Monday, December 28th, 2009 at 6:22 pm  |  33 responses

Fantasy Basketball, Week 10

Swallow your pride: Pick up Juwan Howard!

by Charles Peach

Both Yi and Tyrus Thomas lived up to the hype as they both bounced back from injuries in astonishing fashion. Yi scored 22 points, hit 4 threes, and grabbed 8 boards in his first game back with the Nets while Tyrus tallied 21 points and 9 rebounds in his return for Chicago. Each of them should be owned in all leagues.

Not too long ago, Joel Przybilla was the hot waiver wire pickup because Greg Oden went down. This week it was Przybilla’s turn to suffer and Juwan Howard’s time to shine. The Blazers have been depleted but not yet destroyed by injuries this season. Howard is valuable by default almost, averaging 8.7 points and 10 rebounds in his last three games. He’ll be a decent short-term option while the Blazers shop for a better big man. There has also been a Jerryd Bayless breakthrough due to the lack of healthy bodies in Portland. He had a fantastic game on Wednesday, posting 31 points and 7 assists and followed that up with another 7-Jonas Jerebkoassist performance on Christmas.

PICKUPS

Jonas Jerebko – Great sign this Sunday: Tayshaun Prince, Richard Hamilton and Ben Gordon all returned to action for the Pistons and Jerebko still started and played 30 minutes. He scored 14 points to go along with 7 rebounds, 2 steals, 2 threes, and a block.

Kirk Hinrich – Stepped into the starting lineup for the first time this season and helped the Bulls get a nice win against New Orleans on Saturday. His line was very solid; 14 points, 7 assists, 6 rebounds, and 3 threes. This could just be a short-term option depending on who takes Vinny Del Negro’s place and how much the new coach values John Salmons.

DeJuan Blair – Another player who’s stock has taken off because of a promotion to the starting lineup. An injury to Matt Bonner has provided the rookie an opportunity to produce. He’s averaging 8 points, 11 rebounds, 1.5 blocks, and a steal in his last two games.

Ty Lawson – Chauncey Billups has one of those annoying, lingering groin injuries. He missed three games, tried to return on Christmas but was unable to play in the second half. Lawson will be a solid fantasy option while Billups misses time, the extent of which is unknown.

Tony Allen – It sounds like Paul Pierce could miss about two weeks with an infected right knee. Allen has started the past two games in P-Squared’s absence and been relatively effective in scoring, steals, and rebounds. He should only be considered while Pierce sits.

Nazr Mohammed – Tyson Chandler has a stress fracture in his foot so Nazr will see the floor a lot in the upcoming week. In his last two games he’s averaging 14 points, 8.5 rebounds, one steal, and one block.

ON THE RADAR

Jared Dudley – His playing time is steadily increasing and Grant Hill hasn’t been overwhelmingly impressive. He has hit at least one 3-pointer in 27 of his last 28 games and has the highest 3-point percentage in the league at 50 percent.

Devin Brown – Shooting the ball very well lately, including 6 threes against Chicago on Saturday. He can also be a steady source of steals when he’s playing a lot but he’s going to have to keep up the hot shooting for the minutes to continue coming his way.

Tyler Hansbrough – Tallied consecutive double-doubles last week but it came at the expense of two blowouts. The Pacers havTyler Hansbroughe been wretched lately and it’s helping Psycho-T’s fantasy value. His field goal shooting is very poor at 36.5 percent. He didn’t connect on any shot attempts against Miami on Sunday but made all ten of his free throws. If the Pacers weren’t still mired in playoff contention at 9-20 I’d be more inclined to think Hansbrough would see the court more frequently. However, since anything is possible in the Eastern Conference you probably won’t see much more of this from him, especially once Danny Granger returns.

Corey Brewer – Something crazy happened last week. We’ll call it a Christmas Miracle. The Timberwolves won two games in a row. During the big winning streak Brewer totaled 44 points, making 16 of 27 shots.

Randy Foye – Replaced DeShawn Stevenson in the starting lineup and has been mildly productive. With Arenas running the show in DC there is no ball movement on the offensive end. He can hit threes and get assists but it won’t be consistent with Earl Boykins and Nick Young poised to get minutes as well.

