February 23, 2010 1:11 pm  |  32 Comments

Fantasy Basketball, Week 18

Josh Howard down. Al Thornton up.

by Charles Peach

The number of games played per week is really noticeable at this point in the fantasy season. Being aware of how many games your players have in the coming weeks will give you an edge in your weekly matchup.

It can also give you some ideas for trades. For instance, I’m considering proposing Kevin Love for Andray Blatche. Blatche could play a maximum of 29 games whereas Love and the Timberwolves only have 25 games remaining. The Wizards have the most games remaining in the League. The Blazers, with only 24, have the least.

Less than eight weeks remain in most leagues. Only four weeks left in the regular season (Weeks 18-21) and three and a half weeks designated for the playoffs (Weeks 22-25). For those fighting to make the playoffs, you want to maximize the number of games your team plays in the next four weeks. Here is the breakdown of the number of games teams play in Weeks 18-21:

Games Teams
16 NYK
15 ATL, BOS, CHA, DET, IND, LAC, MEM, NO, PHI, UTA, WAS
14 CHI, CLE, DEN, GS, LAL, MIL, OKC, SAC, SA
13 DAL, HOU, MIA, MIN, NJ, ORL, PHX, POR, TOR

Notes

- Suns and Mavericks could really hurt you in Weeks 20 and 21 because they both play a total of five games in those two weeks. Eight teams (BOS, CHA, NO, NYK, PHI, SA, UTA, WAS) play eight games during that same two-week stretch. So keep that in mind if you’re battling to make the playoffs.

- The Bucks play an astonishing five games this week. BUT, they only play nine games in the next three weeks combined. While your Milwaukee players are only giving you nine games in the stretch between Weeks 19-21, four teams (BOS, CHA, NYK, PHI) are playing 12 games.

This is the breakdown of the games played during the fantasy playoffs, Weeks 22-25:

Games Teams
14 HOU, MIL, OKC, SA, TOR, WAS
13 ATL, BOS, CHA, CHI, DAL, GS, NJ
12 DEN, DET, IND, LAC, LAL, MEM, MIA, MIN, NYK, ORL, PHI, PHX, SAC, UTA
11 CLE, NO, POR

Notes

- For those of you lucky enough to start thinking about the championship, consider the Hornets only have 4 games during championship week (Week 24, which is extended into Week 25 because the season ends on a Wednesday). All other teams play either 5 or 6 games during the championship week.

- In the first week of the playoffs (Week 22) the Knicks are only going to play twice. Most of the league (19 teams) play 4 games that week so guys like Wilson Chandler, Danilo Gallinari, and Al Harrington, who are normally solid players, could really hurt you when it matters most.

PICKUPS

CJ Watson – Likely that he was scooped immediately after his 40-point game. If he’s still available though, pick him up because it seems he’s earned himself the right to play big minutes for the rest of the season, in our eyes anyway. There’s no telling what’s going on in Don Nelson’s head. In his last five games he’s averaging 21.6 points, 5 assists, 3.6 rebounds, 2.2 steals, and 1 three pJosh Howarder game while shooting 60.3 percent from the field and 80.8 percent from the line. The cherry on top – he only turned it over 4 times combined in those 5 games.

Al Thornton – In his first three games with the Wizards he averaged 30 minutes, 16 points, 4.3 rebounds, and 1.7 blocks, plus he shot 52.6 percent from the field. He’s been coming off of the bench but that could change with Josh Howard’s ACL tear. Howard had to leave the game early last night and will miss the rest of the season.

George Hill – Tony Parker has a hip flexor and plantar fasciitis. If he is able to play through both of these injuries consistently, it’d be shocking. Hill is already playing consistently when Parker is in the lineup and would become really valuable down the stretch if Parker misses a chunk of games. Plus, the Spurs play the maximum number of games from Week 20 through the finish of the fantasy playoffs.

Nate Robinson – Scheduled to make his debut tonight against the Knicks. The Celtics are in desperate need of athleticism and energy, both of which Nate can supply. He could be a solid pickup going down the stretch because he’s capable of dropping 30 or 40 on any given night.

