Monday, February 23rd, 2009 at 12:30 pm  |  40 responses

Fantasy Basketball, Week 18

The trade deadline winners and losers.

by Emry DowningHall

I was hesitant to label the ‘08-‘09 season as abnormally injury plagued, but losing Amar’e Stoudemire to sudden retina surgery has shifted the balance to a place where recovery is no longer an option. The injury was made worse by the fact that he was exploding under Alvin Gentry, who was poised to revive the run-n-gun ways of the D’Antoni era. It also seemingly came out of nowhere since STAT just had two of his best games. Damn the Clippers and their insistence! Why are they challenging dunks anyway?

The hits keep coming as Kevin Garnett is now lost for the next 2-3 weeks with a muscle strain in his knee. I expect him to use the full recovery time just to ensure a solid healing process. Mike Dunleavy is experiencing pain in the same knee that kept him out at the start of the season, and I’d imagine we’ve seen the last of him this year. Finally, a stress fracture will keep Manu Ginobili in street clothes for 2-3 weeks down in Texas.

The French have a term, C’est la vie which roughly translates to “that’s life,” but I prefer to label these developments as a swift kick in the nuts. The injury list is a mile long and will only continue to grow as teams begin to go all in for the Blake Griffin grand prize. The only positive here is more than likely everyone in your league is affected in some form or another, and the waiver wire has now become more important than ever.

The trade deadline has come and past, and it’s yet another example of why fantasy basketball is a great thing to be involved in. While the majority of NBA fans are whining and whimpering that no big names changed addresses on Hughes is resuscitated.Thursday, the fantasy hoopsters realize there’s plenty of implications directly related to deadline deals that will directly effect league titles:

Larry Hughes – He had totally fallen out of the rotation in Chicago, but it doesn’t mean he wont get run in New York. Hughes isn’t a knockdown shooter, but he can handle the ball, and the Knicks are shorthanded until 2010. If you’re a patient fantasy owner and don’t mind waiting for him to get into D’Antoni game shape, he’ll pay dividends down the stretch.

Chris Wilcox – Much of what I said about Hughes also applies to Wilcox. He could be a nice source of points and rebounds once he gets into running shape for D’Antoni. Knicks fans will remember he was the man the Garden coveted the year they traded for Antonio McDyess. Wilcox’s pro career hasn’t been what we all expected thus far, but I think this is a good situation for a revival, and I’ve rolled the dice on him in leagues where I could afford to be patient.

Rafer Alston – The Magic made this deal so Alston could take over the team and run the offense in the absence of Jameer Nelson. He’s played for Stan Van Gundy in Miami, and essentially broke through his street ball typecast and made a NBA name for himself. Alston’s offensive options have improved and his production should also increase. He shouldn’t be available in any Biggest beneficiary?leagues.

Aaron Brooks – Even though he was completely left out of most NBA analysts breakdowns of the Rafer Alston deal, he could be the big fantasy winner here. Brooks has shown the ability to score points and run an offense and was really coming on even with Alston playing ahead of him. He knows the system in Houston, and that’s primarily why I’m not worried about him losing time to Kyle Lowry.

Spencer Hawes – His owners have been waiting all season for Brad Miller to be dealt, and now that it’s happened, the youth movement has officially begun in Sacramento. I don’t expect tremendous numbers from Hawes, but he should be worth starting the rest of the way and playing over 30 mpg. This year for the Kings, that’s reason enough to own him.

Francisco GarciaJohn Salmons’ departure has opened the door for Garcia to start for Sacramento. Increased minutes means increased production, and Garcia should be owned in all leagues going forward.

Andres Nocioni – In his first game with the Kings, Nocioni played 30 minutes and dropped 10 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists. While there’s nothing spectacular about that stat line, it was his first game with the team and he has the potential to play a large role and fill up the box.

*****

When there are winners, inevitably there’s got to be some losing that follows. The benefit of no premiere names being dealt in the deadline is that is cuts down on players falling out of rotations, but in the case of John Salmons and Joakim Noah, there will be some ill-effects.

