Monday, December 21st, 2009 at 3:56 pm  |  26 responses

Fantasy Basketball, Week 9

Who to own: Yi, Tyrus… or both?

by Charles Peach

In the comments from last week’s column I was asked how my fantasy teams were doing. I have two of them and they’re both head-to-head with 12 teams. In one league I’m tied for the lead. I’m happy with that squad. It helps that I had the number one pick (CP3) but the rest of the roster is well-rounded (Joe Johnson, Rudy Gay, Brandon Jennings, Kevin Love, Brendan Haywood, Jason Thompson, Andrea Bargnani, Mehmet Okur, Kenyon Martin, Carl Landry, Caron Butler and Yi).

I’m going to start shopping Caron, who just isn’t cutting it this season. There are rumors that he could be dealt, and it would make a lot of sense for Washington to make a move. They have way too many guys who should be getting playing time but Arenas, Jamison and Butler consume the majority of the minutes. Maybe I’ll hang on to him just in case he’s traded to Golden State or Phoenix where the stats are plentiful.

My other league has a bit of a twist. ‘Twist’ is too nice of a word. It’s more of a deformity. We include offensive rebounds as a category. So instead of a nice, simple, straightforward, balanced, standard nine-category league we have a skewed, lopsided, overvalued big-man league. We’ve had the league together since 2003 and the categories have remained the same despite annual efforts of mine to get rid of the o-boards. Nevertheless, I’m currently third in the deformed league and trying to hold it together while my franchise player Danny Granger recuperates.

That team received a breath of fresh air this week when Lou Williams returned. Most signs indicated he’d be sidelined for two months with the broken jaw; instead, he’s back with the Sixers in three and a half weeks (queue Rick Kamla going nuts about what a warrior he is). The rest of the roster includes Gilbert Arenas, Bargnani, Brook Lopez, Luis Scola, Jason Thompson, Nene, Courtney Lee, Eric Gordon, Ronnie Brewer, Andrei Kirilenko, Grant Hill and Joel Przybilla. That group doesn’t look so hot without Granger in the mix, I know. I’m going to struggle while he’s out, which I hope isn’t too long. I’m currently trying to trade Arenas for B. Haywood. This might not make sense in most leagues, but in the deformed league it makes too much sense. So much that I’ll probably be rejected.

We regularly discuss who should be picked up but rarely who should be dropped. I decided to part ways with Boris Diaw last week. I just got tired of vomiting after examining his line in the box score every night. Like yesterday — 4 points, 5 turnovers, 6 fouls (puke!). Good riddance. I’m also losing patience quickly with Ronnie Brewer and Kirilenko. AK47 was in effect at the beginning of the season. He averaged 14.5 points through the first 14 games and he was rebounding, passing, stealing, blocking and making me look like I knew what I was doing with my 11th round pick. But since then, he’s sat out six games and he’s scored less than 10 points in six others. As for Brewer, he puts up enough steals to help you forget about the rest of the categories.

Pickups

Marreese Speights – Just have to mention him here in case your league is snoozin’. He had a speedy recovery from his partially torn MCL and broke out a career-high 28 points against the Clippers on Saturday. He should definitely be owned in all formats.

Jameer Nelson – Well, wave goodbye to JWill’s fantasy career. Unless Jameer were to injure himself again (which isn’t much of a stretch at this point) it is likely White Chocolate has seen his name on a fantasy roster for the last time. Nelson is expected to play tonight against the Jazz.

Yi Jianlian – If you have the room on your roster, Yi could be a nice pickup as he is set to return on Wednesday. The Nets have been abysmal and perhaps Yi could provide the spark they need to start competing.

Tyrus Thomas – If he’s a free agent in your league there isn’t much time left to stash him. He’s reportedly eyeing a return this Saturday. The Bulls miss his energy and his fantasy owners miss his rebounds, blocks and steals. Be prepared to drop Taj Gibson if you currenChris Andersently employ him.

