October 27, 2009 8:00 am  |  28 Comments

30 Teams, 30 Days NBA Live 10

Toronto Raptors Season Preview.

We conclude the Atlantic Division previews with the Toronto Raptors. YouDeMar DeRozan & Jose Calderon can read past previews here.

by Chris O’Leary / olearychris

First off, I’d like to welcome you to opening day in the NBA. It’s here, we’ve finally made it. We’ve willed away the last four months, traded summer for sweaters and now it’s time to get back to normalcy. This calls for some dated mood music.

Enjoy it. If you can find a way to loop it so it’s in the background for you all day, even better. And now let’s get into the final season preview, the 30th team in 30 days, the Toronto Raptors.

I’ve been playing a lot of old-school videogames lately. In an era of memory cards, checkpoints and instant saves, I’d forgotten how infuriating it can be to play a game without a continue option. You lose an hour or more of time that you couldn’t really afford to give up in the first place, just to press the wrong button or slip off of a ledge when you’re running top speed and that’s it. Cue the black screen, a depressing tune and some sort of frowny face, signaling the end of your era. Cue up some old-school videogame rage, too.

When I got my umpteenth black fail screen on Wonderboy in Monsterland it brought flashbacks of slamming my controller into the floor when I was in the fifth grade. It was here that the realization hit me. Only one other thing in this world brings me this level of frustration and it’s the Toronto Raptors.

As they head into their 15th season in the NBA, it feels like the Raptors have taken their fans through various stages of the game, only to have it end prematurely, sending them back to level one. For the majority of those 15 years, the hope has been the same for this team: 45-50 wins and a trip to the playoffs, maybe the second round. And save for two or three seasons that you could call a success, the team has fallen short of those hopes, while going down a familiar and unfortunate path.

Everything’s rosy in late October. By Christmas, something’s not right. During All-Star weekend you’re hoping that a trade could turn things around. Come March, you’re hoping they lose to get a good spot in the lotto. At the end of April they’ve put together a win streak out of games that don’t matter and set themselves up for continued mediocrity.

So here the Raptors are again, late October with the world and 82 games in front of them. There are new reasons for optimism. Nine new faces on a gutted roster that’s eager to leave the 33-win season of a year ago behind them. The bench has been shored up and the core of Chris Bosh, Andrea Bargnani and Jose Calderon have a new and talented sidekick in Hedo Turkoglu. Throw in ninth-overall pick DeMar DeRozan or Marco Belinelli at the two and you’ve got a solid starting five that’s heavy on the international flavor that the Raps have been serving up for the last three years.

While the expectations/hopes/prayers of Raptors fans and the organization remain the same as most years, more of the same old this year will lead to disaster for this franchise.

With Bosh able to opt out at the end of this season, the same old will result in a trip back to square one for the franchise. Squeaking into the playoffs and losing in the first round likely won’t be enough to keep Bosh with this team a year from now. So tack that pressure onto a team that’s already facing an uphill battle in terms of chemistry, defence and rebounding (still!) and make what you will of it.

It’s not all bleak, though. Watching this group on a nightly basis should be fun this year. Bosh, Bargnani and Calderon were all a part of the 2006-07 Raps team that was able to jell and put together a 47-win campaign that saw them win the Atlantic division banner. While Boston will work to make sure that won’t happen again, Turkoglu should still fit in nicely with this group and Calderon and Jarrett Jack will work together to make sure that everyone’s strengths are catered to on offense. With a tough Eastern Conference around them, the team will need to hit the court running though.

He took his sweet time getting there, but Bargnani seems to have finally turned a corner as he enters his fourth NBA season. He ramped up his play down the stretch last year and has had a strong pre-season. Especially impressive for Bargnani is his determination to get to the hoop, rather than settling for little pop-jumpers within 10-feet of the basket. An attacking, hungry Bargnani will make a huge difference for the Raps this year. Hopefully off-season pickup Reggie Evans can get healthy ASAP, so he can rejoin Amir Johnson in toughening players up in practice.