Eddie House – He has played over 30 minutes in both of his games with the Knicks. If he’s going to be playing that much he should be owned. In his debut he scored 24 points, sinking 4 threes. Expect more of this if the playing time stays the same.

Lou Williams – He came close to being dropped in both of my leagues, so he may or may not be available. But the news that Allen IversonLou Williams could be shut down for the rest of the season is music to Williams’ ears. Nothing personal, of course, but hopefully this means Lou sees the floor much more consistently to finish the season. Before he suffered the broken jaw in late November, he was clocking close to 40 minutes per game. Lately he’s been coming off of the bench and playing around 25 minutes per game. In a win against the Spurs last weekend he had a nice game; 20 points, 5 rebounds, 4 assists, and 2 blocks. The Sixers play in Golden State tonight, a game perfectly tailored for Williams to explode.

ON THE RADAR

Chase Budinger – Has scored in double figures in his last five games. He had a nice line Sunday against New Orleans; 18 points, 5 rebounds, 3 threes, 2 blocks, and a steal.

Marcus Thornton – Seems to be healthy once again and will be relied on in the coming weeks to score, score, and score. New Orleans trails Portland by only one game for the eighth seed in the West. He can be a nice temporary acquisition if you’re in need of points and threes, and can afford to take a hit in field goal percentage. He’s already had three games this season in which he’s hit 5 threes, but he’s shooting 36 percent in his last three games.

Darko Milicic – I know. I’m reaching. But I did want to acknowledge his decent game on Sunday against the Thunder. He scored 8 points and grabbed 8 rebounds in 19 minutes. I think there’s a possibility he starts over Ryan Hollins. It doesn’t appear that the TWolves are going to be able to start Al Jefferson and Kevin Love together in the future because of defensive inefficiencies. That’s why Hollins has been the starter for the last 10 games. I’d expect Darko to get about the same amount of playing time per game to finish the season. If he stays healthy and continues to produce like he did in his first game in Minnesota, he could become helpful.

Beno Udrih – The Kings rotation is becoming as confusing as any in the League. Udrih saw 24 minutes against Phoenix on Sunday and registered 17 points, 5 assists, 4 rebounds, and 3 threes. Since Kevin Martin was traded he should get more opportunity to perform like this. During November and December he was a solid player to own.

Taj Gibson – I’m not sure what the Bulls are doing with Joakim Noah. I thought the best thing to do with his kind of injury (plantar fasciitis) is to rest. But it seems they are working him back slowly. In the past two games he has played a total of 19 minutes. Noah believes he’ll have to play through pain the rest of the season, which is not a great sign. With Tyrus Thomas gone, the Bulls will rely on Gibson’s athleticism and will really need him to rebound consistently.

Nicolas Batum – He was fun to watch Sunday night against Utah. He finished the game with 14 points, 9 rebounds, 2 threes, and a block. Nate McMillan has been playing him very inconsistently lately, but his value was exemplified as he made several athletic plays on both ends of the floor against the Jazz.

FANTASY LINE OF THE WEEK

LeBron James (2/18 vs DEN) 43 points, 15 assists, 13 rebounds, 4 blocks, 2 steals

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  • niQ Posted: Feb.23 at 2:17 pm
    Nothing on Sergio Rodriguez? I picked him up over the weekend.

  • Michael NZ Posted: Feb.23 at 3:02 pm
    I picked up T-Mac after his first Knicks game… but I dunno what to do with him. Wait a couple more games and see where he’s at? Or drop him now? (Taj Gibson, Beno & CJ Watson are available).

    Dude in second place is bragging big time because he picked up House after I got T-Mac… now House is going to get even more minutes if McGrady is out - or has his minutes limited. Curse him.

  • Charles Peach Posted: Feb.23 at 3:07 pm
    @niQ: Sergio was covered in the Trade Deadline edition on Friday along with T-Mac, Blatche, etc. Sorry for not including him in here as well, he should definitely be owned as he is now starting for the Knicks. The Knicks played miserably against Milwaukee last night and Rodriguez didn’t put up good numbers, except
    he had 8 steals!

