Monday, March 22nd, 2010 at 4:07 pm  |  31 responses

Fantasy Basketball, Week 22

Hard to argue with Toney Douglas’ results.

by Charles Peach / @Charles_Peach

If you’re still reading the column this late into the season it’s probably because you made the playoffs in your league (or you’re my mom.) For those of you who haven’t surpassed the maximum number of moves; get ready to go streamin’!

Playoffs usually follow the ‘No Holds Barred’ format. The waiver wire is abLeBron Jameslaze. Seldom used fantasy players could end up determining the league champion. So, be on your toes and pick them up before your opponents.

Before we get into the playoffs advice, I want to acknowledge this year’s Fantasy MVP. To nobody’s surprise – it’s LeBron. Somehow, he took it up another notch this season averaging 29.7 points, 8.5 assists, 7.3 rebounds, 1.8 threes, 1.7 steals, and 1.1 blocks while shooting 50.1 percent from the field. If your fantasy team was blessed by his services this season you should feel very lucky that; A) you had the 1st pick or B) you had the 2nd pick and the genius in front of you took Chris Paul (ahem). If he’s not on your team, may you be so lucky as to avoid him in the playoffs. The LeBron Effect will be somewhat neutralized during the fantasy playoffs, though. The Cavs, Hornets, and Blazers have fewer games remaining than the rest of the League.

INJURY NEWS

- Speaking of Chris Paul, if you held on to him and still made it to the playoffs it might just pay-off. Reports say he could return as early as Monday or, quite possibly, Wednesday. The Hornets are cooked as far as the Playoffs go, but Paul must play in a high-stakes fantasy league because that’s the only way this return makes sense. But if you drafted CP3 ahead of LeBron (ahem) and desperately need him back, you shouldn’t be complaining.

- Joakim Noah declared that he wants to play the entire game on Monday because his foot is ‘almost 100 percent.’ This is great news for his owners, who just couldn’t come to terms with dropping such a stud rebounder and shot-blocker. He played only 9 minutes in his last game, so we’ll see exactly how much they allow Noah to play on Monday considering the Bulls playoff hopes could be classified as Slim Charles.

- A dagger to Andrew Bynum owners, as it seems that he’ll miss, at least, a week of play as he nurses a strained Achilles tendon. A positive sign is that he’ll travel with the team for the upcoming five-game road trip, but it hasn’t been decided if he’ll play.

- News on Tyreke Evans, Wilson Chandler, Luol Deng, Marc Gasol, Jermaine O’Neal, Thaddeus Young, Ben Wallace, and Shane Battier to follow.

NOTE: Basketball Monster has the weekly team schedules laid out superbly. Most teams play four times this week, some play three, and the Knicks play twice. Looking at the chart you’ll notice that if you carefully manage your team this week, you can get six or seven games from each of your interchangeable roster spots by only making a couple of moves. For example, say you have Grant Hill playing Monday night against Golden State. You drop him for Chris Andersen who plays Tuesday (@NYK) and Wednesday (@BOS). Then you drop Birdman on Wednesday and pickup Quentin Richardson, who plays Thursday (@CHI) and Friday (@MIL). On Friday you drop Q and pickup Anthony Morrow, who plays Saturday (DAL) and Sunday (@LAC). So instead of letting Grant Hill sit on your roster, you can be proactive and get four more games out of that roster position for the week.

Here are some of the unique team schedules this week to help you scheme your way to a playoff victory:

- Portland plays only three games this week but they are clumped together (Thursday vs DAL, Saturday @ NO, and Sunday @ OKC).

- Chicago and Miami are the only teams, other than Portland, who play Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday.

- Along with the three aforementioned teams, Golden State plays on Saturday and Sunday.

- Charlotte, Denver, and Washington are the only teams that play Tuesday and Wednesday.

- Houston is the only team that plays Wednesday and Thursday.

- The Lakers, Utah and Washington are the only teams that play Friday and Saturday.

- Miami is the only team who plays Thursday and Friday.