Drew Gooden – A battle with back spasms forced him to sit out Saturday night, he played on Sunday however and posted a double-double (19 points, 10 rebounds) on 8-of-8 shooting. Dampier has been playing very well so there will be limited opportunities for Gooden to deliver like this.

DROP OR BUY LOW?

The following players currently have lower value than usual. In some cases, it might be time to drop but in others you may want to consider buying low.

Roy Hibbert – The guy hasn’t had a 10-rebound game since November 18 against the Knicks. He’s often in foul trouble which has contributed to him playing sub-20 minutes in 13 games this season. Recommendation: Drop.

John Salmons – He’s had a miserable start to the season and just lost his starting job. However, Del Negro will be gone soon and that should be good news for Salmons. The Bulls have the personnel to be an up-tempo style team especially with the return of Tyrus Thomas. So depending on who is brought in to be the head coach, SalmErsan Ilyasovaons could get his season turned around in a big way. Recommendation: Buy Low.

Ersan Ilyasova – He scored only 13 points and made only 4 of 24 shots in the last three games, a slump that came out of nowhere. Some of his owners might be infuriated and ready to give up on him, an opportune time for you swoop in and grab him. He’ll get it turned around in a hurry. Recommendation: Buy Low.

Boris Diaw – Last season he averaged 15.1 points, 5.9 rebounds, and 4.9 assists per game, this year he’s well-off that pace. He hasn’t scored in double figures for seven straight games, and has only attempted four free throws in the last nine games. The only big numbers he’s consistently posting are fouls and turnovers. Recommendation: Drop.

Dahntay Jones – Any swag that he had developed in the beginning of the season has officially been squandered. The Pacers are a complete disaster right now so it’s hard to predict who will emerge once the dust settles, but for now I’d say it would be best to look at your other options. Recommendation: Drop.

Mike Dunleavy – He just suffered through a horrendous four-game stretch in which he scored a total of 15 points and made only 6 of his 36 shots. Like I mentioned above, the Pacers are in shambles at the moment but I’m willing to bet Dunleavy is able to get his act together. Recommendation: Buy Low.

Other Fantasy Notes

Eric Maynor was dealt from the Jazz to the Thunder but it shouldn’t have any immediate impact in the fantasy realm.

– Blake Griffin is “targeting” a return in about three weeks, according to Rotoworld. Hopefully this is an accurate estimate and we’ll FINALLY see the number one pick on the court in January.

FANTASY LINE OF THE WEEK

LeBron had a monster triple-double this week but my favorite line is a classic from Josh Smith against Indiana on Saturday night: 22 points, 6 rebounds, 5 assists, 5 blocks, and 4 steals.

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  • http://www.another48minutes.com Gerard Himself

    nice post. About Hinrich: in one league we play with weekly line-ups, and I wanted to add an extra point guard, so I chose to play Hinrich instead of Andre Miller, who’s been really inconsistent. It’s a gamble, but both play 3 games, and for some reason I do think he’ll be starting at least this week. Like you said, you don’t know what will happen if Del Negro is fired….

  • http://www.stonesthrow.com/madlib Michael NZ

    Dampier and Gooden drive me crazy: they could go for 17 and 15 or just as likely play 5 mins and go for 2 and 2. As for Diaw… I was happy to draft him where I did, but he had to be cut. Such a wasted pick. No-ones touched him since. Thanks for nothing S-Jax!

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @Gerard Himself: Good move. I would have taken Hinrich over Miller too because he’s a better 3-point shooter. Apparently the decision has already been made to fire him but they’re waiting to find a replacement. That seems strange to me but I still think he’s out.
    @Michael NZ: Dampier has actually been somewhat reliable of late which is a big surprise. I had Diaw too and had to let him go, that pissed me off.

  • Waters

    Peach, I dropped Morrow to pick up Bayless in one of my leagues, do you think that was a smart move? Right after I dropped Morrow he was picked up, so I can’t hit the redo button on that one.

    Also, who would you rather have:
    Tyrus Thomas, Yi or Ilysaova?

  • http://www.stonesthrow.com/madlib Michael NZ

    @Charles and anyone else: Andrew Bynum and Villanueva for Marc Gasol and Kendrick Perkins? Which two would you rather have? Forget points standings for the minute.

