Wednesday, April 14th, 2010 at 5:05 pm  |  25 responses

Can Brandon Roy be Depended On?

The number 7 is symbolic of completion–so God must not be done with No. 7 yet.

by Sandy Dover / @SandmanSeven

On April 11, 2010, playing against the Los Angeles Lakers on a Sunday afternoon, the Portland Trail Blazers’ Brandon Roy was injured in the game as he tore the meniscus in his knee…and for the third season out of his four total in the NBA, Roy went down with an injury that somehow significantly affected his team’s potential success.

I want to be very, very clear when I say this–Brandon Roy is a very good basketball player. His play has far exceeded what was expected of him coming out of college and his team has grown from middling to incredibly good throughout his time in the League. He’s an NBA All-Star and he is very deserving of his status as being one of the best players in the League, but my question is this–can you depend on him? Hear me out.

When he was selected as the sixth overall pick in 2006, hindsight says he probably should’ve been the first overall selection, but prior to this thinking, he even made it as high as the sixth spot was nothing short of a miracle to some people. The major concern about Roy wasn’t so much his playing ability, as he had matured gradually and with notable success at the University of Washington, but the guy had some real issues with his lower body. His knees seemed suspect, but he impressed scouts enough to be considered a top-10 guy and he’s surely earned it.

His rookie year, his second year and now this season, Roy has endured numerous injuries to his feet, upper and lower legs and knee. Not that he is at fault for these things, as he is one of the hardest-working players in the League–even Kobe Bryant said he is a player without weakness – but it may be time for Portland to recognize that Roy is what he is–injury-prone. Every NBA player gets beat up, but for some reason, Roy and his lower body don’t always get along. I don’t know if it’s an anatomical problem or what, but there’s always something with him, and it’s sad because it’s been rare to see him start and finish a season strong. His third season in the League, ‘08-09, Roy played a career-high 78 games, which is something to relish in for him because every other year has seen light to lengthy “Roy-time” on the bench; all of hBrandon Royis other games played, which include this regular season’s count, are 57, 74 and 65. It has made me ask along (and especially now), “Can Portland truly win with him?”

Obviously, the Trail Blazers can win games with No. 7, but will he endure? The players who really are able to lead and help teams win big are players who can hold up through regular seasons, through and through, and it’s tried and true. Kobe, Dwight Howard, Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce of yesteryear, Steve Nash, Kevin Durant, Dirk Nowitzki, Dwyane Wade (save for his ugly shoulder injury a few seasons ago), Tim Duncan and LeBron James are all virtual iron men, and all have either won championships or have been in true contention for titles…Portland took a gamble when it bet on B. Roy, not only on his blossoming into a true pro talent, but also on him remaining healthy as a Trail Blazer. While he has seen better-than-average success in staying on the court and although he is only 25, it is seeming like it might be unreasonably optimistic to see a truly healthy Roy with the stamina and endurance to fight off his health issues and stay season-strong–I pray he can overcome them in time.

With that said, I did mention Mr. James. You know, “The King”, the one with the “LBJ23,” lion head and Dunkman logos (another Shaq original, by the way). We all know he is going to be a free man in this summer of 2010, and Portland is the homebase of the most powerful shoe company of the world–Nike, Inc. Economically, Portland has an owner (Paul Allen) worth billions of dollars whose history has shown he has been willing to pay out for far inferior talent compared to James, and what better than for the soon-to-be No. 6 to go to the 1992 Finals rival of his hero, Michael Jordan, with the same classic hues of red, black and white? In short, Portland has to make a play on the Akron native.

Realistically, the team as it is is not built for a championship–the Trail Blazers will not win big with their roster, not when their best players are falling and can’t get up. The Roy-LaMarcus Aldridge duo is not going to win a title, and instead of wishing upon a star, maybe it’s best for Portland to make a big play for LBJ. And if not LeNike, then even the Atlanta Hawks’ Joe Johnson would be highly acceptable–he’s probably the most similar to Roy in size, demeanor and style of play, and he’s very durable. Roy knows it is a business (especially after the 2009 offseason’s summer contract extension talks he was central to), and so with that, something must change. Of course, that doesn’t mean all will be fixed, but it sure means Portland is a lot closer to its goals of bringing home another championship. Sign-and-trade would be the ideal method, but it’s a matter of being ambitious and realistic. For all of BRoy’s talent, he may never be the one to last. We’ve all seen what Tracy McGrady has gone through, even early in his career in Toronto with the lagging injuries on his 6-8 (really 6-10) frame. The New Orleans Hornets’ Chris Paul hasn’t really had a excellent record of health and he’s the League best overall point guard, and so Portland must be proactive to save itself.

