fared better than Mullens, neither has lived up to their preseason hype. Holiday has yet to have a dominant performance against a quality opponent and DeRozan has only recently started to rely on more than just his freakish athleticism to get points.

Jimmy Patsos
The Loyola head coach is right, people will remember his teams Nov. 25 loss to Davidson for years to come, but for the wrong reason. When Patsos called for his players to double team star guard Stephen Curry for the entire game it robbed the fans and the players. For the fans, it was a chance to see one of the great players in the country perform at his highest level up close. For Curry, it was another opportunity for him to reap the benefits of his remarkable talent and all of the hard work he has put in.

Don’t get me wrong, I have no problem with zone defenses, they are a part of the strategy that make basketball the greatest game in the world. The point of a zone defense is to take a player out of his game, but not to literally take the player out of the game. The beauty of basketball is teams go back and forth taking each others best shot, trying to stop the other team from scoring. Your guys versus our guys, give us your best. By doubling Curry, Patsos took that purity away from both teams. Not only was Curry no longer partaking in the game itself, but Loyola was put at a disadvantage having to play three on four the whole way through. From a player or a fan’s perspective, it was a tough day for college hoops.

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  • luckyluciano

    PATTY MILLS BABYYY

  • http://www.slamonline.com Ryan Jones

    Between the Eagles winning and his jumping on the Wake bandwagon before the UNC game, Khalid Salaam is going to be f*cking insufferable this week.

  • http://www.shawn-kemps-offspring.blogspot.com/ TADOne

    Jeff Teague and Wake thoroughly impressed me last night against Carolina.

  • http://www.hibachi20.blogspot.com Hursty

    St. Mary’s are for real. 13+ game winning streak.
    Is it wrong to say that doubling Curry makes Jimmy Patsos a d*ckhead?
    Yeh I had to mention the Gaels and Patty ;)
    Sorry, but right now Wake Forest is good. Dunno whether they can be final 4 material (not that you said they are but still).
    Uconn’s a great team- great teams ‘should’ be able to overcome a lead like that close in games. No disrespect to the Zags, but that just shows the Huskie calibre of play…average for 30+minutes and then turn it on.

  • http://www.hibachi20.blogspot.com Hursty

    Yeh luckyluciano!

  • http://www.slamonline.com Cub Buenning

    Yeah, I hadn’t seen more than a few games by Teague, but my eyes are wide open after last night.

    I have seen much more out of Mullens lately, and he has shown flashes of dominance; putting on individual dunk contests, but he has yet to be given the full mins by Thad.

    Hursty, our boy Patty was gunning on Friday night v. Santa Clara. Nice stretch for Gaels, murderous for their rival, Zags.
    Although, consider that in that tough stretch for Gonzaga, they did collect wins against Tenn (twice), Okie State, Maryland, and Washington State. Also, got off to a nice start in conference Sat. night and by this time next month will be considered a “Top 10″ team again. I don’t need those “polls” to tell me who(m) is good or not.

    San Diego State, San Diego State, San Diego State……Fear the Mountain West!

    TEXAS AT OKLAHOMA TONIGHT!!!!

  • http://www.shawn-kemps-offspring.blogspot.com/ TADOne

    Cub’s college basketball obsession is quite disturbing. Actually, I want to know what you think about the Broncos hiring McDaniels. After that, no more football talk. Promise.

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  • http://fdkl.com Jukai

    I have never been more wrong about basketball in my life than BJ Mullens. I had him penned in as more dominant than Greg Oden was.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Joey Whelan

    Jukai, I did the same thing. I don’t know if I had him as more dominant than Oden, but after seeing him at the Elite 24 in New York I thought he was All-American material as a freshman just based on his physical capabilities alone. I still think if he shows any sort of flashes (which he has) someone will take a chance on him in the lottery.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Cub Buenning

    TAD, if Nolan can fix the defense then I would be fine with this offensive head coach.
    Jukai, you still might be right about Mullens. He has impressed me in recent games and surely has more athletic ability than Oden.

  • http://slamonline.com Joey E

    who else here can’t wait until Hansboring is out of college? i’m sick of ESPN’s love affair with this kid.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Cub Buenning

    I am sick of watching big five games not being played at the Palestra…. (ie Temple AT LaSalle)

  • http://slamonline.com Khalid Salaam

    insufferable? No. But struggling to stop smiling? yep

  • http://www.shawn-kemps-offspring.blogspot.com/ TADOne

    Khalid, what do you think of the Eagles chances against Warner and the boys?

  • Alicia

    Jerel McNeal is averaging 18.5 points (3.6 more than 2007-08)and had a couple 26 nights against good teams. I think he could average more but he shares the line-up with Wesley Matthews and Dominic James.

  • http://docfunk.blogspot.com Doc Funk

    may UNC go winless in the ACC and still earn a #3 seed

  • http://www.slamonline.com Cub Buenning

    I think Wesley Matthews has been even better than the other two this year! McNeal was the best last year, James, the year before that.
    All three are NBA players, though.
    Crean must be wishing he never left Milwaukee……

  • http://slamonline.com Khalid Salaam

    Tad: We will be ready. I like our chances. If we play a nickel and occasional dime package we should be able to bottle up their big plays in the passing game and presure Warner we should be fine. I”m ready now. We are starving…Starving!!!!

  • http://www.shawn-kemps-offspring.blogspot.com/ TADOne

    I think Warner fumbles at least 2 times from the blitzing Eagles D.

  • http://hibachi20.blogspot.com DP

    Give Demar a couple of more games in the Pac-10 to get accustomed to the type of teams he will be playing and he will start to monster it out eventually. too much upside for this kid not to suceed. Jrue is just wild.

  • MD

    wake forest is the real deal

  • http://slamonline.com Tzvi T

    Cub I don’t think all three are NBA players, atleast, not guys who will be in the L for more than a quickie. James is too small and J is erratic; the other two aren’t explosive enough. Still they’ll get paid to play somewhere.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Joey Whelan

    I can see McNeal going undrafted but getting invited to summer league and playing well enough to land on a roster. He is a tremendous defender and that is going to be what pushes him over the edge for many scouts.

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  • acon

    elements of surprise. unc loses at home to bc who in turn loses to harvard. harvards first win against a ranked opponent ever.

    ps jimmmy patsos sucks!

    pps bj mullens sucks!

    ppps JJ REDICK SUCKS

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