Thursday, January 29th, 2009 at 12:42 pm  |  45 responses

Fantasy Basketball, Week 14

Later Von Wafer…or until TMac gets injured again!

by Emry DowningHall

Michael Redd wears No. 22, but his magic number is 88. That’s the amount of games he’s going to miss over the past three seasons after tearing the MCL and ACL in his left knee.

Redd’s injury problems are well documented in fantasy circles and, as a result, many owners steer clear of the sharpshooter on draft night. If you gambled on Redd this season, hopefully you knew what you were getting yourself into. Though the dealer is raking in your chips, there’s plenty of time to recover via the waiver wire and opportunities arising from the trade deadline.

The loss of Redd will open up plenty of minutes in the Milwaukee backcourt and that means Ramon Sessions should be added in all formats. As soon as I heard the word on Redd, I grabbed Sessions in a 12-team and 10-team league, and I’m excited about his potential.

There are more stable coaches for providing fantasy opportunities than Scott Skiles, but Sessions is absolutely in a position to succeed. He played his first game with Redd sidelined Monday night and had 18 points, 4 rebounds, 2 assists and 3 steals. That’s a very solid line, but it’s not out of line to hope for more assists going forward.

Luke Ridnour should also see a boost in minutes played, which can only help his consistency. If you need a solution at point guard and Sessions has already been snagged, Ridnour is a decent second option due to the Redd fallout.

Junior finally playin like a No. 4?The Grizzlies took the title of head coach off Marc Iavaroni’s hands on Friday and replaced him with Lionel Hollins. While this shakeup wasn’t headline news, it does have some interesting effects for fantasy owners.

Hollins immediately handed the starting point guard duties to Mike Conley and has been playing him over 30 minutes per night. Consistent production is exactly what fantasy owners need to get a reading on what Conley is capable of doing. This situation is very similar to Andray Blatche‘s emergence after Eddie Jordan was let go in Washington.

Conley is now an intriguing add for owners in need of a point guard. Though he’s never been much of a consistent option, it looks like he’s going to get a chance right away and is worth a shot.

Speaking of Blatche, Shaquille O’Neal’s mammoth frame has sent him to the injured list for two to four weeks. O’Neal and Blatche banged knees during Mondays game, and Blatche suffered the worst of the collision—no surprises.

With the Wizards suffering through a miserable season, why not let JaVale McGee play some extended minutes in Blatche’s absence? McGee has shown flashes of brilliance this year and posted decent rebounding and blocked shot numbers in stretches. This will be another opportunity for him to contribute, and owners in 12+-team leagues should consider adding him right away.

The return of Tracy McGrady and Ron Artest signals the end of fantasy value for Von Wafer. Owners who jumped on the Wafer/Rafer backcourt in Houston have enjoyed a nice ride in the absence of the Rockets superstars.

Do you realize that Wafer scored in double-figures in 11-straight games before McGrady’s return to the lineup on Sunday? To the surprise of pretty much everyone he also showcased a consistent three point shot and enough athleticism to keep him around the League permanently—at least in a reserve role. Wafer’s stretch run is yet another example that mid-level production in the NBA is absolutely based on opportunity.

Let’s keep that theme rolling as we once again bring up former Temple star Mardy Collins. A calf injury ended Collins’s terrific three-week fantasy run and owners who enjoyed his services should give him a standing ovation. Perhaps Mardy knew to quit while he was ahead because Baron Davis returned yesterday. Though it’s safe to cut ties with Collins, don’t forget about him when Davis once again goes down with a phantom injury in L.A.

Fantasy owners enjoying the fruits of the Carmelo Anthony injury need to start making other plans. The Melo fellow is aiming to strap on the headband for a Jan. 30 return. This doesn’t mean Linas Kleiza and J.R. Smith should be dropped, but take a look at your waiver wire and weigh your options. Smith’s been red hot and his production is likely to continue with Anthony back in the lineup, though it won’t be as consistent. Anthony’s return bumps Kleiza to Worth a gamblethe seventh man in the rotation and his owners should seriously consider grabbing a guy like Sessions if he’s still available.

We’ve already taken a look at Ramon Sessions, Luke Ridnour, Mike Conley and JaVale McGee. Let’s check out who else is making noise on the wire.

Freddie Jones and Ricky Davis – How banged up are the Clippers? The fact that these two are potentially relevant in fantasy leagues should go a ways in explaining it. Although both Jones and Davis have put together solid stat lines in recent games, they are both inconsistent and shouldn’t be picked up outside of 14+-team leagues. Baron Davis’ return makes these guys a gamble for an add/drop fill-in.

