Tuesday, January 5th, 2010 at 11:39 am  |  33 responses

Fantasy Basketball, Week 11

Agent Zero or Big Zero?

by Charles Peach

Owners of Gilbert Arenas beware. Adrian Wojnarowski of Yahoo! Sports reports that Agent Zero’s recent firearm debacle could land him a lengthy suspension. “This story has engulfed the league,” Woj writes, “and several league office and team sources believe Stern will be harsh in his judgment no matter what the legal system decides to do. This could be a suspension that extends over months, possibly the rest of the season.”

So, if Arenas is on your fantasy team, prepare for life without Gilbert. His numbers are kind of flashy this year: 22.7 points, 6.9 assists, 4.3 rebounds, 2 threes, and 1.3 steals. But it almost feels like fool’s gold. He shoots 41.1 percent from the floor and turns it over 3.7 times per game, numbers that can annihilate you in two categories. Certainly wait until the verdict is made and details of any suspension are released before you drop him, but start thinking about the players from the wire who could help.

Randy Foye could benefit the greatest from this situation, so stash him if you can. Earl Boykins has also been effective for the Wiz this season but would probably be most useful coming off the bench as he can be somewhat of a liability on defense.

The Wizards have constantly been involved in circulating trade rumors, the latest being a Caron Butler for Kirk Hinrich swap. It’s probably not much more than a rumor but the fact that they are likely candidates to make a move should have you listening to possible scenarios, especially desperate Arenas owners.

If Arenas is handed a significant suspension I don’t think GM Ernie Grunfeld or Flip Saunders will be anxious to make a move. Honestly, I believe the subtraction of Arenas will help the Wizards win more games. There is very little ball movement with Gilbert running the point and they have a solid roster to compete without him. Butler, Antawn Jamison, Brendan Haywood, Andray Blatche, Fabricio Oberto, and Javale McGee make up a formidable frontcourt. Foye, Boykins, Mike Miller, and Nick Young can handle the guard duties.

Sorry for the Wizards rant but I’m stuck here in the DC-area watching an underachieving group of players that have only 10 wins this season. Forgive me for being excited about the potential of seeing a brand of basketball which doesn’t feature the point guard dribbling the air out of the ball.

PICKUPS

Nate Robinson – Probably too late now. So, D’Antoni has a change of heart on the first day of 2010, decides to play Nate for the first time in a month, and he scores 41 points. He only scored 6 points in his last game but the point is; Nate is back in the rotation for now and we know what he’s capable of doing.

Someone texted me while Nate was going off on New Year’s Day and I ran to a computer to pick him up but saw that the person who sent the text had already nabbed him. FGlen Davisor pickups like this, and there is always a decent amount throughout each season, Twitter is the quickest source to get such information. If I hear anything I’ll let you know @Charles_Peach.

Matt Barnes – Earned his starting gig back last week. He’s averaging 20 points and 7.5 rebounds in his last two games and knocked down 5 threes against Chicago on Saturday.

Martell Webster – The Blazers desperately need him to step up while half of the roster is in the hospital. He’s tremendously inconsistent and shooting the ball at just under 40 percent this season but in his last two games he’s been great, averaging 23 points, 8.5 rebounds, and 4.5 threes.

Ty Lawson – This is temporary but the rookie continues to play very well in Chauncey Billups absence. He’s tallied 23 points and 9 assists in each of the last two games. Billups has a strained groin which is a nagging and lingering injury. While Billups misses time, Lawson is a must-own player.

Glen Davis – The Celtics will probably be tentative about bringing back Kevin Garnett anytime soon. Rasheed Wallace will soak up most of the minutes that KG leaves behind but Glen Davis has shown he can produce. He’s still working himself back into shape after missing the first 27 games of the season with a fractured right thumb. On Saturday night he scored 15 points and had 5 rebounds in less than 20 minutes of playing time.

Luther Head – Where did this come from? I spent so much time wondering who would start between Dahntay Jones or Brandon Rush? Well, neither apparently. The job is now in the hands of the fifth-year player out of the University of Illinois. He started the last three games for the Pacers and is averaging 23 points in the role.