- Charlotte and Philadelphia are off on Saturday and Sunday. If you own a borderline player on either of these squads it could be in your best interest to drop them Friday for someone on Chicago, Golden State, Miami, or Portland.

The previous strategies will be helpful for those trying to preserve the number of moves they make during the playoffs. If your league has no limit on moves, then you can swap players in and out every night. The PICKUPS this week include some players who might just be solid acquisitions for one day because of a favorable matchup:

Toney Douglas – This guy should be owned, without a doubt, because he’s been named the starter for the rest of the season. Last week he totaled 79 points on 50 percent shooting, 13 threes, and 10 steals.

Jason Maxiell – People continue to sleep on Max. Ben Wallace tried returning from an eight-game absence, only to be re-injured and miss the next game. Max is the man now, and I bet he will be for the rest of the season. In the nine games Big Ben has missed, Maxiell averaged 10.3 points and 11 rebounds.

Bill Walker – Wilson Chandler is scheduled to miss the next 7-10 days but some believe he’ll miss the rest of the season. Walker has scored more than 20 points in four games since joining the Knicks last month, including one in which he knocked down five triples. WARNING: The Knicks only play twice this week! That’s less than every other team. But they play their two games on Tuesday and Friday meaning you can drop him Friday and pickup a player from one of the teams that play on SaErsan Ilyasovaturday and Sunday.

Ersan Ilyasova – The 76ers play some of the lousiest defense in the League (which is totally unacceptable considering they have a very good shot-blocker in Dalembert, athletic small forwards with size like Iguodala and Thaddeus Young, and quick young guards who can step into passing lanes like Jrue Holiday and Lou Williams. With just an ounce of effort, heart, or leadership they could be one of the best, hard-nosed defensive teams in the League. Great work this season, Eddie Jordan. Sorry for the rant, but the Sixers fraudulent play this season really has gotten under my skin.). They allow opponents to shoot 39.6 percent from three-point land, by far the worst in the League. So where does Ilyasova fall into all of this? The Bucks host the Sixers on Wednesday and I like the matchup for Ersan. He double-double’d in each of the last two games.

Tyson Chandler – Need some help this week in boards and blocks? Chandler, who’s been a bust all season long, could make his impact when it matters most to fantasy owners. In Charlotte’s last game he tallied 11 rebounds and 3 blocks. The Bobcats play against the Wizards on Tuesday, Timberwolves on Wednesday, and the Wizards again on Friday. If he gets minutes like he did in Miami on Saturday (33) he shouldn’t have any problems accumulating similar numbers against those weak squads.

Chris Andersen – Sticking with the rebounds and blocks theme, the Birdman was all over the glass in the last two games. He snagged 13 against New Orleans, then 12 against Milwaukee. He also blocked four shots in the Bucks game. Denver plays the Knicks in MSG on Tuesday. They also play Wednesday (@BOS) if you want to keep him around for an extra game.

Hasheem Thabeet – After a short stint in the D-League with the Dakota Wizards, Thabeet is not only back with the Grizzlies, but in the starting lineup. Marc Gasol missed the last three games because of a neck injury and no timetable has been announced regarding his return. He’s listed as day-to-day. While he’s been out, Thabeet is averaging 7.3 points, 8.3 rebounds, and 2.3 blocks.

Reggie Williams – Speaking of the D-League, it must’ve worked pretty well for Williams. In his last three games he averaged 17.3 points on 54.1 percent shooting, adding 5.7 rebounds and 2.3 threes. As mentioned earlier, the Warriors are one of four teams that play both Saturday and Sunday.

Yi Jianlian – He returned Saturday from a two-week hiatus caused by an ankle sprain. He played 38 minutes and scored 9 points to go along with 5 rebounds and 2 blocks. The Nets play three of their four games this week at home, where Yi plays considerably better.