Raja Bell – I’m not claiming Larry Brown can be sexually aroused by a style of play on the basketball court, but if he could, Bell would fit the bill. His defensive prowess and long distance shooting is going to keep him on the floor in Charlotte, and Bell’s responding well. He’s an excellent source of 3 balls and points and occasionally will add some assists and steals. He should be owned in 12+-team leagues right now.

Mickael Pietrus – Fresh off injury, Pietrus blew up for 27 points, 10 rebounds, 4 dimes and 1 steal against the Pacers on Tuesday night. Although he’s not starting for the Magic, Pietrus is the best 2 guard on their roster. He was producing at a reasonable clip before a hand injury put him on the pine. Although he wont get numbers like this every time out, he’s worth a look in 12+-team leagues.

Next week I’m going to take a look at players to potentially target prior to the trade deadline, as well as fantasy playoff team schedules. Thanks for reading, and please leave any comments or questions below.

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  • Andrej Posted: Jan.29 at 12:44 pm
    first i dropped sessions for ford after he had pretty good games

  • Ryne Nelson Posted: Jan.29 at 12:44 pm
    Emry–Your thoughts on DeAndre Jordan and his starting despite Camby’s return?

  • Ryne Nelson Posted: Jan.29 at 12:45 pm
    Andrej–Ford’s been good, but I don’t think it’s a smart idea to get rid of Sessions at this point.

  • ciolkstar Posted: Jan.29 at 12:54 pm
    Do you think Baron’s return is going to end Eric Gordon’s value as a scoring SG? I could see the Clips starting Baron and Gordon and hoping B Diddy could have a positive influence on the young rookie’s game… I’m in a close week (and have 2 game disadvantage going forward)and might need to consider dropping him by Sunday, in order to pick up another game (and win 2 more categories, potentially)

  • Emry DowningHall Posted: Jan.29 at 1:00 pm
    @Ryne: I think it’s going to be short lived. Camby man just came back last night and I think that was a sort of suprise and that’s why Jordan got the nod… Camby will def. take over going forward if he feels healthy. He only played like 20 m last night and had a modest line. Not to mention Z-Bo and Kaveman will be on the way back.

  • Emry DowningHall Posted: Jan.29 at 1:10 pm
    @ciokstar: I wouldn’t drop EG anytime soon. The Clippers have no real option @ the #2 outside of Davis and Jones and they want to develop EG.

  • what Posted: Jan.29 at 1:21 pm
    I’m not all that sold on Sessions… Charlie Bell is gonna start cutting into his minutes, Sessions won’t get as many dimes starting at shooting guard, and it’s not like he helps you out in 3′s either. I’d rather have Steve Blake or Mario Chalmers (both are free agents in my league, I’m guessing they are in many other leagues too).

  • Emry DowningHall Posted: Jan.29 at 1:39 pm
    @What: That’s a fair point but I wouldn’t worry that much about Bell. Also, Ridnour left last nights game with a concussion and his history of that ailment seems to point to minutes @ the PG slot for Ramon. I think he’s much more consistent than Mario, though Blake is arguable a better option if you need 3′s but he’s got a bum shoulder.

  • ti-sizz Posted: Jan.29 at 2:21 pm
    hey emry. i’ve finally made it to first in my league. you know, i didn’t have to go for that 2 for 1 trade that we talked about last week, because of injuries. first, kirinlenko went down so i replaced him with charlie v. i been meaning to get rid of kirilenko anyways and cv is heating up. now the bad part of my week is.. g. wallace is down again. i can replace him with either luol deng, jason thompson, greg oden, marvin williams, or mikael pietrus. i’m lacking in boards and rebounds, but i won’t mind going with the best player of the bunch. so who is the best player here?

  • Emry DowningHall Posted: Jan.29 at 2:34 pm
    @ti-sizz: Deng is the best guy in the bunch and is running very well right now – You said you’re lacking boards and rebounds… do you means points and rebounds? If you just need boards tho it’s Oden

  • RM Posted: Jan.29 at 2:39 pm
    I just picked up Eddie House a few days ago – that 8-9 3 point showing is just nasty. He’s been playing ridiculous basketball as of late, and if the Celtics keep on blowing teams out his minutes will keep increasing!

  • ciolkstar Posted: Jan.29 at 2:57 pm
    …House has been going on some surreal 3 point binges…

  • ti-sizz Posted: Jan.29 at 2:58 pm
    haha.. yeah, points and rebounds, my bad. alrightt, i’ll go with deng. thanks a lot

  • Emry DowningHall Posted: Jan.29 at 3:45 pm
    How long do you guys think Eddie can keep this up? I’m not a believer.