Taj Gibson – I didn’t expect him to be this productive since Tyrus Thomas returned but he has retained his starting job and continued his impressive rookie year. He’s a force on the glass, hauling in 23 boards in his last two games, 13 of them on the offensive end. He will also get you a few buckets, blocks, and steals.

Kyle Lowry – Comfortably playing his role right now and exhibiting extremely efficient numbers during his 25 minutes per game. He contributes in a number of categories and in his last three games he’s averaging 10.3 points, 6 assists, and 5.6 rebounds.

ON THE RADAR

Wayne Ellington – Another rookie is beginning to produce for the T-Wolves. He’s averaging 14 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 2 threes in his last 3 games. I wouldn’t be surprised to see his playing time increase as the season rolls along as Minnesota should just be trying to develop its young talent at this point.

Andray Blatche – I’m going to keep his name on here because if the Wizards make a big trade, it could open the door for him to produce at a high level as he’s done in the past.

Arron Afflalo – He’s started the last 27 games for the Nuggets, who seem content on keeping Earl ‘JR’ Smith in the ‘sixth man’ role. He hasn’t been a valuable fantasy commodity quite yet but is finding his touch from behind the arch, hitting six of his last nine three-point attempts.

Roger Mason – Need a three-point specialist? Mason could be your guy in deep leagues. He connected on 10 tJeff Pendergraphhrees last week.

Tony Allen – He remains a ‘temporary fix’ while Paul Pierce is out. It’s unclear when Pierce will return so keep Allen in mind if you need some help in your deep leagues this week or next. In Allen’s last five he’s averaging 11.6 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 2 steals. The Celtics go on the road for their next three games; Wednesday @MIA, Friday @ATL, Sunday @TOR.

Jeff Pendergraph – There is no way that this guy expected to play this season other than some garbage time in a few blowouts, but here he is, starting the last two games for Portland. He’s been surprisingly productive too, grabbing 14 rebounds in one game and showing the ability to score some buckets and block a few shots. Keep your eyes on him, especially if the Blazers curse claims another starter.

FANTASY LINE OF THE WEEK

LeBron James: On his 25th birthday he put on a show against the Hawks; 48 points, 10 rebounds, 6 assists, 4 threes, 2 steals, 2 blocks.

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  • Ken

    As a Wizards fan, I can’t even begin to express how disappointed I am this year.

  • http://slamonline.com/ Ryne Nelson

    Thanks for this, Charles. I’m in dire need of a third C, and it’s slim pickings in my 16-team league. Ryan Hollins, Tyson Chandler, Nick Collison and DeAndre Jordan are all available. I’m not overly excited about either, but who would be your choice?

  • http://staticseth.blogspot.com/ Seth

    Ryne, is Hibbert available? He has started the last couple games. I’ve flip-flopped with him all season (mainly because he has been off and on and I like his blocks), recently re-adding him after Chris Andersen sprained his ankle. FYI: Tyson Chandler is still injured I believe, so you shouldn’t take him unless you’re looking for someone long-term.

  • riggs

    you forgot omri casspi

  • http://slamonline.com/ niQ

    Arenas, finally healthy and does some dumb sh!t like this. Do you think anyone will accept a trade involving Arenas?

  • http://slamonline.com/ Ryne Nelson

    Seth, Hibbert’s not available. The pickings really are bare: 12 players x 16 teams is a lot.

  • http://www.twitter.com/JoshElam JE

    Charles, speaking of Hibbert, do you think he’s “back” for good? I know there was that pathetic showing against the Knicks, but that was more of a team-wide thing.

  • http://slamonline.com/ niQ

    Well, I recently used my waiver on Hibbert. With injuries to Granger and Troy Murphy (and I think Foster), I see him producing well.

  • http://www.stonesthrow.com/madlib Michael NZ

    I picked up Hibbert a few days back. He’s been on and off the wire all season. Ryne, I tend to go for leagues that aren’t that deep for that very reason: the waiver wire plays a huge part, the more teams there are the less of a role it plays unfortunately.

  • http://staticseth.blogspot.com/ Seth

    I am eagerly awaiting news on the [likely inevitable] suspension of Arenas so I can snatch up Randy Foye. He’s already getting solid minutes now so he’s bound to get even more. I wanna time it just right so the guy in my league who owns Arenas is left shaking his fist in frustration.