Francisco Garcia – Tyreke Evans missed Sunday’s game because he sustained a mild concussion on Friday. The Kings are, understandably, taking the cautious approach with the situation so the rook could miss some more games. Sacramento hosts the Grizzlies on Monday and Garcia would probably start again if Evans sits out. Garcia had a solid line when he replaced Evans in the lineup on Sunday; 16 points, 7-13 FG, 2 threes, 4 assists, 3 rebounds, 1 steal, and 1 block. Stay tuned to this situation. After the Memphis game, the Kings depart on a five-game road trip. In all likelihood, Evans will be fine and travel with the team. IF he doesn’t, Garcia would be a must-own.

Beno Udrih – The Beno Ship has probably sailed in most cases but if some owners gave up on him after poor back-to-back showings last week, he could still be available. He’s been great in the last two games for the Kings. He had 26 points, 9 assists, and 4 steals against Milwaukee on Friday, and then on Sunday, without Tyreke, he put up 20 points and 17 assists.

James Johnson – Luol Deng will probably miss at least the next two weeks and Johnson has replaced him in the starting lineup. Everything has fallen apart for the Bulls as they were on a 10-game slide until they traveled to Philadelphia and beat the butter-soft Sixers. While Deng has missed the last six games, Johnson has averaged 11.3 points, 5 rebounds, and 1.8 blocks.

Jordan Hill – Houston can still make a little push toward the Playoffs, as they trail the current eighth-place Blazers by 4.5 games. The rookie Hill brings the Rockets some much needed size and they’ve been utilizing him more in the last few games. In the last seven games he averaged 9.4 points and 6.6 rebounds. He also blocked five shots against Boston on Friday. The Rockets play at Oklahoma City on Wednesday and host the Clippers on Thursday.

Joel Anthony – Jermaine O’Neal’s ankle injury, although no timetable has been given yet, has the aroma of something in the two-week neighborhood. Anthony was O’Neal’s replacement in the starting lineup on Saturday and he finished with 9 points, 9 rebounds, and 3 blocks.

Marreese Speights – He could be worth owning at some point down the stretch. It’s a risky addition considering the lack of rhyme to Eddie Jordan’s reason, but he played 29 minutes on Saturday. That was the most burn Speights has seen since December 19, as he finished with 17 points and 11 rebounds. The absence of Thaddeus Young, who has a fractured right thumb and will likely miss at least a week, opens up an opportunity for Speights to come in and produce.

Chase Budinger – Due to a hyperextended left knee suffered by Shane Battier on Sunday, the rookie saw some extra playing time and also saw three of his seven three-point attempts find the bottom of the net. He finished with 18 points and 5 rebounds in 27 minutes. Battier is listed as day-to-day and will undergo an MRI on Monday.

FANTASY LINE OF THE WEEK

In an intentional effort to find someone other than LeBron, I’m going with Dwyane Wade (3/18 vs ORL) 36 points, 10 rebounds, 7 assists, 3 threes, 9-10 FT

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  • http://www.slamonline.com/ niQ

    In one league, I lost Andrew Bynum. But was able to use my waiver on Carl Landry. In my other league, Marc Gasol is down. Kind of scared with that since the person I’m facing is heavy in rebounds. fml.

  • http://www.clutchfans.com/ Blue

    Good stuff! And hopefully Houston isn’t the ONLY team playing Wednesday and Thursday…

  • Rico

    Yo CP… I got love for your column. I look for it every Monday. The only thing all season that I haven’t been able to agree with you on is streaming. Most respectable leagues have rules in place to avoid it, so as a fantasy writer, how can you condone it? It doesn’t take a smart manager to know that if you start 6 or 7 more guys than your opponent, you’re a leg up. Where’s the skill? The basketball prowess? The managing? I just think it’s weak and I’m aware that people will hose me for saying it. You don’t even need to make good moves for streaming to give you a leg up. Even if you pick a guy up who gets 10 minutes with 3 points, 3 rebounds, and a block, it’s the sheer quantity that gives that manager the edge. Especially when they plan to drop him that night to grab someone else… it’s cheap! CP, the realest fantasy ballers out there need you to have our backs on this! Let’s get this streaming business cut down on…

  • http://soulbanger.tumblr.com tapion786

    miami is playing thurs, fri and sunday to close out the week. they aren’t playing on saturday.