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  • http://www.hibachi20.blogspot.com Hursty

    Just quietly, Brendan Haywood has been a force this season.
    12 points, 10 rebounds and 2 blocks with an assist.
    (Hasn’t had less than 8 rebounds this year)

    I’m in a ROTO league, and have both Richard Jefferson and Odom, both of whom have been playing.. average to say the least.
    I’ve been trying to trade them both, but nobody is stupid enouugh to take them (lol). The league is super competitive, and as such, the FA list is pretty thin.
    Ideas? Cheers.

  • davidR

    what stats do you need hursty?

  • michgcs

    hey guys, i need some help. i need another PG. should i pick up cj watson? i have birdman, milsap, ersan, damp, sammy d, ty thomas, nene, and hawes as my big men.

  • http://www.hibachi20.blogspot.com Hursty

    Need pretty much every stat DavidR.
    Hving bums like RJ, Odom, Josh Howard and (formerly) Blake Griffin and Manu really killed me. John Salmons has played like sh*te too.
    Just traded Gerald Wallace for T-Mac/Boozer a week ago and now T-Mac is out indefinitely.
    I’m coming last… *sigh*.
    Only stat I’m winning is TO’s – coming first… yay.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @Waters: I don’t know that I’d drop Morrow, but hopefully Bayless can have some big games for you. Both of them produce inconsistently so it’s not that much of change. Yi is playing at a whole new level right now but I think Tyrus could be more valuable in the long run because of all the blocks and steals he gives you.
    @Michael NZ: I’d rather have M. Gasol & Perkins.
    @Hursty: I’m in a league that counts offensive rebounds as its own category. I just traded Gilbert Arenas for Haywood, straight up. I think Odom will turn things around so just hang on to him as for RJ I’m not so sure but maybe he’ll get more comfortable in San Antonio and have a stronger 2nd half of the season. I don’t think either of them should be dropped quite yet.
    @michgcs: Wow you have a ton of big men. Is CJ the best option on the wire? He had 7 steals last night which was a jaw-dropper. He subbed in for Curry at the end of the 1st quarter and Curry didn’t play another second. Very strange. So it’s hard to say that he’ll be consistent enough to pickup. If I had to drop one of those big men it would have to be Birdman.
    @Hursty: The best thing you could possibly do is hope that some of those players string together some good games so you can sell high. You have a lot of dead weight on your team. Also you want to do the OPPOSITE of the trade you just made. You need to do 2 for 1′s so you can get rid of your junk, the same way that guy dumped T-Mac into your lap.

  • http://www.hibachi20.blogspot.com Hursty

    I know T-Mac is basically dead weight right now, but this was when he was still playing, and looked ok. I was going to keep ‘Mac and drop RJ or trade him away, but now that plan is fu*ked for another 2 weeks probably.
    Also, picked up J. Harden, and he’s filling it up ok…. yes that’s how competitive the league is, and how thin the FA list is.
    I’m waiting for RJ ro have a decent game 25/4/4 would be nice, and string together a few ok games after that, claim ‘he’s back!’ and trade his @ss for Mike Bibby or something haha.
    Any thoughts on the calibre of player I could get for Josh Howard?
    Actually, my roster is this;

    Rose
    Salmons
    Josh Howard
    T-Mac
    Landry
    Ginobili
    Ben Gordon
    Butler
    Pau Gasol
    Dirk
    J O’Neal
    Boozer
    Jamal Crawford

    HELP!
    I have to trade at least two of these guys, even if it’s only for a role player like Bibby who hits 3′s and little else. If I can get more guys from the same team, that’s good too. E.g. Salmons, Rose – I had Miller too at one point… FML. That’s how screwed I am right now.
    Again, HELP!

  • http://slamonline.com/ niQ

    Salmons has been uber inconsistent this year. I drafted him hoping he would produce anything NEAR the stats last year, AND possibly see a spike in scoring due to the leaving of Gordon. But low and behold he’s been WORSE. But I can’t really trade him either cause no one likes his FG%. Guess I’m stuck with him. Someone just dropped Hibbert in one of my leagues. Since I have a spot on my team where I basically swap players every week I might take a gamble on him. At least he’ll get me some blocks, when he does play…

  • http://slamonline.com/ niQ

    By the way, I watched the Raptors/Detroit game. And was impressed with Jerebko’s play. Dude is got some hustle. I would love to see him playing for the Raptors, damn..

