Wednesday, July 14th, 2010 at 5:18 pm  |  83 responses

Top 30 Post-Lottery First Round Draft Picks

Ranking the absolute steals since 1989.

by Jeremy Bauman / @JBauman13

So did you know that in 1989 there were just nine teams in the NBA Draft Lottery? That’s right, because the expansion Miami Heat and Minnesota Timberwolves came to fruition in 1990, thus creating an 11-team lottery until 1996 when the Vancouver Grizzlies and Toronto Raptors came in to the League and pushed the lottery up to 13 teams. Finally, when the Charlotte Bobcats came about in 2005 we entered the modern day lottery system that we now watch on TNT every year during the Playoffs.

What’s the point? Each and every year teams draft in the lottery and miss out on players who become formidable in the League for years to come. Going back to 1989, what I have decided to do is rank the players who have been drafted outside of the lottery—whether it was outside of the top nine in 1989 or outside the top 14 in 2005.

There is no single way to accurately rank these players, so what I decided to do was take a look at statistics and combine those with the individual players’ overall career. For example, Derek Fisher might not have the best numbers on this list but the way he plays the game and the championships he has been a part of helped drive him up this list in to the top.

One other thing I’d like to mention is that it is tough to weigh the potential of current players against the lengthy careers of some of the guys on this list. With that being said, I did the best job I could of placing the younger guys where I thought they deserved to be on this list based on their production to this point and their potential for the future.

30. Rodney Stuckey | Drafted by Detroit Pistons | 2007 Draft | 15th Overall
It’s fitting that a player taken just outside the modern lottery is the guy who will start this list off. The Detroit Pistons made Stuckey their man with the 15th overall pick in the 2007 Draft. In his sophomore season at Eastern Washington, Stuckey averaged 24.6 points, 4.7 rebounds, 5.5 assists and 2.4 steals per contest, proving that he was a capable scorer and leader in the process even though he was at a mid-major school. Since the Pistons shipped Chauncey Billups out west to Denver, the team has been his to run, where he has averaged 13 points and 4.3 assists per game while trying to help his squad return to the Playoffs. Stuckey has lots of skill and could definitely move up this list in time.

29. Andrei Kirilenko | Drafted by Utah Jazz | 1999 Draft | 24th Overall
AK-47 isn’t great in one particular area and that is exactly what makes him special. The Russian small forward was selected 24th by the Utah Jazz in the 1999 Draft and has proven his worth since, although he has been marred by inconsistency at times, especially at the offensive end where he has a career average of 12.4 points. But the reason he is valuable isn’t because of his offense but rather his defensive prowess—he has averaged 2.1 blocks and 1.4 steals per game for his career and is very versatile. Kirilenko makes winning plays and hustles constantly and for that, he just barely makes this list.

28. Josh Howard | Drafted by Dallas Mavericks | 2003 Draft | 29th Overall
Howard attended Wake Forest for all four years of school, increased his scoring every year until he had a career high of 19.5 points per game his senior year and shot 48.3 percent from the field overall. I remember watching him a few times when he was in college (and I was young) and saying that I thought he was a very good player who coZydrunas Ilgauskasuld do a little bit of everything out there. Still, Howard went 29th overall to the Dallas Mavericks in the 2003 Draft. Off the court he has had his fair share of issues but on the court he has been pretty consistent as a role player, averaging 15.3 points, 6 rebounds a game while also guarding the other team’s most potent scorer most of the time.

27. Zydrunas Ilgauskas | Drafted by Cleveland Cavaliers | 1996 Draft | 20th Overall
Z was drafted 20th in the 1996 Draft by the Cavaliers. He has averaged double figures in 11 out of 12 seasons and all of them have come in Cleveland for the Cavaliers, so consistency is definitely the key word for Ilgauskas. A native of Lithuania, Big Z might not be as athletic as other big men but he is certainly more consistent in pick-and-pop situations than your average center. Next season will be different for Ilgauskas—he has decided to follow his former teammate LeBron James to South Beach in the hopes of winning a title. If he stays consistent for the Heat he will be a major help from the outside.

26. Hedo Turkoglu | Drafted by Sacramento Kings | 2000 Draft | 16th Overall
The product of Turkey was drafted 16th overall in 2000 by the Sacramento Kings where he played alongside fellow list mate and European import Peja Stojakovic. He played well in Sacramento given his role and playing time but really started to come on once he reached the Magic in 2004. He played an integral part in helping them to reach the Finals in 2009 abilities to perform in isolation situations and clutch shooting on display. He sought a bigger contract and took on a much tougher role in Toronto last season where he struggled but is on the verge of being traded to Phoenix, where he should thrive in their up-tempo offense.

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  • http://trox.bandcamp.com trox

    why is brandon roy not on this list?

  • http://slamonline.com Ben Osborne

    Nice work, Jeremy. @trox: because he was a lottery pick.

  • Saami

    LOL @ trox

  • http://www.twitter.com/gerardhimself Gerard Himself

    awesome list

  • http://www.bulls.com Enigmatic

    That first comment was a straight up fail.

  • rainman10

    No Sam Cassell? Tayshaun Prince?

  • Ethan

    What about Ginobili?

  • WdJ

    D Fish? You must be back on the pipe! I’m a Laker fan, and D is not in the same league as the top 15 or so players. Nice try, but no!

  • JP

    Shawn Kemp was a MONSTER

  • http://slamonline.com JL

    man why did kemp have to eat his way out of the league. he was good even tho he was overweight on the cavs too. if not he woulda had a hall of fame career. i would still vote for him though. nobody dunks like him now. no one. not after they put in the stupid charge circle.