Salmons was putting up solid numbers for a bad Kings team, and Noah was feasting on rebounds with Drew Gooden sidelined in Chicago. Salmons will now be forced to split time with Kirk Hinrich and Luol Deng at the 2 and 3 positions and his production will take a hit. Noah shouldn’t be deemed useless with Brad Miller back in Chicago, but his production is due to fall off. I’m advising owners stay patient with Salmons, and attempt to package him in a trade, while Noah’s production needs to be closely monitored going forward.

As I mentioned earlier, trades weren’t the only news affecting the wire situation recently. Injuries played a large role as well. Consider these players if they’re still available:

Matt BarnesAmar’e Stoudemire’s absence has created a void at the forward spot in Phoenix. Barnes will be one of the main beneficiaries, and should be considered in all leagues.

Kendrick PerkinsGarnett’s injury should improve Perkins rebounding and scoring numbers over the next 2-3 weeks. If he’s sitting on the shelf in your league and you’re in need of points, blocks, and rebounds, he should be added Barbosa knows how to run-n-gun.right away.

Leandro Barbosa – The trickle down effect of the Amar’e injury has already reached Barbosa. With the Suns now in need of a more potent scoring core, and Alvin Gentry looking to run, it’s go time for Barbosa who laced up his track shoes for 41 points, 7 rebounds and 7 assists on Friday. There will be moments of inconsistency but he should be owned in almost all leagues at this point.

Roger MasonManu Ginobili’s injury puts Mason back in the role he was in at the start of the season with the Spurs. He’s a knockdown shooter and will be a tremendous source of trey balls over the next few weeks. Although scoring is certainly his niche, he also has the ability to fill in with rebounds and assists. Though he’ll never be confused with a fantasy stud, he’s been one of the waiver wire surprises of the year.

Marquis Daniels – Similar to Roger Mason, Daniels started the season strong as Mike Dunleavy’s injury replacement. It’s not deja-vu, it’s a recurring knee injury for young Dunleavy that’s once again made Daniels a must own player in fantasy leagues.

Antonio McDyess – If you can ignore his miserable effort against the Cavaliers last night, he had recorded three straight double-doubles before that. The 24 points and 14 rebounds he put down on the Bucks is enough to make him a hot fantasy pickup in all leagues. The Pistons are struggling so it’s possible that changes may occur, but McDyess is well worth an add at this point.

Although no one’s going to confuse anyone on this list for 1st round fantasy studs, there’s plenty of players here who will help teams in all sized leagues. I’m here to help with your questions and comments, just leave them below. Thanks for reading and stay on point with the waiver wire.

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  • http://slamonline.com/ Ryne Nelson

    Emry, thanks for all the good info. Fantasy wise, are you worried Larry Hughes will steal minutes from any Knicks? Wils? Nate? Duhon? I figure someone’s going to suffer a bit on that roster.

  • http://iwantoutofokc.com/ James the balla

    @Ryne two quick questions … The shoesenjoy.com site you promote on the slam home page, are those fake Jordans, because they are pretty cheap? And do you know if it is a safe website to buy from if I am in Canada?

  • http://iwantoutofokc.com/ James the balla

    I need answers people!!

  • AlbertBarr

    As a Kings fan I am pretty stoked about the trades…like you said “youth movement”! Hopefully we get a good pick in the draft and are able to work it from there. Nocioni was brickin up a storm against the mavs the other night though…hopefully he just needs to get more comfortable cause he was terrible.

  • http://ittakesanationofmillionstoholdthissac.blogspot.com ciolkstar

    Ok, I need some help here. I’m seriously lacking 3s (while strong in Blks and Rbs) and considering dropping Horford to stream Aaron Brooks and Francisco Garcia this week. I can’t bring my self to drop Granger. Yet. But should I?

  • http://double-technical.blogspot.com Zee!

    @ James, I was wondering the exact same thing.

  • http://ittakesanationofmillionstoholdthissac.blogspot.com ciolkstar

    JamesTheBalla: They are FAKE.
    I brought the issue up about a week ago, but there’s nothing SLAM can do because they actually rent that add space to Google, who can advertise whoever they want to in that space. And for some reason they choose to let some copyright violating fake J sellers to get that add space.

  • http://iwantoutofokc.com/ James the balla

    SO they are fake??? That is crazy!! SLAM? This dissapoints me … they look good though. But damn. I guess the adidas ones and everything are fake to off that site?