  • RM Posted: Jan.29 at 3:55 pm
    I say a week. max

  • Ken Posted: Jan.29 at 3:59 pm
    ti-sizz: if you were lacking in dimes and assists, I’d tell you to get Marbury…

  • Teddy-the-Bear Posted: Jan.29 at 4:24 pm
    Von Wafer is good enough to start on any other team. Great pick-up by the Rockets this offseason.

  • Waters1981 Posted: Jan.29 at 4:40 pm
    I have Tyson Chandler on my team, and this year he has been awful. First off, any idea on how long he will be out? I had heard he might be out until after the All Star break, but he wants to come back sometime next week. Also, is it worth picking up Yi Jinlian and stashing him on the bench? Probably be at the expense of Sasha Pavlovic (but not for another 10 to 14 days).

  • bergs father Posted: Jan.29 at 4:49 pm
    Is it safe to say your obsession with Mardy Collins has reached the level of a BroMance?

  • Emry DowningHall Posted: Jan.29 at 4:49 pm
    @Ken: That made me LOL, good work.

  • Emry DowningHall Posted: Jan.29 at 4:52 pm
    Waters1981: I heard he wont return until post AS break. As for EZ YI … I don’t think you have to worry about someone else picking him up… unless you’re in like a 14+ team league. He had only strung together 2 good games before going down.

  • Emry DowningHall Posted: Jan.29 at 4:54 pm
    @Bergs Father: I’m not sure but I think a Bromance has to be two sided … maybe someone who watches that show can let me know … and although I’ve met him a few times, I’m pretty sure he’s not as into my column as I am to his hoop game. Good question though.

  • Emry DowningHall Posted: Jan.29 at 4:55 pm
    Teddy-the-bear: I’m not so sure about any other team but he’s a good player.

  • Moose Posted: Jan.29 at 5:36 pm
    Emry, I really need three pointers. I do well in points and rebounds, but I never win the treys. Here’s my team……..Dwyane Wade
    OJ Mayo
    Paul Millsap
    Hedo Turkoglu
    Derrick Rose
    Jason Richardson
    Josh Smith
    Gerald Wallace
    Chris Bosh
    Al Jefferson
    Emeka Okafor
    Kevin Martin
    Monta Ellis……..Who should I sacrifice for Daequan/Mason/Fernandez? If I shouldn’t, let me know. Are there any trades that I should try for? Thanks a lot.

  • Moose Posted: Jan.29 at 5:36 pm
    Eight team league.

  • Emry DowningHall Posted: Jan.29 at 5:58 pm
    @Moose: I wouldn’t let any of those guys go beyond possible G. Wallace now that he’s going to miss time with his injuries – Even that is a stretch and I likely wouldn’t do it. I’m going to have to recommend that you trade the category you have a surplus in – Let’s say its rebounding for someone who can fill it up with the 3 ball.

  • Andrej Posted: Jan.29 at 6:27 pm
    could you guys rate my team
    Monta Ellis
    Dwyane Wade,
    Josh Howard,
    Rudy Gay
    Jermaine O’Neal,
    Chauncey Billups,
    Kevin Garnett,
    Antawn Jamison
    Andre Iguodala,
    Rasheed Wallace
    Gerald Wallace,
    Baron Davis,
    T.J. Ford, the only players i want to get rid of are baron and rudy gay

  • HoustonHardHitter Posted: Jan.29 at 6:32 pm
    Tmac has been through more injuries than an NFL player… He went professional in the wrong sport.

  • RV Posted: Jan.29 at 8:00 pm
    AndreJ, if you want some specific help, it’s better to post what stats count in your league, the size of the league, what stats you’re usually hurting in and which you always win, etc..

  • Kihwan Posted: Jan.29 at 10:41 pm
    I was offered Luke Ridnour and Andrea Bargnani for David Lee. 14 team H2H league and I’ve been getting killed on 3PTM and 3PT%. Any thoughts?

  • Emry DowningHall Posted: Jan.29 at 11:26 pm
    @AndreJ: Def. here to help but as far as rating your team, you basically have all that information based on how you’re doing in your league and what stat cats you need help in.

  • Emry DowningHall Posted: Jan.29 at 11:27 pm
    @Kihwan: I would DEF not take that trade. Lee is a double double machine and you could pick up those categories elsewhere @ a cheaper value.

  • Cancer Posted: Jan.30 at 2:00 am
    Hi Emry,
    Love your columns. The tip on Conley is relevant even to the 14 team league I’m in. Conley’s on the wire and I intend to pick him up after I pull off a 2 for 1 trade. Which brings me to my question: Since my team is stacked with bigmen (Amare, Brand, Troy Murphy, Al Horford, Greg Oden, AND Tyson Chandler). I’m looking to deal my two worst bigs for a player who will significantly boost my free throw percentage and three pointers, while being realistically available. What are some players that may be available?