  • http://www.need4sheed.com Tarzan Cooper

    i dont see why gil would get a long suspension, bassy didnt, and he had a loaded gun on a plane.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @Ryne: Tyson shouldn’t be out too much longer and his ceiling his higher than those other guys. I’m a fan of Colli’s game but Krstic has been playing pretty well and Ibaka is able to provide solid minutes for them as well. He has been productive in the last few games though, and he might be your best short-term fix of that bunch.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Emry DowningHall

    Couple things here. Great article as usual. Ok, as for the Wiz Kids… it literally must make their front office sick that they spent that kinda money on a guy who detracts as much as he adds to the teams. I would love to hear someone with a dissenting argument here. Arenas is one of those guys – Monta Ellis another – that try to do everything themselves and then make the pass the final option. This totally kills the flow of the game annd keeps capable teammates from getting off. The thing that’s frustrating about Gil is he is so talented, he can play whatever way he feels. Just see tonights line in a winning effort against Philly.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Emry DowningHall

    We watched that Wiz/Wolves game 2 weeks ago and were both floored @ home selfish Gil was. It was actually laughable. Anyway, I actually like Gil and feel bad about the gun situation. Not that he didn’t make an egregious mistake but I do feel it’s gotten a little out of hand and the truth is we dont know what happen. That said, if I had him on my roster I’m handling this suspension like an approaching Cat5 Hurricane. It may hit shore as a Cat2, but I still built my shelter. In other words, trade that bol asap even for low value. Also regarding Nate. Glad to know you got that text message. I made sure to make that move before hitting you up. Keep up the good work with these columns. Happy new years!

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @riggs: Check out Fantasy Week 8. That was the last time he was a free agent in my leagues. He’s no secret anymore; 16.1 points, 5.6 rebounds, and 2 threes per in his last 14 games.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @niQ: I would try to trade him, at least. Send some offers out there and see if you can draw any interest. Like Emry has mentioned above, even if it’s low value it might be the best move you can make. Somebody at the bottom of your league might be willing to take the risk with Arenas.
    @JE: Well, judging on tonight’s breakout game vs Dwight Howard I’d say Hibbert is here “for good!” 26 points, 8 rebounds, and 4 blocks. I probably should’ve included him in the column since he seems to be available in a surprising number of people’s leagues. He hasn’t been a free agent in either of my 12-team leagues all year.
    @Seth: It’s a good plan. I already picked Foye up in one league. It didn’t pay off tonight as the Wizards went big, starting Arenas, Butler, Jamison, Blatche, and Oberto (Haywood was ill) against the Sixers and actually Nick Young scored 21 off the bench. Foye finished with 2 points and 4 fouls! But, if Arenas goes down in flames Foye should still be the benefactor.
    @Tarzan Cooper: I’m with you. I don’t think he deserves a long suspension. It was surprising to hear the reports expecting a possible season-long suspension. Compared to the Delonte West situation it doesn’t seem like that big of a deal but the big problem is that it happened in the locker room.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @Emry: I agree that Gil is talented enough to play different styles. The troubling part is that he hasn’t done it this season. Occasionally he’ll have spurts where he becomes this pass-first point guard all of a sudden but how are his teammates supposed to react to that. How do they know which Gil is coming down the floor each possession? Since he doesn’t have the burst like Hibachi did a few years back you think that he would play that pass-first role more often, but we just haven’t seen it.
    I’m not as mad about the Nate thing anymore. It took a few days and I can live with it because you’re a Knicks fan.

  • Jacob (from Australia)

    Thought I’d let everyone know how I was searching through the waiver wire yesterday and saw Maggette sitting there averaging 17 and 6 on 53% shooting playing only 28 minutes! Needless to say, I scooped him up hoping for the best and what a surprise to see him drop 35 and 7!!! Was an amazing feeling :D

  • http://www.hibachi20.blogspot.com Hursty

    Good lookin’ out on Lowry. Dude boards like a SF, and notches up the assists. Pick him up especially against teams with small guards.
    Clippers, Hornets etc.
    He’ll get 20 minutes a game regardless, but against teams that are smaller – or like to run e.g. GS/PHX/PHI then he’ll get closer to 30.
    Most importantly, he won’t turn it over. Should also be SG eligible.

