Monday, January 18th, 2010 at 8:01 pm  |  19 responses

Fantasy Basketball, Week 13

MLK Day: The calm before the storm.

by Charles Peach

Happy MLK Day! Twelve games throughout the day, beginning with some 1 pm East Coast tip-offs and finishing with a Finals rematch out on the Left Coast.

I feel like the state of fantasy basketball at the moment is in the “calm before the storm” stage. The waiver wire is fairly quiet. There haven’t been many gems from the free agent pool in the last few weeks (Randy Foye, maybe, the latest hot pickup). Meanwhile, GMs across the League are having closed-door discussions as the trade deadline approaches (February 18). Lots of big names are being tossed around in rumors but no splashes yet. Players are starting to wonder if they’ll be packing their bags and donning new colors within the next month. Expect a frenzy of activity soon because once rosters start to get shaken up, players from the wire will emerge.

Last week I speculated the Jazz will elect to trade Carlos Boozer thus making Paul Millsap a strong, buy-low candidate. I don’t want to back away from my prediction. I still think it is a likely scenario, but I want to continue to monitor the situation as close as I can. The best way for me to do that is simple; pay attention to how well Utah is playing because I think that will be a strong factor in their decision to trade or not trade Booz. ‘Should we keep the team together and make a run at it this season? Or, is Carlos counting down the days ‘til he can get out of Utah so trade him now while we can get something in return?’

Utah had just won four straight games before dropping one in Denver last night.

I’ll be checking Twitter (@Charles_Peach) as much as possible from now up to the trade deadline, hoping to catch news on any trades as soon as they happen and pass along whatever I discover. Also, always feel free to hit me up for an opinion about a trade or waiver wire question.

PICKUPS

Taj Gibson – Certainly not the first time we’ve discussed Young Taj here. At the moment, I think he’s a decent pickup if you’re in need of rebounds and defensive statistics because the return of Tyrus Thomas hasn’t limited him as mDelonte Westuch as I thought it might. He has started the last 11 games, over Brad Miller, for the Bulls who are starting to turn things around for Vinny Del Negro. They’ve won four straight.

Delonte West – Another one who’s been on the radar for a while. I think that by the end of the season he’s going to be a staple in fantasy lineups. In my opinion, he makes the Cavs a tougher team by taking pressure off of LeBron on the offensive end and playing hard-nosed, on-the-ball defense against opposing guards. In his last two games he’s averaging 12.5 points, 4.5 rebounds, 2 steals, and 2 threes.

Mike Miller – Let’s hope that the calf injury is finally behind him now because when he tried to come back the first time he aggravated it and he had to sit out four more games. Now he’s back again and, when healthy, can be an occasional triple-double threat and sharpshooter.

Rudy Fernandez – He’s making his way back from back surgery which kept him off the court for 19 games. When he’s fully healthy you can expect strong three-point shooting as well as a steal or two per game.

Francisco Garcia – Getting ready to make his season debut within the next few weeks, but how much playing time will be available in the crowded Sacramento backcourt? He’s a young, feisty player who will contribute points, threes, and steals but to be consistently valuable he’ll have to be very efficient with Evans, Martin and Udrih ahead of him.

ON THE RADAR

Wayne Ellington – The rook is getting more chances to Make It Wayne after posting a career-high 17 points in the 3OT thriller in Houston, then matching it in Memphis the very next game. We’ve only seen a light shower so far but you should consider picking him up if it does start Waynin’.