  • Darksaber Posted: Jan.30 at 4:39 am
    The picture on the mainpage accompanying this piece is badass!! The white Rockets jersey, the left handed drive, the handcheck by young, Tracy’s intensity, the posture.. love it. It’s great to see T-Mac in a pure uniform again, seems like the last two seasons he’s been wearing all kinds of protective padding on shoulders, knees, elbows, you name it. (and yes, he’s got a sleeve on his knee, meh.) The rockets home jerseys are one of the coolest in the NBA today.

  • Hursty Posted: Jan.30 at 5:56 am
    Is it worth trying to hold onto Mike Miller? He and Joakim Noah have been my final roster/rotation player the last week. Noah’s been good (after that dud game) and Mike has made progress since his injury return. What about Spencer Hawes? His minutes dropped BADLY recently, but his production has improved lately and he’s got an extra 2-3 minutes over the games over the last week or so. I’ve got J-HO, Biedrins and Chandler (who is dog-awful this year) all coming back from injuries and neither have hit their stride yet…AB is almost there, but the pts is lacking- so is fg%. is it worth trying to trade J.Oneal at this point? He is killing me…

  • Hursty Posted: Jan.30 at 6:08 am
    Standard league, H2H, and I don’t usually get beat in anything badly- usually a few points or assists, but I always seem to lost 3/6 or 4/5 after being ahead early or *rightthere* on the last day of play.
    Team I spose:
    Howard
    Iverson
    Johnson
    Miller/Noah/Peja (depends on the game/availability)
    Chandler
    Biedrins
    Amare
    Pau
    Artest
    Bibby
    Ronnie Brewer
    J.O
    I’m down the bottom of the ladder, but (as an excuse) I didn’t pick my team- damn autodraft and injuries have OWNED me all season.
    Ta Emry.

  • GOAT Posted: Jan.30 at 9:19 am
    14 team league….should I just drop Crash (the waiver wine is THIN), or stash him for another week to see what the docs say?

  • Emry DowningHall Posted: Jan.30 at 9:27 am
    @Cancer: Thanks for the good words… I try to keep things more relevant for deeper leagues cause the wire is thinner. Glad you like the column. As for who to target… it’s tough to say because it depends how much you want to give up. The elite ft and 3pt guys are Ray Allen, Rashard Lewis, Ben Gordon, Joe Johnson. But you can get a contributor much cheaper like Eddie House, D. Cook, Matt Bonner

  • Emry DowningHall Posted: Jan.30 at 9:31 am
    @Hursty – If you can trade JO for any kind if value, go for it. He’s as risky a play as it gets in fantasy. As for Mike Miller – At this point yes, you’ve held him this long you might as well wait it out through the trading deadline and see if something shakes out there. Same goes for Hawes, wait on him and move the minute that Miller is dealt.

  • Emry DowningHall Posted: Jan.30 at 9:32 am
    @GOAT: Def. stash in a 14 team league

  • weezie Posted: Jan.30 at 1:45 pm
    Emry, I’m 2nd last in a 7 team roto league (the free agent pool is nice with names like Peja, Stuckey, Dunleavy, Nate all avaliable), I’ve been killed by injuries and would love to swing a 2 for 1 deal but haven’t gotten anyone to bite. So I was considering offering S Jax and Mayo for B-Diddy, and Brandon Roy. I’m trying to upgrade my assists(I have D-will and Calderon but need more to gain ground), steals, turnovers and fg%(will Baron be this bad all year?). I have the 2nd least amount of games played and could lead the league in TO’s thanks to Jax and Caron. My thinking is if baron goes down I can always pick up Stuckey. would you do this deal?

  • Emry DowningHall Posted: Jan.30 at 6:19 pm
    @Weezie: I would do that deal, yes. Davis has been rough but if you feel like his injury history is behind him you’ll be helping yourself and Roy is really the gem of that package. You’re right that the waiver wire is so thin that an injury isn’t that big of a deal.

  • G-O Posted: Feb.2 at 3:46 am
    Should I trade josh howard for tj ford?

  • Waters1981 Posted: Feb.2 at 10:02 pm
    Emry, I tend to lose rebounds, steals and blocks by a very small amount (normally around 10 to 25 boards, and 5 to 15 steals and blocks per week). I am thinking about dropping Sasha Pavlovic and maybe picking up Luc Richard Mbah A Moute, Dominic McGuire or Pryzbilla. Do you think that is a worthwhile addition, or do you have an under the radar guy for those categories?

  • Waters1981 Posted: Feb.2 at 10:43 pm
    oh, or maybe Chris Andersen or Turiaf.

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