  • http://staticseth.blogspot.com Seth

    I managed to secure the #2 spot in my league so I’ve got a bye this week for the playoffs. Gotta thank you Charles for having a part in that. Also, thank you for that Basketball Monster link – that’s going to be very useful. I actually grabbed Maxiell last week and that could bode well for me if Big Ben stays sidelined for awhile. I mean Detroit has absolutely nothing to play for anyway, so why risk further injury? I know the fans don’t fill the arena to watch him shoot free throws…

  • http://staticseth.blogspot.com Seth

    Rico, the “streaming” is completely fair. If your league doesn’t limit the amount of moves you can make, why not take advantage? Everyone is under the same set of rules, so it’s not cheating by any means. That really is “skill,” “prowess,” and “managing” as you put it. Paying attention to players on the rise is crucial in my opinion. If you don’t make any moves you’re going to lose.

  • Joey E.

    everything bad is happening. Granger, hurt. Tyreke, hurt. CP3 is back so that may limit my man Darren Collison who was on a tear! he helped me so much. Melo is hurt too. And im against the number 1 in my league (freakin loaded. Kobe, Nash, Rondo, JoJohnson, Steph). My team is full of nice tough players. hopefully we can scrap it out (gooden/brook/ilyasova/just picked up Noah!/Granger/EGordon/NOH Rooks/RusWest/RayFelt/Melo/Tayshaun)

  • http://www.slamonline.com Emry DowningHall

    Great stuff as always. I have to agree with Rico about the streaming. Sure, it’s totally within the rules in a league without a transaction limit but that doesn’t make it a respectable practice. The point Seth countered with about how paying attention to players on the rise is of course true but has nothing to do with streaming. At least how I define it. To me, streaming is when you pick up a guy you normally wouldn’t touch, simply because he’s lacing them up and you want to collect whatever garbage contribution he might throw in. I’ve seen guys streaming 3-5 roster spots and it takes all the strategy out of the league. Rico’s point about how streaming selections don’t even have to be smart pick ups is accurate also. A good way to counter streaming is the transaction limit, which was mentioned, or a longer waiting period with waivers which really means you have to dig to stream.

  • Goat

    I like this “streaming” debate between Rico and Seth. I’m new to H2H (roto at heart) so I’ve been experimenting with it this past week (got the final spot in the playoffs).

    Anyways, the risk in the strategy is that somebody else out there picks up a player that you love, but tried to just drop for a day then get him back.

    My question then for you Peach is this:

    My final roster spot is rotating thru quickly (just switched from Hawes to Jerebko adn will change again tomorrow morning), BUT, out of the following players, which ones are safe to drop on nights they don’t play? and which are just too valuable to lose, considering they’ll get picked up after I drop em?
    - Millsap, Eric Gordon, George Hill, Anthony Tolliver, Mike Miller

    ps. my core is LeBron, Joe Johnson, G Wallace, and D Rose, if that makes a difference.

  • Goat

    my league has a 42 move limit, so I chilled out on teh pickups and stuck with my core group, so I could use my moves now when it counts…..that takes skill too no?

  • http://slamonline.com niQ

    Should I keep Marc Gasol? I mean it’s playoffs and everyone’s picking up players to have more people playing… I hate holding on an injured player wondering when he’ll be back…

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @niQ: I would hang on to M. Gasol for now, but stay tuned for any news – I’d expect some soon.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @Blue: I even confused myself with that wording. I guess what I meant to say was; Houston is the only team with games on BOTH Wednesday and Thursday.
    -
    @tapion786: Good catch. Sorry about the mistake. Miami is playing Thursday, Friday, and Sunday. NOT Saturday/