  • http://www.slamonline.com Emry DowningHall

    @Ryne: I think the biggest guy who stands to lose is Nate but D’Antoni has plenty of tick and shots to go around where both guys can have good value and it wont be a concern. Wilcox may impact Lee/Harrington on some nights but overall, it’s the same story and everyone should be good to go here.

  • http://www.hibachi20.blogspot.com BETCATS

    sean may is the real winner

  • http://www.slamonline.com Emry DowningHall

    @James: 23isback.com sells authentic Jordans, but you’re gonna pay for them. You don’t need to waste your time with any site selling J’s at less than retail.

  • Harlem_World

    The adds in the top banner are not slam moderated. I was on the other page and it was advertising ‘naughty dates’ or something with girls with their bitties hanging out. At first I thought Omar had finally been promoted (FREE OMAR), and was taking things in a more gully direction. Then I realized its just rented ad space and google get to slot in whomever cuts that check.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Emry DowningHall

    @AlbertBarr: That’s a good attitude to have. Do you get a chance to watch Kevin Martin a lot? I like his game but worry about his health. Do you think he finishes the season? Also, Thompson has been a nice surprise this season.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Emry DowningHall

    @Ciolkstar: Hold onto Danny and see what happens with the prognosis. Is Horford the worst guy on your roster right now?

  • Andrej

    i have roger mason should i drop him for rafer??

  • http://www.slamonline.com Emry DowningHall

    @AndreJ: Mason is a better source of 3′s but not by much. I would make that move right away.

  • http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lqkMfToY9Pk&eurl=http://www.infowars.com/keyes-stop-obama-or-us-will-cease-to-exist/ Tarzan Cooper

    i picked up aaron brooks as soon as i heard about the trade. mcdyess is having another great stretch run.. TROY MURPHY is having as great a year as anyone..

  • http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lqkMfToY9Pk&eurl=http://www.infowars.com/keyes-stop-obama-or-us-will-cease-to-exist/ Tarzan Cooper

    also, im pissed that salmons got traded. what will he get now, 22 minutes? booooooo

  • http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lqkMfToY9Pk&eurl=http://www.infowars.com/keyes-stop-obama-or-us-will-cease-to-exist/ Tarzan Cooper

    CLICK MY NAME, CLICK MY NAME.

  • http://hibachi20.blogspot.com Moose

    Emry, I am one of the guys who got killed by the Al Jefferson injury. Here’s my team……Dwyane Wade
    Nate Robinson
    Kevin Martin
    Derrick Rose
    OJ Mayo
    Al Horford
    Ron Artest
    Hedo Turkoglu
    Emeka Okafor
    Jason Richardson
    Chris Bosh
    Gerald Wallace
    Jeff Green………It’s an eight team league. I seem to be pretty set in all categories, so I’m looking for general improvement. But three pointers would be very, very nice, just something I’d love because I don’t get that many. Here are some guys who are on the wire……Samuel Dalembert
    Monta Ellis
    Kevin Love
    Leandro Barbosa
    Charlie Villanueva
    Greg Oden
    JR Smith
    Ronnie Brewer
    Ryan Gomes
    Thaddeus Young
    Michael Beasley
    Francisco Garcia
    Eric Gordon
    DJ Augustin
    Spencer Hawes
    Rodney Stuckey
    Brook Lopez
    Luis Scola
    Yi Jianlian
    Rudy Fernandez
    Udonis Haslem……That’s the best of the waiver wire. Any add/drop moves I should make? Or trades that I should propose? Thanks, Emry.

  • http://www.another48minutes.blogspot.com Gerard Himself

    Al Thornton is day-to-day, but I’m also in a weekly league, where I must set the roster for the whole week. Will I start Nocioni instead of Thornton?

  • http://ittakesanationofmillionstoholdthissac.blogspot.com ciolkstar

    Yeah emry. Horford and Eric Gordon are my the only droppable players on my roster, IMO.