You can believe in Brandon Roy, sure, but depending on him is a horse of another color.

Sandy Dover is a novelist/writer, artist and fitness enthusiast, as well as an unrepentant Prince fan (for real). You can find Sandy frequently here at SLAMonline, as well as at Twitter.

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  • LA Huey

    Fantastic 2-guard WHEN healthy. Ginobli has passed the torch.

  • http://www.slamonline.com/online/category/blogs/san-dova-speak-easy/ San Dova

    I like him best at point guard, but he dominates the ball and I don’t even think they can win big THAT way.

    He’s great off the ball, too, but he lacks the trust to really commit to that he could, even with a quasi-elite guard like Andre Miller there.

    He’s also really good as a 3. Brandon Roy is just really good, period, but with his health issues and it being almost a prerequisite for him to dominate the ball (even though he make use of the possessions well), I don’t think Portland will win a championship like that.

  • http://bleacherreport.com/users/42594-hoops4life Overtime

    No possible way that Lebron goes there…and they could get Joe Johnson…but if you say they are as similar as they are…why bother?

  • Sporting-Lisbon-Blazers

    Fu(k THAT! you dont sign and trade B-Roy unless is for Bron or Wade…and you can win a title with Brandon as your best player, but Oden must be healthy, LaMarcus is evolving to a ver good PF Batum can only get better..add to this a strong bench and ou gotta contender foshow!

  • 23-Jordan-45

    I was confused by this:
    “Kobe, Dwight Howard, Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce of yesteryear, Steve Nash, Kevin Durant, Dirk Nowitzki, Dwyane Wade (save for his ugly shoulder injury a few seasons ago), Tim Duncan and LeBron James are all virtual iron men, and all have either won championships or have been in true contention for titles…”
    When has Kevin Durant contended for a title? this has been the first year he has even made the playoffs. How is Dwight a yesteryear player? I loved the article, but still not understanding…

  • http://www.slamonline.com/online/category/blogs/san-dova-speak-easy/ San Dova

    Sporting-Lisbon-Blazers–> LaMarcus is good, but he’s not going to be more than what he is. He’s not even Chris Bosh, and Bosh is a second-tier star in the league. Oden can’t be counted upon either, and Batum is great (!), but he’s great as a complimentary player (he’s still vital to the team’s success, though). The basic idea is that the team’s alpha dog may not be durable enough to do what the team needs him to do, which is be productive and be healthy–he can’t get the healthy part down.
    OVERTIME–> Joe is durable. Even if Joe is virtually the same as Brandon Roy, if he’s durable, he increases Portland’s chances for success. He’s built like a rock and is just as versatile and talented; but I agree with you–Wade or LBJ should be the only sign-and-trade options for Roy.

  • http://slamonline.com JL

    roy averages 37 minutes a game. tone it down to 30 and u’ll have a healthy player for 70+ guaranteed. Portland has enough willing players to fill up those minutes.

  • http://www.slamonline.com/online/category/blogs/san-dova-speak-easy/ San Dova

    23-J-45–>

    It’s actually just KG and P-Double grouped together–I forgot take KD out of there, because I was making that list with another idea in mind. Sorry about that.

  • The Ghost of Wilt Chamberlain

    Brandon screams second tier superstar to me. Yes, he can take over games and is a solid clutch performer but would you mention him in the same sentence as LBJ, Kobe, Dwight, DWade etc? Absolutely not. The majority of title teams in history are built around a superstar with a tier 2 star and solid role players or (on the rare occasion) a selfless team with multiple tier 3 stars. Portland is not close to either. Solid playoff team, but championship calibre? Not built with Roy as the star and Aldridge number 2. Get a superstar with Roy as number 2 or bring in another 2 3rd tier stars to solidify the roster whilst building a selfless culture and then we can talk championship in Portland. Until then, enjoy the long summers.

  • Sporting-Lisbon-Blazers

    @the ghost: WHEN HEALTHY AND EVOLVING CAUSE THEYRE YOUNG: ROY, ODEN, ALDRIDGE, BATUM, BAYLESS, FENANDEZ, WEBSTER. theres no better core, thats contender material…they won 50 in the west with winning records vs LAkers, SA, Thunder, Phoenix AND DALLAS IN A SEASON THEY ALL MISSED A LOT OF GAMES, 300 AND smthing…ARE YOU KIDDING ME?!!??