Robin Lopez – If he could just start playing like his twin brother… No, Robin isn’t Brook. Robin isn’t going to average 18.8 points, 9.5 rebounds, and 2 blocks anytime soon like I dreRobin Lopezamed it up in my head. But Robin could find himself playing more after posting 11 points, 6 rebounds, and (most importantly) 6 blocks against the Hawks last Friday. He would be the rebounding, defensive counter to Channing Frye who is in there for offensive purposes. But after an ugly, 125-99 loss to the Bobcats on Saturday night Grant Hill admitted there is a bit of an identity crisis in Phoenix at the moment. “We’ve got to figure out who we are, who we want to be,” Hill said. If who they want to be includes more Robin Lopez, be ready to scoop him up. But we all know who the Suns are and who they need to be; running, shooting threes, and out-scoring opponents. So, I’m looking at this as the best chance to buy low on the recently struggling Frye (averaging 5 points and 5 rebounds in his last four games).

Nick Collison – Colli is playing his role very well lately as the Thunder have won 9 of the last 13 games. During that stretch he’s averaging 25 minutes, 6.6 points, 7 rebounds, and one block per game. Not jaw-dropping but quietly productive; that’s how Colli rolls.

Carlos Delfino – He played 39 minutes in a lopsided loss to the Jazz on Saturday and had his best game of the season (28 points, 6 threes, 4 rebounds, 3 assists, 4 steals). However, I wouldn’t add him to my team unless I was really desperate. He’s very inconsistent and his field-goal percentage is sub-40. Plus, the Bucks are about to sign Jerry Stackhouse which will reduce Delfino’s opportunities just a little bit more. Joe Alexander should be making his first appearance of the season sometime this week, so look for him to try to steal some minutes away from Delfino as well.

FANTASY LINE OF THE WEEK

Baron Davis (1/12 @MEM) 27 points, 12 assists, 12 rebounds, 5 steals

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  • Dallas J

    primero

  • http://www.stonesthrow.com/madlib Michael NZ

    Joe Alexander… now there’s a guy I forgot existed. And, I wonder if Stackhouse will end up starting? Would 13pts, 3 boards, 3 assists, 42fg% be a realistic (low) ceiling? Deep league target only I guess.

  • http://www.hibachi20.blogspot.com Hursty

    Argh I’m trying to decide whether to keep McGrady or not in case he gets traded. Frustating because I haven’t heard anything for weeks now.
    I got Mike Conley for J.O last week which has turned out reasonably well. And I picked up Andris Biedrins off the FA list the day before he came back from injury.
    Today he had like 9,18 and 8 blocks with a steal and assist. Pick him up if he’s available for sure.

  • http://www.hibachi20.blogspot.com Hursty

    So, in a ROTO league, (as I’ve said before) and I’ve just pulled myself back out of last place (huzzah!).
    Roster right now:
    Rose,
    Crawford,
    Salmons,
    Conley,
    Josh Howard,
    Manu,
    Ben Gordon,
    T-Mac,
    Landry,
    Odom,
    Boozer,
    Dirk,
    Pau,
    Biedrins,
    Scola,
    And Big Z is my FA pick-up for tomorrow (since I had Battier and there are only 2 or 3 games tomorrow/today)

    9 player league, everyone’s been playing for at least 3 years, and it’s competitive, nobody leaves their roster unset etc.
    I’m becoming a really strong rebounding team now, even though I’m only 7th in that stat. I’ve just moved up to 5th in steals and my blocks/points separation is slowly being whittled down.
    I’m last in 3ptm and blocks though. But there’s only around 100 block differential between 3rd and last in that cat.
    If I stay with this squad I should be able to make up a fair bit of ground with the ‘big man’ stats. Is it worth just throwing in all my chips and trying to dominate at this point just a few stats?
    (I’m first in TO’s though, meaning I have the least haha)

    Sorry for the essay!