    PG Rajon Rondo
    SG Joe Johnson
    G Eric Gordon
    SF Carmelo Anthony
    PF Brook Lopez
    F Al Horford
    C David Lee
    Util Devin Harris
    BN Danny Granger INJ
    BN Tyrus Thomas
    BN Jeff Green
    BN Caron Butler

  • http://ittakesanationofmillionstoholdthissac.blogspot.com ciolkstar

    Moose if you need threes get Charlie V on your roster ASAP. I have No IDEA how he’s still a FA even in an 8 team league. I’d drop Horford for him in a flash in my 10 team league.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Emry DowningHall

    @Gerard: Nice question, I would start Nocioni just so you don’t risk missing any games. Each team plays at least 3x this week so there’s not much fluctuation there. Thornton is day to day so it’s really tough to tell at this point but might as well play it safe.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Emry DowningHall

    Moose: I would rather own Charlie V, and K. Love over Horford. If you need 3′s you could add Charlie and pick some up and not miss to much anywhere else by dropping Al H.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Emry DowningHall

    @Ciolkstar: The stream of Brooks and Garcia is a good way to go then…

  • http://hibachi20.blogspot.com Moose

    Thanks, Emry. I’m loaded on boards, so that’s great. Thanks!

  • http://ittakesanationofmillionstoholdthissac.blogspot.com ciolkstar

    Yo Emry. I posted my roster above, I’m still in 2nd and really need to replace Granger’s production (especially 3s and blocks) I got Tyrus aboutr 10 days ago and he’s been beasting. But I really feel like francisco Garcia can be a poor mans Granger for me right now. Racking up points, 3s, Blks and steals with minor rebound and assist contributions. Horford has been consistently d3cent and aside from a few monster games, largely underwhelming, I’m very forward heavy and need 3s far more than any other category. Can I drop Horford?

  • http://ittakesanationofmillionstoholdthissac.blogspot.com ciolkstar

    Sorry, I didnt see your response. Thanks man.

  • http://sjsu.edu davidR

    von wafer!

  • http://www.hibachi20.blogspot.com BETCATS

    Moose: i am not a fantasy basketball man, but i am a Bobcats fan. As one, i am telling you to cut Gerald Wallace and pick up Thad Young or Charlie V or Leandro. Wallace’s numbers are going down, he is not playing at 100%. Leandro is doing good in the run and gun game, Thad is a skilled player who gets the job done, and Charlie V is now getting plays called for him. This is comming from somebody who knows NOTHING about fantasy basketball, so maybe these guys suck in it or something, i am more a expert on reality.

  • http://ittakesanationofmillionstoholdthissac.blogspot.com ciolkstar

    BET, whats wroing with Gerald Wallace? I thought he had been putting up decent numbers since coming back. he may just not have full lung capacity yet.
    You’re definitely right about Barbosa and Charlie V going the F.uck off last week though. Those guys have both been unconcious.
    I was the biggest Thad Young stan on SLAMonline earlier this season, and he’s been up and down, but he mainly contributes in points, and is occasionally huge in threes and steals(still not a dominating rebounder). He’s getting more looks without Brand, but his shooting has remained too inconsistent to depend on.

  • http://www.hibachi20.blogspot.com BETCATS

    cio: he is inconsistant, and only at times is the Gerald of old. It doesnt help we are in the mist of a 5 games in 7 days period and loosing all of them convincingly. I am just giving moose advice.

  • http://slamonline.com Ben Osborne

    Hawesome.

  • http://sjsu.edu davidR

    ciolk, if you need 3s steals and points, definitely grab blur. he’s thriving once again in the run-n-gun, and has been picking up his play since amare went down. horford is a good pickup if you need a solid 8pt/10reb guy every game, but looking at your roster, seems like your rebounds are decent.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Emry DowningHall

    G. Wallace is on his 4th game back from a pretty serious injury… give him some time. He’ll be alright.

  • Some Guy

    Hello Emry… I play in a 14 team league and I’m currently in 2nd place. I picked up Ghostface Pryzbilla when Amare got injured. Should I drop him and pick up Oden? Oden was dropped recently.

  • http://sjsu.edu davidR

    oden is a huge risk. seems very injury prone. portland seems to be doing fine right now — i’d imagine they’ll rest oden as long as they keep winning to save him for the playoffs

  • http://www.slamonline.com Emry DowningHall

    Some Guy: I would rather own Oden to be honest. He’s an injury risk but it’s a waiver guy in a 14 team league so your other options aren’t that great. More upside with Oden and I would roll the dice on that move…

  • http://www.alllooksame.com Tarzan Cooper

    not too long ago, didnt someone include in a column of theirs that tony parker and dwight howard are really overrated??????? whoever that was, they look stupid.

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