  • http://www.slamonline.com/online/category/blogs/san-dova-speak-easy/ San Dova

    S-L-B–> That core is great, although, I doubt they are coached well enough for a championship (another story altogether)…aside from Roy, all those players are second- or third-bananas. Oden, we don’t know about yet; LaMarcus has lamed up and don’t project to be anymore than a poor man’s Rasheed (not a bad thing, but not what Portland was wanting to invest in); Batum is a great secondary or tertiary player; Bayless has great potential; Fernandez is another really good player who is affected by Roy’s touches; and Webster is ditto Batum.

    All in my opinion, of course.

    If Andre Miller weren’t there, they would’ve been terrible shape (Juwan Howard and Marcus Camby have been godsends).

  • Sobasically

    So basically the point of this article is that portland should trade brandon roy for someone big? Wow, that’s crazy dude! I can’t believe this article was even written! If anything, they need to have a complementary player that can get between 16 – 22ppg so when roy does go down they have a second option main scorer.

    Roy is the face of this team, trading him is out of the question. They would literally trade anyone on the roster before brandon roy lol get serious dude. Aldridge is a decent player, but hey if they get a better power forward just make him a high minute playing sixth man instead of getting rid of him.

    Also, blazers don’t have anybody at the 3 position that score 16 – 22ppg on a consistent basis…HELLO, theres our problem right there! Batum is great, but he’s a great off the bench player imo. A consistant 3 or 4 man who can score between 16 – 22ppg on a consistent ant basis is portland’s answer. Not trading brandon roy, you jerk!

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  • The Ghost of Wilt Chamberlain

    @sporting: No, I am not kidding. Did they come close to winning a championship last year? No. Will they come close this year? No. They are not a contender, they are a young team with decent pieces and potential. That is far from being a true contender. The capital letters indicate you are probably a Blazers fan and in which case would be obviously biased in your opinions of them which I can understand. From an unbiased fan of the game, not a team, and from one who has studied the make-ups of championship teams intimately since the early Celtic dynasty, I am telling you, they will not come close to winning a championship in the next 5 years.

  • The Ghost of Wilt Chamberlain

    @sobasically: Trading Roy would be a dumb move and it is unlikely they would be able to use him to get someone better. It would be smarter to attempt to lure more complementary players to increase depth and your point about another scorer is more than valid. Unfortunately they did this and the answer was Andre Miller, who although has been huge this year in providing consistent leadership along with being able to create scoring options, he is not the piece to put them over the top. Although the pieces they have are ok, it is still a few moves away from being a contender. Please do not mention a healthy Greg Oden as the missing piece, that boat sailed a long time ago.

  • Wes

    What a terrible article! Yes you can depend on Brandon and yes they can be a contender with
    Brandon! Trading him would be the stupidest thing the blazers could ever do, and they are not going to do it. They have proven they can make great late round picks and will continue to do so. They are really close to being contenders right now, a healthy greg oden does that but who knows if he will be healthy. Without all the injuries this year they would already be competing for the west coast championship, the bad luck has to change some time.

  • charles23

    you blazers fans are insane, last year there were talks of the suns dealing stoudemire for aldrige, and the fans went crazy, the thought that they might even accept roy as a trade came up and then you all went even crazier, i know brandon roy is the best player you’ve had since clyde the glide, but sometimes you all need to wake up and realize that he’s not the best player in the league, not even close as a matter of fact (oh but he’s so mature), dude is injury prone at the best of times, and a choke artist at the worst. Bet you’re wishin you had amare’ stoudemire on your team right now, dude is killin people, you’ll all see here on sunday.

  • Chokeartist!?

    @Charles23. Choke artist? You have to be kidding me. Not even including this season he has 24 plays to win or send a game into overtime in the last 35 seconds of games. And he has done that at least a few more times this year that I can remember actually seeing with my own eyes. That is so far from choke artist territory. Due to the lack of Blazers nationally televised games and the disrespectfully short SportsCenter highlight packages a majority of non-blazer fans have not seen enough of the team to make these types of hasty judgements. Brandon Roy is an amazing clutch player. He was 5th in the league in 4th quarter scoring last and shot .507 in the 4th in the 2008 – 2009 season. Thats third in the top 30 behind only Nash and Chris Paul. Please do some research before you make baseless claims about a players “clutchness” (in the interest of intelligent, informed debate).