  • http://www.twitter.com/itskelvinlee K. Lee

    GINOOOOOOOOOOBBLLIIIIII (Barkley Voice)

  • http://www.slamonline.com wayno

    Yeah, Tayshaun Prince definitely deserves to be on this list.

  • http://slamonline.com/ Ryne Nelson

    The Kings can Draft!

  • http://slamonline.com/ Ryne Nelson

    No Ginobili because it’s first round only.

  • http://www.clownpenis.com Tarzan Cooper

    Manu was second round. Ak47 is way too low, wilson chandler has no business on this list. fisher is WAY too high, rondo is too high. Tay has to be on here. Switch tony and steve and its all good. Everyone knows steves mvps are a joke, ad as great as some ppl say he is, all hes done is never make it to the finals, tony has 3 rings and a finals mvp too, how the F is he not number one?!

  • http://www.clownpenis.com Tarzan Cooper

    Yes ryne, kings drafted very well.

  • http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2/story?page=simmons/090624&sportCat=nba Drew

    Isn’t lottery considered the first 14 draft picks? How did Jalen Rose get on this list if he was selected 13th overall?

  • LB

    Good list, but D-Fish over Rondo? Come on, man~ I know Fish has got all the rings and proves to be a clutch performer every year, but come on, man Fish has always been and will always be a role player. Rondo is a franchise point guard.

  • Atrain

    Wilson Chandler? Really?

  • NBA kid

    @drew, read the criteria of the list. at the time, rose wasn’t lottery cause there weren’t as many teams

  • Will

    D Fish over Tim Hardaway, Really?

  • Mike

    You left Rashard Lewis out??? He should have been in the top 10, at least.

  • http://slamonline.com Tzvi Twersky

    Love the idea, question some of the placements. And that’s what I love about it.

  • ron

    No Gilbert? No Monta?

  • http://slamonline.com Jeremy Bauman

    Agreed Tzvi, that’s what its all about. Tayshaun was omitted by accident, he probably should be on there and I meant to get him on there.

    Thank you @ NBA kid for reading the criteria and explaining that.

    Wilson Chandler could pan out to be a lot better player than people think. If he goes to a team that actually plays defense, that is.

    Rashard Lewis was in the 2nd round. Another list will be coming at some point with the best second rounders, count on it!

  • http://dsfjklfl.com Jukai

    Great list, but can we do a second round list? That’s way more interesting.

  • http://www.springbored.net letsmotor

    Great list, and I had fun reading it. My only point of disagreement (at least for the moment) is Derek Fisher’s placing. I know he’s a strong, winning role player who brings toughness, intangibles, and clutch shooting ability, and that’s all great, but he’s just not the same class of player as the top 10 or 15 guys on this list. I’m not all about stats, but let’s face it, stats mean something, and I don’t see how a PG with averages of 9, 3, and 2 comes in at number 4, even given all his attributes.

  • benny

    GINOBILI!!!! and ARENAS!!!!!

  • http://www.springbored.net letsmotor

    Ginobili and Arenas both went in the second round, Benny. They’d definitely be up there on a list of the best players to go in the second round.

  • drob50

    Speaking of Doug Christie, how about a list of Top 30 basketball wives?

  • johnny c

    arenas is my pick for best second rounder. gotta put ginobli, boozer, and redd on the list too. cant wait to see that one.

  • Sporting-Lisbon-Blazers

    good read…wha?!?!?!?Casspi, Hakim Warrick getting love in the future references before NicBatum?!?!?!? GTFOH

  • curt

    I thought the lottery starts at the 15th pick?

  • http://www.alllooksame.com Tarzan Cooper

    manu is the best second round player of all time, no contest, not even close.

  • CClass

    Wow, way to fact check your Ron Artest portion of this piece…”the Indiana Pacers decided to take him after with the 17th pick”….He was drafted 16th by the Bulls. This is just terrible.

  • M5

    This is the only time the Grizzlies and Raptors can keep Kobe out of the top of the list.

  • hendry

    if u list jalen rose as a 13th pick, HOW IN THE WORLD CAN U LEAVE OUT KOBE????!!!

  • Overtime

    Would be much better if people read the article before making outrageous remarks on the list

  • spit hot fiyah

    co-sign everyone who thought fisher is waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay too high on this list…

  • Yesse

    I think Fisher was a bit too high there. Now i’m not saying he should be on the list, because he definetly should. I also think that many of the players are on the wrong spot on the list.

  • http://www.springbored.net letsmotor

    how about that claim that Kirilenko “isn’t great in one particular area”? um… defense?

  • http://slamonline.com Kap

    Why can’t people read that it says first round and comprehend the the lottery is only 14 teams and was 13 before bobcats.

  • http://WWW.SLAMONLINE.COM wayno

    I like the concept of this list…You should do best 2nd rounders and best undrafted players next.

  • Richie

    I like Chandler too. He’s underrated because he’s a knick. Lots of potential there, although his placement compared to those below might be a bit high considering his lack of overall success.

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100000580635564 Bryan

    Tim over d-fish? Maybe it was because of where fisher was drafted to see his career pan out the way it did but dont get it twisted, Timmy Two-Step was aa far better player then fisher who was great in his own right

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100000580635564 Bryan

    d fish over timmy was what i meant to say

  • marc

    Is it me or does michael finley’s pic look a lil bit like kevin durant. lol

  • mgballer

    youve got to be kidding me with DFish ahead of Rondo..Thats comedy..i don’t think Derek Fisher ever had the potential of being a franchise player.. great role player but he isnt and will never be rondo

  • http://slamonline.com/ Ryne Nelson

    marc, I see it. The Suns need to bring those alternates back, too.

  • Mo

    What about Nick Van Exel or Ben Wallace. Those guys were steals in the 2nd round.

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