Long in need of a two-guard, the Raps are hoping they’ve filled the order with DeRozan and Belinelli. If DeRozan can continue to build off of his strong summer-league play (17 points per game) and Belinelli can take advantage of the opportunity in front of him this year (aside: can Belinelli’s joy over being out of G-State even be measurable at this point?), the team will be much improved in a longtime sore spot.

The other Toronto sore spot, of course, comes when they don’t have the ball in their hands. They were exposed throughout their 2-6 pre-season on the perimeter and have long been an opposing rebounder’s paradise. The Raptors gave up 101.9 ppg last year, making them the 11th worst defensive team in the League. Bringing a tougher defensive-minded culture to a team is never easy, but if they can do it, it’d go a long way towards a turnaround in Toronto.

The pieces are there for the Raptors to make their way back into the Eastern playoffs this year, but with Bosh’s free agency looming, this is one season where a slight improvement isn’t going to be enough to keep him in Toronto. Whether Bosh is a top-tier player in the NBA or not, someone’s going to pay him max-money to join their team next July. And when the promise of a deep run into the playoffs holds more weight than the good intentions that his teams have carried in years past, he’ll have to jump at that chance.

The Raptors have more than the standard challenges in front of them this season. The team has to prove itself, from head coach Jay Triano to its 12th man. They have to win in the regular-season, and they need to win a lot. Landing in the No. 6 to 8 spot in the playoffs guarantees a first-round exit. They’ll need home court in the first-round to have a shot at advancing anywhere–and that’s a lot to ask of a team with this much new personnel, in an Eastern Conference that’s tougher than it’s been in years.

When the screen goes black at the end of season 15, the controller might not just get smashed on the floor. It could go through out the window, with some key furniture pieces chasing after it. Brace yourselves, Raptors fans.

Prediction: 41-41, out in the first round.

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This story is filed under: NBA, Sole Searching

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  • T.DOT Posted: Oct.27 at 8:38 am
    first

  • hackmed Posted: Oct.27 at 9:20 am
    i would say something, but … second

  • black pinoy Posted: Oct.27 at 9:45 am
    second

  • Boing Dynasty Posted: Oct.27 at 10:08 am
    WTF is with this wierd obsession with the ‘03 draft class and how they all cant wait to leave their teams. Im sure these guys just piss all over themselves thinking of the success thats waiting for them in New Jersey or New York.

  • Migs Posted: Oct.27 at 10:26 am
    Great write-up Chris, and good analogy. I think most Raps fans are masochists at heart - We’re the dudes who keep re-playing Battletoads, in hopes of finally beating that speeder-bike level, but end up smashing into the same walls. Then we reset and enjoy the first couple levels again before reaching the inevitable (and dreaded) Stage 3.

  • Joel O's Posted: Oct.27 at 10:28 am
    Perfect write-up, Chris. The Raptors NEED fifth seed at least. Or it’s going to heck.

  • Mansonovic Posted: Oct.27 at 10:30 am
    I’m taking Demar DeRozan for Rookie of the Year.

  • Lu Galasso Posted: Oct.27 at 11:05 am
    The 2-spot is still a worry. DeRozan’s 20 years old and Belinelli just isn’t very good. I’m a Raptor fan, but I can’t realistically see them getting the 4th/5th spot unless a ton of things go right. -Lu Galasso

  • Buschfire Posted: Oct.27 at 11:08 am
    with Blake Griffin out its going to be a good battle between DeMar, James Harding, Tyreke Evans and Hasheem Thabeet for ROTY! I think that was a great review. I like all the points you mentioned, and completley agree with you. The Raps need a breakout season to go deep in the playoffs, but with your prediction which i think is spot on, I’m ready to start breaking shhhhh. I’m sure CB4 will be gone by this time next year, but why NYC? unless of course he’ll be joining the big 3 there. It’ll prolly just be him and Lebron in NYC, i think wade is gonna stick it out in miami. I love the Raptors and can’t wait till tommorow night coz i got platinums for the home opener baby!!!

  • Buschfire Posted: Oct.27 at 11:11 am
    @ Galassso - I think Bellinelli will have a great season with T dot. Offensively he is a great player, its his defence which is lacking. Well I guess you could apply that statement to the team as a whole…

  • niQ Posted: Oct.27 at 11:40 am
    That was a great analogy in the intro. Great write up!