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @Rico: I totally agree with your position on streaming. The reason I advise the readers to do it is because, more than likely, somebody in their league will do it and will win because of it. If I were convinced that the majority of fantasy players, or even the majority of people who read this column, have a transaction limit in their leagues then I wouldn’t waste my time on it. But I get the sense that many leagues don’t have limits and there are a lot of people who feel there is nothing wrong with streaming. So, since those people exist, I believe you have to be prepared to defeat them by any means necessary. I’m against it personally, and for all the same reasons that you and Emry mentioned. It seems to just be part of the game. I’d love for you to share your league’s rules that prevent streaming.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @Seth: Thanks for reading the column all season, I appreciate it. You deserve all the credit for getting your team into the playoffs though! I feel really good about Maxiell the rest of the way. Although the Pistons play only three games this week and three games next week, I still think he’s a strong option. It really doesn’t make sense for them to bring back Big Ben, especially after he re-aggravated the injury in his first comeback attempt.
    As for your comments on streaming – I do think that there is some science behind it. It’s not as cheap as some people portray it be. I understand why it is viewed that way. Things can get dicey when everyone isn’t on a level playing field. Like you said, you have to make moves or you’ll lose – I think there will always be streaming in some shape or form.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @Joey E: Good luck, man. Hopefully Tyreke isn’t out too long. Otherwise, it looks like you have a very strong team. CP3′s return certainly doesn’t help the production of Collison and Thornton really but against Dallas it wasn’t too noticeable. Thornton scored 28 and Collison finished with 16 and 8 dimes. Looks like they’ll probably continue to produce fairly well. Collison is obviously the bigger concern.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @Goat: 42 moves seems like a good limit – a limit that would reduce streaming. Making solid moves when it counts. That’s the beauty of fantasy. We don’t want to stray too far from that. Don’t know exactly how deep your league is, but I wouldn’t really want to drop any of those players. Perhaps Mike Miller, but the Wizards play the maximum number of games from here on out so he’s going to be solid.

  • http://www.alllooksame.com Tarzan Cooper

    interesting here…. why does the lizard do drugs on him? … oglabogla@#$#^ ok whait wait what?>??: ahmem,. nows ,, stttreaming is parts of the games, especialllyyss in the playoffssa nd finals, last year i was beaten by 2 blocks for the chipss pringlse, mmmmmmmm doughnuts, and chips and dip. some haagan daaz icr eam, peanuts butterr, guacamiole ,. graham cracksers, marchsmellows, those litttle chcoolate bars, well makek somores!!!!! also celery , jelly. water, whole lotls of water, two larggek pizzzazs, ebverything on em. and funyns, yeeeeeeeeaaaaaaa

  • http://www.slamonline.com/ niQ

    Yea I agree with Charles on the streaming tip. I mean, it’s not the prettiest thing but, it’s part of the game right? You gotta do what you gotta do to win.

  • http://www.slamonline.com/ niQ

    The new on M.Gasol is that he’s now game-to-game. But Gasol himself has stated he does not know when he will return.

  • Rico

    @CP/Emry/Seth. Thanks for acknowledging my comment. I consider myself to be an army of one fighting the battle against streaming. I think that this is an integral element in keeping fantasy basketball from getting the same respect that baseball or football get. Emry, being the skilled writer (and former Mr. Fantasy), managed to put my feelings into better words. It’s not about making smart or quality moves, it’s about making an unprecedented quantity of moves to bulk up your quantitative stats. A true streamer has 3 or 4 guys he’s willing to cycle out for whoever’s playing if he needs to juice his team for a win. Do managers in any other sports get to do this?

    Yes, you do have to make moves to win… but do you have to make 130 moves? What’s the correct number?

    I’m in two leagues- one has no rules to prevent streaming (which I won’t ever do again), the second allows for a max of 3 moves per week, and 20 moves max on the season. I’m in the second week of the playoffs and have made 16 moves. It’s a deep league, so it worked out well. If it wasn’t a deep league and waivers wasn’t dry as a bone, I think more moves would have been necessary/fair.