  • http://staticseth.blogspot.com/ Seth

    I’m beginning to think Foye being the guy to fill Gil’s void could be wrong, at least if the Wiz decide to go with a big lineup. But if the rumors become true and they land Hinrich in a deal, I’d be all over him. I’m even considering Hinrich now since he has been starting the last few games for Chicago and putting up solid numbers (not a good FG%, though).

  • Waters

    What do you see happening with Jeff Green in OKC? I have him in both of my leagues and he has been horrible the past 2 or 3 weeks. Is he going through a slump or is something else happening?

    Also, I was kicking my self for not taking the Gil for Carmelo trade before the season started, now I am about to put my foot all the way up my rectum.

  • jumpman3224

    When my team was assembled it was clear that it was built on scoring (Kobe, Melo, Gil, Harris, Ben Gordon). It’s taken me to second place so far and although Gil hurts me in TO. I am going to miss his scoring and dimes. Are his owners going to be dropping him or holding out until his suspensions over?

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    As serious as they claim this Arenas issue to be I’m surprised nothing has been done yet. I don’t think he’s going to be in much trouble with the law, so it’s basically Stern’s call. I’m starting to feel like he’ll get a suspension of something like 10 games.
    @Waters: Stay patient with J. Green, he’ll snap out of it.
    @jumpman3224: Don’t drop Gil, but I would shop him to see if anyone is willing to trade for him. Everything is speculation so far, nobody knows what kind of suspension there will be – if there even is one – so there might be a struggling owner willing to take a gamble on him.

  • http://slamonline.com/ niQ

    Charles, haha I can wait on 10 games, easy. But if it’s a season-long suspension, it’ll be too late to trade him. I’m in a pickle with him. lol.
    What should I do with Marreese Speights? I was so excited to pick him up RIGHT before he came back and his first 3 games back were amazing. But plummetted exponentionally after. I see people like Diaw, T.Chandler, C.Andersen, Blatche, Gooden on the FA list. I originally picked up Speights cause I felt he had Centre-eligibility and could add some points, rebounds, and blocks to my team. Should I wait on him? Or take one of the other listed?

  • http://slamonline.com/ niQ

    FML. I’m first in the league with Arenas and my season is already over. Arenas is suspended without pay..gg

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    Yea, just saw the indefinite suspension handed to Gil. Ok, we get it, you’re a jokester. You don’t take things too seriously. But act like a professional, dude. Now you’re in jeopardy of having your contract voided. That’s an expensive mistake. Did you see the picture on ESPN’s homepage? That’s just ignorant. All the Tweeting was out of control too. The guy just can’t shut his mouth. It’s impossible, and now it’ll cost him. I almost feel bad for him especially since it’s his 28th birthday today.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @niQ: Stick with Marreese, I think he’ll get it turned around. The Sixers rotation is really screwed up right now. Give it a few more games and if nothing changes then we’ll talk about another option.

  • http://slamonline.com niQ

    So Charles, should I just drop Arenas now? Or wait and see just how long this will last?

  • Waters

    Also, Jerberko 2 minutes last night? Is he on the outs and droppable?

  • http://slamonline.com/ niQ

    Meh, I’m giving up on Arenas. Picked up Nate Robinson. Although if Hinrich actually gets traded I’ll pick him up.

  • http://staticseth.blogspot.com/ Seth

    niQ, you should have just picked up Hinrich instead. Nate’s minutes could go either way, but at least Hinrish offers steady numbers. Randy Foye or Nick Young in Washington wouldn’t be bad ideas either…

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @niQ: Nate is a good pick up. He’s finally playing again (it’s Larry Hughes turn in the doghouse, apparently) and whether it be to help the team reach the playoffs or boost his trade value you can expect to see some productive numbers across the board.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @Waters: I was worried that would happen. Tayshaun & Rip gotta get their minutes. Charlie V & Ben Gordon gotta get theirs too. It’s probably time to part ways with JJ. John Kuester “liked him” from what I know but I guess that doesn’t really matter when you have all those big names that are finally healthy.

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