Chris Andersen – Brrrrrrrrrrrrrr. Did you hear that? If only there were sounds that played when you added certain players from the waiver wire, like the Birdcall. Who else would have signature sounds? A fire alarm for Tim Thomas? A gong for Yi? A shriek of terror for Quentin Richardson? Coughing for Josh Howard? Anyway, Birdman just has to be owned right now. He’s blocking shots at a fantastic rate and his rebounds per game are on the rise. I think George Karl realizes that the Nuggets need his defensive presence to be an elite team in the West.

Leandro Barbosa – He scored 17 points in 15 minutes in his last game before he sprained his ankle. That was November 29 and he’s due back on December 25. Fantasy owners in need of threes and points could set themselves up for a nice Christmas gift by scooping him off the wire this week.

Anderson Varejao – The second Brazilian on today’s list. He’s been a solid contributor for the Cavs during their recent success. Nearly a double-double along with a block and a steal are reasonable numbers to expect from him on a nightly basis.

On The Radar

Mario Chalmers – He lost his starting job to Carlos Arroyo. I get the feeling that the Heat might be doing this to ignite theMario Chalmers youngin’ out of Kansas. He can knock down shots and defend so you might want to consider grabbing him while his stock is low.

CJ Miles – Quite the game against Charlotte on Saturday. In 35 minutes played he scored 20 points, connecting on 3 threes. He added 5 rebounds, 3 assists, 3 steals and 2 blocks. Don’t expect this to happen often; in fact I wouldn’t be surprised if he only scored 5 points in his next game, but see if he’s able to win the starting gig from Wesley Matthews.

Rasual Butler – When you look at the scoreboard of your head to head match-up this week and see that you lost three-pointers by nine, you are going to wish you had Rasual on your side because he hit ten! He’s a specialist, but a streaky one. He’s already had a six game stretch this season in which he failed to hit a three. But last week he averaged 15.8 points and hit those 10 deep-balls that really could’ve helped some people.

Serge Ibaka – Solid performances in back to back games for the rookie out of Congo. He had 12 points, 5 rebounds, a block, and a steal on Friday then Saturday he added 10 points, 8 rebounds and 2 blocks. Maybe Coach Brooks will try him in the starting five instead of Krstic.

James Harden – His minutes are up and Thabo Sefolosha’s are down. He soon could be appearing alongside Kevin Durant and Jeff Green in the starting lineup, not just music videos.

Damien Wilkins – His last two outings have been productive including a very nice line in Boston on Sunday (18 points, 2 threes, 6 rebounds, 6 assists, 3 blocks, 0 turnovers). This performance was largely due to Ryan Gomes sitting out his fourth consecutive game because of injury.

Jared Jeffries – Unfortunately in most standard fantasy leagues there isn’t a category for ‘intangibles’ otherwise Jeffries could be more useful to you. He’s been starting for the Knicks and averaging 34 minutes in his last five games. That’s 11 minutes higher than his career average so the opportunity is there to produce. If he is to achieve fantasy value it would come via defensive tenacity, his ability to gather steals and blocks. He has 10 blocks in his last six games and he had six steals against Charlotte on Tuesday. Expect next to nothing offensively. On Sunday, he didn’t even attempt a shot in 31 minutes on the floor.

Jerryd Bayless – Had a career-high 29 points in the victory against Phoenix on Thursday but has only 16 points total in his past two games. Put the breakout champagne back on ice.

Fantasy SidenoNate Robinsonte

- Nate Robinson has officially reached ‘cheerleader/mascot’ status in NY. Sunday was his ninth consecutive DNP-CD. You’d think he’d at least get a little burn off the bench to stay fresh, but he ain’t gettin nadaaaaa from Mike. Is a trade on the horizon?