    In the league where there’s no limit i have made 30 moves. I came in second place (behind by 4.5 games H2H). The guy in first has made triple the amount of moves as I have, particularly in tough match-ups against playoff bound teams, & not so much when skating through the easy match-ups. In a game that DID NOT MATTER last week (b/c he clinched 1st & a bye), dude made 7 moves, and edged out the 3rd place team 5-4. That 3rd place team dropped a slot in the standings and got a worse match-up for week 1 of the playoffs. Dude was grabbing guys like JARVIS HAYES just because he was, as Emry put it “lacing it up.”

    I beat streamer boy straight up earlier in the season which was particularly satisfying. He made a barrage of moves and I held tight with my squad and edged him out. And don’t get me wrong, this time around if it’s in the finals, I’ll stream and I’ll be better at it than him….as I told Emry yesterday- I would set my alarm to wake up in the middle of the night to get up and make picks before dude even rolls out of bed. I’m not losing to this punk.

    That’s my story… thanks for listening. If you’re gonna make moves, make em count. Cycling through players to boost your stats is no different than Big Mac cycling through his decaderabolin

  • Rico

    to boost his. It wasn’t a banned substance in baseball at the time, does that make it right? It wasn’t banned til 2004…

    Holla atcha boy – RICO

  • Rico

    …to boost his. It wasn’t banned from baseball when he used it… does that make it right?

    -Rico

  • http://www.slamonline.com/ niQ

    By the way, not trying to be an a$s but, going over the speed limit even by 1 or 2 is speeding, but do you still do it?

  • Rico

    i don’t know niQ? seems like you’re trying to be an a$s to me…

    hey man, we’re all entitled to our opinion…

  • http://staticseth.blogspot.com Seth

    That’s a nice little rant, Rico. I suppose it could be frustrating if someone is making multiple moves every couple days to get a leg up, but if you’re in a [money] pool you gotta do whatcha gotta do to win. I’ve made 21 moves this season and with money on the line I’m probably going to stream in the Finals (assuming I get there). The Finals last 10 days so there’s ample opportunity for both fantasy managers to adjust the rosters and duke it out to win the big bucks.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @Rico: ” the second allows for a max of 3 moves per week, and 20 moves max on the season.”
    -
    There you go right there. Max moves per week is a great way to prevent streaming. With that rule in place, I’m sure you could even increase the number of maximum moves up to 40.
    I’m also in two leagues. One with no limit and one with a 65-move limit. I’ve made 16 moves in the one with no limit. There is a big-time streamer in that league who is up to 101 moves right now. No one else has even come close to that; second highest being 40.
    The 65-move limit is too high. Most people fall between 20-30 moves, including myself (22). So that leaves plenty of room for people to stream in the playoffs.
    Next season I will definitely lobby for a ’3 moves per week’ maximum.
    Thanks for sharing your thoughts, Rico.

  • http://www.slamonline.com/ niQ

    lol In one league, I’m first place and have made just 10 moves. Whereas in my other league, I’m in 7th place, and recently beat on 2nd seed in the playoffs. In that team I’ve made like 40 moves. But mostly cause my team sucks and I’ve had to deal with injuries. So in the end, it really depends on your situation. I mean, if you’re in a low playoff seed, then as I said before, you gotta do what you gotta do to win. It’s easy for a top seed to argue against streaming since their team is doing fine. But what about a team that isn’t doing as well? There’s a reason why a team is lower seeded. Do you really expect someone to just sit there and watch their team lose?

  • Balltastics2000

    Our league has a limit of 82 games per position, so you can add and drop as many guys as you like but you can only play the same amount of games as everyone else in your comp. This is a good ‘realistic’ way to put more of an emphasis on team management.

    Also, Luol Deng? Do you think he’ll be shelved for the rest of the season?

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @Balltastics2000: Sorry I’m responding so late, for some reason I didn’t notice your comment until now.
    First of all, I like the 82-game per position rule. That’s very fair, though I think it works better for rotisserie formats than head-to-head.
    I can’t really trust Deng right now, although the incentive for him to return is definitely there (the 8th playoff spot in the East is only .5 gms out of reach.) The fact that he re-injured the calf is just not a good sign and something isn’t right. He’s now missed 10 straight games and Yahoo says there is no timetable for his return.

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