  • niQ Posted: Oct.27 at 11:42 am
    @Migs. I hated that game for that exact same level. I remember getting past it only to die in the next stage.

  • JoeMaMa Posted: Oct.27 at 11:57 am
    Buschfire, the only way Thabeet gets ROTY is if Stern makes it a Tanzanian-only trophy from now on. The Raps need a 4th seed and a 6 game series in the second round to keep Bosh.

  • Chris O'Leary Posted: Oct.27 at 1:05 pm
    @niQ and Migs, Battletoads’ opening was the best of any 8-bit game I played. And to whoever said Bosh was going to NYC, I think if he does leave the decision will be based more around personnel than location.

  • Migs Posted: Oct.27 at 1:44 pm
    @Chris - not to mention, it had the best pause screen in the history of videogames. That beat was sick.

  • ave. joe Posted: Oct.27 at 2:00 pm
    As a hopelessly devoted Raptors fan, if Bosh leaves, I would love for him to go to Dallas where it would be easy for me to hate on him (I don’t know why but i’v never liked Dirk). :S

  • MeloMan2.0 Posted: Oct.27 at 2:11 pm
    WOW! as a Raptors fan, that whole thing about optimisim in October to Trade possibilities in febuary to Hopefull Lotery picks to the meaningless 10 game win streak at the end of the year was right on the Money. Every year that’s how i feel

  • Teddy-the-Bear Posted: Oct.27 at 2:17 pm
    DeRozan will start at shooting guard, and rightfully so.

  • Buschfire Posted: Oct.27 at 2:25 pm
    JoeMaMa - I only said that as a possibility i think its gonna come down to DeRozan, Harding, and Griffin…

  • Buschfire Posted: Oct.27 at 2:25 pm
    JoeMaMa - I only said that as a possibility i think its gonna come down to DeRozan, Harding, and Griffin…

  • Chris O'Leary Posted: Oct.27 at 2:31 pm
    @Migs: that beat lives in my head to this day.

  • jdn41 Posted: Oct.27 at 2:35 pm
    If the raptors can give me atleast 41 wins, some nice highlights from DeRozan, and a couple game winning buzzer beaters by hedo i’d be a happy fan.last year we only had TWO FREAKING HIGHLIGHTS Marion over granger which was nice and bosh over the great big baby davis, but we did get a lot of face time on the highlight reel thank you jermaine o’neal

  • niQ Posted: Oct.27 at 2:43 pm
    I’m craving for some DeRozan highlights. I literally jumped out of my seat during that preseason game against Washington (I think it was Washington) where he had those 2 dirty dunks.

  • Young C Posted: Oct.27 at 3:31 pm
    DeMar DeRozan < Vince Carter at the same age(thats skills and dunks).

  • Wayno Posted: Oct.27 at 4:16 pm
    Toronto is an 8th seed at the very best, but I doubt they even make the playoffs. They’re WAY overrated.

  • buschfire Posted: Oct.27 at 6:01 pm
    I think if the team can put it together well and mesh, they have a shot at doing alright and at least making the first round of the playoffs… but if the chemistry just doesn’t flow and the defense and rebounding isn’t there then they’re gonna fall short. I’m hoping they mesh for all T dot fans out there….

  • whalleywhat Posted: Oct.27 at 6:43 pm
    Belinelli may have talent, but he really ate it this pre-season. He’s gonna have to prove me wrong at this point, otherwise I think Wright and Weems should both get minutes over him.
    Still, it’ll be interesting to see if and how this team comes together. A lot of guys on this roster can contribute, but it kind of rests on Triano’s shoulders to make it happen.

  • Shem Posted: Oct.27 at 11:09 pm
    Hasheem Thabeet isnt in the race, you realize he s coming off the bench behind Marc Gasol and Darrell Arthur + the only thing he could do (block shots) was terrible in preseason he didnt average 1. Raps will probably be out in the 1st and goodbye Bosh. But that leaves us ALOT of cap to sign other guys like LeBron…hahaha dont worry thats a joke. Anyways great write up

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