Fantasy Line of the Week
I see what Z-Bo is doin’ with his 32 points and 24 rebounds on Sunday but I’m going to hand this one to Chris Paul: 30 points, 19 assists and 9 rebounds. Oh, and a reminder for you Nuggets fans: Both of these lines were established against your defense in consecutive games.

Safe and happy holidays to all!

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  • http://www.need4sheed.com Tarzan Cooper

    i had to drop lamar, and i did it for lou williams. i figured i could wait a few weeks, cuz im in first. then he played! i have lou williams in all three leagues im in. you had better not trade gil. 45 and 13. hibachi! i have haywood on that same team that i have gil. ive had the birdman. harden should be an immediate pickup. the wiz? caron or antawn is going to be traded, probably soon

  • http://slamonline.com/ Ryne Nelson

    Thanks for this, Charles. I went out and took Yi this afternoon. He can’t be worse than Hak Warrick. By the way, your thoughts on Carl Landry and if/how his five-tooth knockout will affect his performance…

  • http://www.twitter.com/JoshElam JE

    Charles:
    A. any word on the timetable for Andris Biedrins? My team has been crazy injury-plagued for most of the season, since I’ve owned Jameer Nelson, Biedrins, Kevin Love (who I ultimately dropped and lost), and more recently, Iverson and McGrady. Thing is, if our playoffs started today I’d still be in them, so I’ve hung on to everyone.
    B. Ben Wallace is currently my most expendable player, but he’s also been my leading rebounder. Is it worth dropping him for Tyrus Thomas or Maureese Speights (both are still available at the moment).

  • http://www.need4sheed.com Tarzan Cooper

    je, if you need pts take speights, ben and ty will be about the same on blocks, with ben getting more boards. its all about what your team needs. id go with speights. taj gibson is playing well, and i dont see tyrus getting 37 minutes anymore

  • http://www.twitter.com/JoshElam JE

    Tarzan: Thanks, but problem is, points AND rebounds are both my weakest categories right now. Regardless of what I do, I’ll probably end up regretting it in some way.

  • http://slamonline.com JL

    JE, Speights will help you in both points and rebounds, and you will not regret it!

  • http://www.hibachi20.blogspot.com Hursty

    Is it worth keeping Odom and Richard Jefferson in a ROTO league? (Percentages don’t count).
    Jefferson has basically made himself waiver type material and Odom has almost no interest in scoring.
    I got them in the 13th and 15th round of my League, which is 10 players.

  • http://www.hibachi20.blogspot.com Hursty

    I’m desperately trying to trade RJ. I’ve also got Manu and Josh Howard among other injury-prone SG/SF’s. I dont know whether to trade those two, or hold on to see how they recover from injury.
    HELP!

  • http://bulls.com airs

    i would have to completely DISagree with you on tyrus.
    if you have taj, keep taj. He’s more solid than tyrus has ever been his whole career and has been putting up some great numbers his rookies season.
    tyrus is not going to be any kind of factor for a while.

  • http://www.need4sheed.com Tarzan Cooper

    hursty, sounds like you had a turrible draft. i recently dropped odom, his stats wont improve. with odom, rj, howard, and manu. youve got about 1.5 good players, manu will be ok. probably josh too, but man, you blew your draft. sometimes there is no fix for that. i doubt you will be able to engineer a trade. what fas are available?

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @Tarzan Cooper: See, I look at it as a great opp to sell high on Arenas. That 45 & 13 came against the Warriors.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @Ryne: I don’t think it will stop him. Look for Landry to bounce back, but maybe with a mouthguard in.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @JE: Ben Wallace has been very effective this season. I would rather have Speights on my team though. I think that’s a smart move. Thomas isn’t a bad option either, both should outperform Ben from here on out.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @Hursty: Odom isn’t as terrible when you take away the percentages. He can get you blocks, steals, and a three here and there as well as pts, rebs, asts. RJ is a disappointment. His scoring is decent but doesn’t give you much else. If you are able to send away Ginobili in a trade I think that could be a solid move. I think they’ll be trying to limit his play as much as possible. Josh Howard looks like he’s finally ready to play ball. Just try to trade one of those guys to reduce your risk of injury. Try to bring in someone consistent.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @airs: I understand your feelings on Tyrus. He’s been inconsistent throughout is career and, I agree, Gibson has been playing well. But the thing that makes him extremely valuable in fantasy are his defensive stats on top of the 10 points and 7 rebounds per game. Last season he averaged 1.9 blocks and 1.2 steals per game which is fantastic.