  • niQ Posted: Feb.23 at 3:15 pm
    Yea, the 8 steals gave me a good headstart in the steals.lol Especially since my team is horrible in that cat.

  • Ryne Nelson Posted: Feb.23 at 3:53 pm
    Charles, what are your thoughts on James Singleton? Someone already snatched him in my league. I’m with you, though… shouldn’t Thornton be the prime fantasy beneficiary?

  • Michael NZ Posted: Feb.23 at 3:57 pm
    I think Thornton is a big time pick up right now.

  • Joey E. Posted: Feb.23 at 5:21 pm
    Ben Gordon is available in my league. I have Russell Westbrook/Darren Collison/Tyreke Evans/Eric Gordon/Marcus Thornton/Ray Felton. Should I go pick him up? maybe drop Thonrton? any help guys?

  • Charles Peach Posted: Feb.23 at 5:23 pm
    @Ryne: I was tempted to add Singleton. Obviously in the deep, 16-team leagues he has to be considered. Last night he stepped up and contributed 9 points, 12 rebounds, and 3 blocks. Not too sure what to make of that just yet. I’m going to need to see another game or two before making a judgment.

  • Charles Peach Posted: Feb.23 at 5:39 pm
    @Michael NZ: Give T-Mac a little more time. His debut was really impressive considering all the time off. House is a decent addition, but only if those threes are droppin.

  • Charles Peach Posted: Feb.23 at 6:05 pm
    @Joey E: I would drop Thornton for BG. Even though he’s been disappointing this season, I think there is more potential with BG.

  • Charles Peach Posted: Feb.23 at 7:40 pm
    @Michael NZ: Forgot to mention - if the McGrady injury turns out to be serious, I like CJ Watson the most of the 3 you listed.

  • Michael NZ Posted: Feb.23 at 8:37 pm
    Well, he’s playing today… but it looks like his minutes are being limited. 15 mins at halftime, 4pts, 6 asts. Decisions.

  • Joey E. Posted: Feb.23 at 9:13 pm
    hey Charles, one the day i think about dropping marcus thornton, he has 37 points, 15/21, 3 3’s. lol

  • Charles Peach Posted: Feb.23 at 10:22 pm
    @Joey E: I was just thinking about you man, lol. I hope you didn’t take my advice! If so, I hope Ben Gordon scores 38!

  • Joey E. Posted: Feb.23 at 10:25 pm
    not yet. i think i’ll give it a little more time. if gordon has a good next game, i’ll probably take him

  • Goat Posted: Feb.24 at 12:13 am
    I’m fighting for the final playoff spot in my H2H league. How confident are you in Tony Parker? Is Sergio Rodriguez going to prove himself (in 2 more total games, who knows how many actual more due to TP’s injuries).

  • Waters1981 Posted: Feb.24 at 9:26 am
    What do you think will happen with Collison when Chris Paul comes back? Do you think he will get relegated to the bench, or do you see both starting? Obviously either way Collison’s numbers tae a huge dip, but is he worth keeping or would you drop him once Chris Paul comes back, or just wait a few games and see what happens?

  • SLAM ONLINE | » Hot Topics Posted: Feb.24 at 9:28 am
    [...] Fantasy Update [...]

  • goat Posted: Feb.24 at 10:47 am
    I’m hurting big time for C’s. Only have Biedriens and Ben Wallace right now (lost a big timer when Oden went down). The best FA’s are Hawes, Gooden, Shaq, B Miller, Blair, Tolliver and Robin Lopez. I’m thinking of picking up Gooden. Whaddya think? Drop either Big Ben, Biedrins,Jameer or TP…..

  • niQ Posted: Feb.24 at 10:51 am
    What the hell was wrong with Robin Lopez last game? He was playing fine as of late. Was he injured? I hope it was just match up problems cause I need this big man.

  • Charles Peach Posted: Feb.24 at 2:57 pm
    @Goat: I think Sergio will probably be more valuable than TP over the next couple of weeks, the time that is crucial for you to make the playoffs. Parker is really beat up right now it looks like so I wouldn’t be shocked to see him sit out some games. San Antonio is fighting to hang on to make the playoffs, so they need him out there. Don’t drop Tony though, when he’s on the court he’s way too valuable to just let go.
    -
    As for your Center situation, I’d pick up Shaq. He’s playing great lately. If I had to drop someone it would probably be Biedrins, he’s been pretty pathetic. Maybe you can trade Tony Parker for a big, then pickup Sergio?