    Stats at 82games.com if you need to verify yourself.

  • Sobasically

    Charles: If you don’t even like the blazers why are you responding? Or do you go around and respond on every article on this site with some sort of hate message?

    Stfu, nobody said he was the best player in the league. But that doesn’t mean that he isn’t a lot of fans favorite player. As is lebron to some, kobe to some, carmello to some, diwight to some, hell vince carter and steve nash and chris paul to some people. WE ALL HAVE FAVORITE PLAYERS. And far as your information brandon roy was never up for trade or mention in a trade for stoudemire…your facts are screwed up.

    A crazy sun fan come on here talkin trash because the blazers have them first round and their star player is out. So it pretty much guarantee’s a win for the sun in the series…you’re a freaking joke dude. The suns won’t make it past the 2nd round and won’t contend for a championship…so them beating the blazers get them were? A 2nd round loss lol

    Also, how many players in the nba have a full season without injuries? Roy might bounce back and play like 75 games next year. The blazers had a TOUGh season through and through…were would the suns be at with as much injuries as the blazers had?

    Better yet…where would the suns be without stoudemire? He is the link to the chain, without him your sun team isn’t so good buddy. Blazers can have sucess without their key big men and star guard. smh….idc what anyone says…the blazers are one of the best team in league simply because of this season…take it from a guy who seen 70 out of their 82 games this season.

    I’m in GA, and i’m a huge blazer fan…seen every game thanks to league pass! Go blazers, give the sun a run for their money so chumps like charles can see how good the blazers are as a whole without their star player.

    For the record, no real blazer fan wants amare’ on their team. The sun’s can keep him, we got our 4-man and we’re not wishing for another. The only weak spot in the blazers roster is the 3 position. They have 2 guards (webster and Fernandez) running that position a lot. They only have one true 3 man which is batum who is still developing his offensive game.

    Let the blazers get a good 3 man who can score between 16 – 22ppg a night and the blazers would be formidable.

  • http://www.slamonline.com/online/category/blogs/san-dova-speak-easy/ San Dova

    SO BASICALLY–> You criticizing Charles about his opinion is like the pot calling the kettle “black”. Especially since you just called me a “jerk” not more than 24 hours ago. I don’t agree with Roy being called a “choke artist”, but I think you may want to watch your words as well, sir/ma’am.

  • Sobasically

    Dude, i don’t believe my comments were directed towards you. That guy isn’t a infant he can speak for himself.

    Anyways, blazers up 1-0 in the series without roy. They’re severely underestimated, they’ve beatin big named teams without roy. Including the suns twice in the regular season without him, dallas, and they beat Oklahoma city the game before the last of the regular season.

    This is going to be very interesting, them not having lopez is going to work out in our favor because nobody can stop camby on the boards.

  • Sobasically

    Oh yeah, and i did say jerk because most of suns fans are jerks. Did you hear them booing the blazers when they walked to the locker room and after the game?

    THEY’RE JERKS!

  • http://www.slamonline.com/online/category/blogs/san-dova-speak-easy/ San Dova

    So Basically–> My bad.

  • JB

    San Dova, how is Chris Bosh a 2nd tier player?..

  • Chompo

    San Dova shouldn’t be listened to. Hasn;t had anything to add to this discussion yet.

    Moving on. Roy is a great player who averages 22 5 and 5 almost every year. 3 other players in the NBA have those stats…… Lebron, Dwade, and Kobe. Do your homework, very good company to be in. Roy can definitely lead this team to a title in the next few years….if management gets him the pieces he needs. Let’s not forget the injuries we had last year, I mean that was some freak stuff. That will not happen again and hopefully we can get a better read on the team. We need a solid go to guy at the 3 or we will not be advancing far in the playoffs, enough said.

    Batum will be good and really is close to being that guy, but alas he is not. With a healthy (hopefully) Oden, Camby, Lamarcus, Pendergraph, Cunningham….the blazers depth, length, and size will give teams NIGHTMARES in the regular and post season. Many believed that portland was the only team who could bother the Lakers on the inside…..and I tend to agree, hence the domination we’ve had over them.

    ROY is not the best player in the league, he is a combo guard who is smooth and smart. His team trusts him and he’s always one of the mose skilled and respected players on the court…….read what Kobe Bryant had to say about him……then go ahead and find Kobe going off with praise for another 2 guard. You won’t find it.

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