  • Waters

    Is Dahntay Jones done for this year fantasy wise? He has been starting and putting up awful numbers. I was thinking of either dropping Dahntay or Anthony Morrow for JJ Reddick, who has been filling it up nicely over the past 5 games. I hesitate to get rid of either though, because Dahntay is so good for my defensive numbers, and Morrow can hit a ton of threes in a game and give me more in other categories than Reddick.

  • Goat

    I have Jameer in all three leagues, and will hopefully climb back to the top now that he’s healthy again! Dude rocks as a fantasy pg.

  • http://staticseth.blogspot.com/ Seth

    I just dropped Jason Williams – he filled in nicely in Nelson’s absence and he likely would have done even better if he wasn’t splitting time with Anthony Johnson (you old man, you!). I can also vouch for picking up Birdman (Andersen) as I’ve had him for a couple weeks now and he’s great for boards and blocks. Dropping Hibbert for Andersen was the best move I’ve made of late.

  • J-City

    Would you pickup Yi for Marvin Williams? Marvin’s been awful this year but I think he’ll turn it around eventually.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @Waters: The Pacers are just a mess right now. If Morrow and Redick are your best options right now I’d hold on to D.Jones because he’s still starting and playing substantial minutes. I like Morrow but Curry is eating up most of his would-be minutes.
    @Goat: Strongly agree. Jameer is a great fantasy pg: pts, asts, 3s, high %s. Let’s just hope he stays healthy for a while.
    @Seth: Who did you pickup when you dropped J-Will?
    @J-City: I like Yi’s potential more right now. I agree with you, Marvin should improve. Most of his numbers are down from last year, the most disturbing being his minutes played which have dropped from 34 to 29. Yi could prove me completely wrong but I feel like he’s poised to breakout.

  • Waters

    I have Pryzbilla on one team, now that he is out indefinitelyis it worth picking up Yi, Tyrus Thomas, Roy Hibbert or Chris Anderson? My points are fine, I need the blocks and rebounds, so I am leaning towards Anderson, and reluctantly not adding Hibbert. Who do you think would be a good add? I lose turnovers every week anyway, so that never crosses my mind.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @Waters: I’d go with Birdman or Thomas. Andersen will be solid, TT more of a gamble but a higher ceiling.

  • http://staticseth.blogspot.com/ Seth

    @Charles: After dropping JWill I picked up Kyle Lowry for two reasons: One, Houston plays four times this week. Two, he is one of the few guys available in my league who is a respectable source of assists and steals (both of which my team needs). As it stands, Lowry is currently my least productive guy, so I may consider swapping him out on a weekly basis with other guys who play four or three times a week to maximize my stat production.

  • Lucy

    I play 16×14 deep league,there is not many good FA player here no yi no Ibaka,There has J.Will,
    D. Collison,Tinsley,Mayor,Arroyo,Weems, Moute and B.Miller.any good advice can you give me?I want drop my C.Hayes.thank you.The first I need is ast and ast/o.

  • ben

    would you drop danny granger??? and return timetable??

  • Waters

    to pick up Tyrus Thomas, would you drop Ersyan Ilyasova or Chris Anderson? I am more in need of the defensive categories, and sometimes percentages and Ilysaova has been having a rough go of it the past few games, although he is by far the better player. I am leaning towards dropping Ilysaova.

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