  • Charles Peach Posted: Feb.24 at 3:01 pm
    @Waters1981: I think Collison heads back to the bench once CP3 returns and also heads back to the waiver wire in fantasy. If I had DC on my team right now (and I felt confident about making the playoffs) I would be shopping him to teams who need help immediately and stashing a player who will help me when it counts because Collison will be pretty much useless once CP3 is back.

  • Charles Peach Posted: Feb.24 at 3:03 pm
    @niQ: I just picked Robin Lopez up and that was the first game he played for me, needless to say, I was very disappointed. Let’s hope that we can just chalk last night up as a bad game and move on.

  • Tarzan Cooper Posted: Feb.25 at 12:44 am
    isnt chris paul out for the rest of the season?

  • niQ Posted: Feb.25 at 1:36 am
    In one league i’m sticking with Robin Lopez because its a 14 player league and not many people are left on the WW. In my 12 person league I just picked up Drew Gooden and dropped Lopez. What do you think of tihs? OR should I try and get Lopez back?

  • Hursty Posted: Feb.25 at 2:46 am
    Got offered a Rasual Butler for Shaq trade.
    ROTO League. Thoughts?

  • Waters1981 Posted: Feb.25 at 8:39 am
    Just read the following on the chicago sun times about Joakim Noah and it has me worried: Just like he did in Noah’s first two games back, Del Negro will play him for six minutes or so in the first half. If there are no problems, Noah will play roughly the same amount in the second half. “The Bulls’ medical staff wants to ease him back into the rigors of playing. ”They don’t want to push too much right now so I have to sit out three weeks, four weeks or whatever,” Noah said.” With that being the case, do you think it is time to start either looking for a sucker for a trade or checking out available waiver wire options? Also, I thought Chris Paul was out 6 weeks total, which would give him another 2 or 3.

  • Charles Peach Posted: Feb.25 at 1:53 pm
    @Tarzan Cooper: I hope not. He’s on the shelf for about 2-3 more weeks.
    -
    @niQ: Nothing wrong with that. Judging from last night, Gooden looks like a great pickup (20 pts, 13 reb, 4 ast, 8-8 FT).
    -
    @Hursty: Hmmm, depends on your needs. Personally, I’d rather have Shaq because he’s been playing so well lately. Butler has been a solid source for threes lately but he isn’t producing much else and he can be a drain on your FG%. Plus, I think the arrival of Travis Outlaw might hurt his minutes a bit.

  • Charles Peach Posted: Feb.25 at 2:08 pm
    @Waters: Here’s what I see possibly happening with Noah: The Bulls want to rest him as much as possible up until the playoffs. As long as they aren’t in a tight race for the 8th-seed I think he will continue to play minimal minutes.
    For owners battling to make the playoffs, it could be time to drop him. First, I would try to get something in return via trade and I’d be aiming for players a notch above waiver wire guys. For instance, Courtney Lee, Charlie Villanueva, etc.
    You might want to wait it out a bit longer because he can be super-valuable even if he plays 25 minutes per game, but if you need to make moves in a hurry to make the playoffs - Noah might need to be let go now.

  • Seth Posted: Feb.26 at 12:06 pm
    I dropped Hibbert after his dud of a game last night. He came off the bench and it looks like Indy has been playing small ball of late. Picked up Taj Gibson ’cause I need the blocks and boards, and with Noah getting limited minutes that seems like a good decision. Gooden is also tempting, but he’s not a big shot-blocker…

  • yoo Posted: Mar.1 at 6:57 pm
    would you do ray allen for danilo galinardi?
    i have ray allen and i want more blocks and 3s and im gonna be in the playoffs

  • [...] , Week 18”. niQ Posted: Feb.23 at 2:17 pm. Nothing on Sergio Rodriguez? Continued here: SLAM ONLINE | » Fantasy Basketball, Week 18 Share and [...]

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