  • Waters1981

    Who would you rather pickup, Martell Webster or Nate Robinson? Ever since I lost Gil in both leagues I have been in a bit of a tailspin and losing points and assists. Granted, I have yet to have my whole team healthy this year. Other available players are Boris Diaw, Robin Lopez, barbosa, Chris Andersen, Hinrich, harden, Delonte, Grant Hill, matt barnes, CDR, Corey Brewer, casspi, dejuan blair.

    my team is
    Brandon Roy
    Lou Williams
    Kevin martin
    Jeff Green
    Jason Thompson
    danny Granger
    Andrea Bargnani
    Kevin Love
    Joakim Noah
    Deron Williams
    Tyrus Thomas
    Yi Jinlian

  • http://www.stonesthrow.com/madlib Michael NZ

    Hursty, you cannot be taken seriously until T-Mac is off your roster.
    ___
    And Charles, you gotta post this in the morning, cos now its off the front page… ie: less comments!

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @Michael NZ: I think those are reasonable expectations for Stack, maybe a little optimistic. This week’s column was posted later than usual, it’ll be up much earlier on Monday in the future.

  • http://www.hibachi20.blogspot.com Hursty

    So any ideas Charles?
    Micheal is just a hater haha

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @Hursty: Since you’ve held on to T-Mac for this long you ought to hang on to him a bit longer to see where he is dealt. Depending on where he goes he could become a decent fantasy source.
    As for the rest of your squad, clearly your strength is your bigs. I don’t see why your team wouldn’t be competitive by season’s end. By adding Biedrins you can probably afford to deal one of your forward/centers for a point guard or swingman. That way you can become a little more competitive in the other categories your bigs aren’t producing (3′s, assists, steals).

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @Waters: Nate has the most potential to help you in the two categories you’re struggling in (points + assists) but his playing time is still inconsistent. I think Webster is the better fantasy player at the moment. He’s been on a scoring tear; hitting 28 threes in his last 8 games. Keep your eye on Nate this Friday night against the Lakers in MSG to see how he follows up his 27 point performance in his last game.

  • Waters1981

    Actually, I stand corrected, it is more points, boards and blocks, so I think I might go with Blair, but keep Webster and Robinson in my sights.

  • Balltastics2000

    Is it time to bail on Channing frye? 2 or 3 games with this sort of playing time would be acceptable but it’s lookin like robin lopez has stolen his
    minutes.

  • http://staticseth.blogspot.com/ Seth

    Well, Robin Lopez started yet again over Channing Frye and put up solid numbers. I wonder how long he’ll continue to start because Frye was a stud for me and now he’s been cold as ice. Maybe it’s time to swap one for the other?

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @Waters1981: Blair is a good option then. I’m sure R. Lopez is gone by now, but if not then I’d grab him first.
    @Balltastics2000 & Seth: It’s not looking good for Frye right now but you have to wait it out a bit longer to see if Alvin Gentry wants to stick with Lopez as the starter.

  • Waters1981

    Someone just dropped Mo Williams, would you drop Yi or Tyrus Thomas or someone else on my team (posted above) to pick him up?

  • Waters1981

    By the way, I know Mo is out 4 to 6 weeks, but with the all star break and the fact Cleveland can’t keep guards healthy, I see him being rushed back a bit.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @Waters: If you think you’re team will be able to hang while you have Mo stashed on your bench then it could be a wise decision. If I had to drop somebody it might have to be Lou Williams (unfortunately). With AI around he’s just not getting the minutes he needs to be productive. I would say Tyrus but he can really give you a boost in the steals and blocks categories. He is tremendously inconsistent, but when he gives you 6 blocks (like he did tonight) it’s very valuable.

  • Waters1981

    I was thinking about just waiting a week to 10 days to pick up Mo, and I actually used basketballmonster.com (thanks Emry!) to check the stats and it ended up being Lou I would drop. I am debating on dropping Yi or Tyrus though for Carlos elfino, until Delfino goes into another long slump.

    Also, when we hear about the lenght of suspension for Arenas next week, is it worth trying to stash him? I figure he isn’t playing with the Wiz no matter what happens, and I doubt any other team will take him on so late in the season and with his contract.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @Waters: Delfino has been hot lately, not sure if I’d drop one of those two guys for him though. I would forget about stashing Arenas. I’m pretty sure he’s done for the season.

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