  • http://staticseth.blogspot.com/ Seth

    I’ve had my finger on the trigger with picking up DeJuan Blair but am not sure if it’s worth doing since I’d have to drop Birdman, a reliable source of blocks. Is he getting more time only because of Bonner’s injury (ESPN doesn’t have anything on that oddly)? Or has he simply been promoted?

  • http://www.stonesthrow.com/madlib Michael NZ

    Hursty, you traded away Wallace?! Ugh. Didn’t let a little Houston bias get in the way did you? I don’t know whats worse: the trade itself or the fact that someone had T-Mac on their roster, lol.
    @niQ: I think having that rotating roster spot for whoever is hot off the waiver wire is a key to winning leagues – I do that too – and, damn it, I’m first in both leagues I play.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Emry DowningHall

    Salmons and Bynum seem intent on ruining my season… luckily Yi is gonna hold me down for a while.

  • http://www.need4sheed.com Tarzan Cooper

    hursty, you are screwed, you had a bad draft. and an even worse trade. why the hell would you trade gerald? you def. should have ran that by us first. you wont be doing anything this season. my only suggestion is that you keep eyes on all waiver players and see who starts to play well. think of this as homework for next season. i dropped ersan, he had been sucking majorly. i picked up kirk on a couple teams, i hope he keeps that starting gig. i also picked up tryus, excited to see steals and blocks., and am waiting for blake, still

  • mike B

    i was wondering who is a fantasy player lamar odom or corey maggette?

  • http://slamonline.com/ niQ

    Hursty, just drop T-mac. He’s useless right now. And your best trade bait right now are Manu and Ben Gordon.

  • http://www.hibachi20.blogspot.com Hursty

    Bah!
    Nobody wants either of them because they aren’t playing right now. They want to see how Manu plays out with his recovery (signs are promising though), and they won’t take an injured player on for even a week.
    My draft wasn’t that terrible early in the season, but now it’s looking worse every-day. I dropped Blake Griffina after holding him for 3 weeks too.. talk about dead weight.
    I traded Wallace for Boozer/T-Mac and I needed centre eligible players (Boozer is PF/C), and when I did make the trade, T-Mac and the Rockets were looking to increase his minutes.. it was a gamble that didn’t pay off at all.

  • michgcs

    @charles, it’s either cj watson or goran dragic at this point… my only guards are kidd, joe johnson, and grant hill…

  • http://www.stonesthrow.com/madlib Michael NZ

    Take CJ Watson. Barbosa will take some of Dragic’s minutes now anyway.

  • michgcs

    @michael nz, that’s what i was thinking, too. still a bit hesitant on dropping birdman, though. is milsap really better than him? (oh, im in a H2H league, btw). and i forgot, ridnour is also a FA. him or watson?

  • http://slamonline.com nbk

    hursty you strugglin in every league your playin in huh?

  • http://slamonline.com/ niQ

    Who is more valuable long-term for the season? Marreese Speights or Roy Hibbert?

  • http://slamonline.com nbk

    Hibbert has no competition… But if speights does get the majority of the minutes he will have better numbers. Hibbert is a safer bet though

  • http://slamonline.com/ niQ

    Yea, that’s what I was thinking. Plus Troy Murphy is battling with injuries as of late. The only thing about Speights is you never know how many minutes ANY of the 76ers will get. Kind of like Golden State. Well I have Speights right now, I think I’ll hold on to him for 1 or 2 more games then try to buy him low from someone.

  • http://slamonline.com/ niQ

    I mean buy Hibbert low.

  • http://slamonline.com nbk

    yeah i have speights in one of my leagues. W/ AI in though Dalembert is 100% more effective. idk how long it’ll last but im regretting dropping dalembert everytime iverson plays

  • http://slamonline.com/ niQ

    Lol I dropped Dalembert too. But it was for Yi, so.. So far it’s been paying off.

  • http://www.hibachi20.blogspot.com Hursty

    nbk – what?

  • http://staticseth.blogspot.com/ Seth

    NIQ, how do you feel about dropping Sammy considering he had 7 blocks last night? Zing!

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