Monday, March 7th, 2011 at 3:09 pm  |  15 responses

Fantasy Basketball: Playoff Prep

Chris Paul and Kevin Love have lousy playoff schedules.

by Charles Peach / @Charles_Peach

It’s crunch time, people.

For those of you in head-to-head leagues, be aware that the Wizards, Nets, and Nuggets only play two games this week. If you’re scouring the waiver wire for some help, choose somebody from one of the 15 teams that play four games this week. The schedule grid can be found right here.

Looking ahead at the team schedules, a few things stand out:

• New Orleans has the fewest games remaining (17). Also, Chris Paul is expected to miss Monday’s game because of the concussion he suffered in Cleveland on Sunday. If you own CP3 and are fighting for a playoff spot, I would trade him. Actually, no matter where you are in the standings, you ought to consider trading him as long as you get excellent value in return. He’s been the number one ranked player all season long, so finding a suitor won’t be difficult. In trading a player like Paul, you should be able to garner one premier player along with another solid contributor.

• After this week, Minnesota will have only 14 games remaining which ties them with New Orleans for the fewest in the league. Several teams (Boston, New Jersey, Phoenix, Sacramento, and Washington) will play 18 games during the same stretch. Most of All of my leagues are head-to-head, except for one rotisserie that I need to quickly make up ground in assists and steals. I have a nice cushion in rebounding because I’ve owned Kevin Love all season, so I traded him away for Rajon Rondo and Andrei Kirilenko. Love is obviously capable of producing more in 14 games than many players can in 18, but if you can find a good trade it could end up being a savvy move. Take Amar’e Stoudemire, for example. He’ll play 17 games in the final five weeks. Would you rather have him for 17 or Love for 14? Amar’e would give you a clear advantage in points, field goal percentage, steals, and blocks. So, if you struggle in those categories then I’d make that move. Since Love is such a beast, you can probably get a solid additional player in that trade as well. Love will still dominate the rebounds despite the discrepancy in games played and will also be markedly better in threes, turnovers, and free throw shooting. It all depends on your team’s strengths and weaknesses.

• Those of you in head-to-head leagues should be wary of owning Pacers during the finals of the fantasy playoffs. Indiana has a very strong fantasy playoff schedule up until the final round (which typically includes the last week and a half of the season). They play only four games when every other team plays five or six. This doesn’t rock the world exactly, but if you’re looking for a reason to trade Danny Granger before the trade deadline (March 10th in many YaHoo leagues) now you have one.

ON THE WIRE

Randy Foye – Gotta be owned. Sounds like Eric Gordon’s season is in jeopardy. I can’t imagine one good reason for him to return with the Clippers mired in lottery-land. Foye was effective while Gordon was out, averaging 17.5 points, 3.9 assists, 2.2 threes, and 1.4 steals. He may have been let go once Gordon returned, so check the wire.

Tyrus Thomas – Due to return Wednesday. The Bobcats are fighting for the eighth seed, so I expect Thomas to contribute solid rebounds, blocks, and steals to finish out the season.

Samardo Samuels – He’ll help with boards and blocks, but be careful because he’s a terrible free-throw shooter.

Francisco Garcia – Cisco Kid should be a friend of yours for the rest of the season. He missed 21 games with a calf strain but returned Saturday to score 18 points. He made four threes and had two steals. The Kings have more games remaining than any other team in the League.

Anthony Morrow – Went across the pond and came back with a concussion. However, BlackBoiPachino (how Morrow chooses to be identified in the Twittersphere) tweeted that he feels fine and expects to play Wednesday. As mentioned earlier, the Nets have a weak schedule this week but conclude the season with five straight “max” weeks. The best three-point shooter in NBA history (hey, I’m just lookin’ at the numbers, man) could be a huge help come playoff time.

Matt Bonner – Speaking of three-point shooting, Bonner has made 86 of his 164 attempts this season. That’s 52.4 percent. No, he won’t contribute anything else. But if you anticipate a tight matchup in threes, he’s quite the useful specialist.

Nenad Krstic – Getting more comfortable in Beantown. He went 7-of-8 from the field on Sunday, finishing with 17 points. In five games with the Celtics he’s averaging 12.2 points and 4.8 rebounds. Apparently, Shaquille O’Neal won’t be playing anytime soon, so Krstic is a decent option in deep leagues.

Ed Davis – In two games in London last weekend, the Raptors collected two L’s and allowed 253 points. Davis, though, collected 24 points, 23 rebounds, five steals, and shot 10-of-12 from the field over the weekend. Plus, his ‘Heels pummeled the Dukies. He was probably feeling better than most of his teammates on the flight back. Just sayin’. The hope here is that Davis gets an increase in playing time to finish the season, as the Raptors are playing for nothing.

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  • Riggs

    i am currently 16-0 and have a first round bye in the playoffs in my 10 team fantasy league. I can thank kevin love and russell westbrook for that.

  • Michael

    What about Tyreke? Any chance he can come back to form in time, or will I have to drop him (for Garcia)?

  • http://www.twitter.com/hurstysyd Hursty

    I own D. Collison in a ROTO League.
    I HATE HIM!!!!!
    I can’t trade him, and as soon as I drop him, I know he’ll get picked up.
    The last week or so of games, KG has averaged more assists than him. And KG averaged just over 3.
    What to do… what to do…
    Ideas?
    Package him as a “bonus” in a 3 for 2 move?

  • hrh1956

    I 10-1 with 9 straight wins in h2h and have come from 6 2 2nd because of K-Love. I will NEVER GIVE HIM UP!!!

  • http://www.slamonline.com/ niQ

    Hey Hursty, if you can get something better in return then by all means. But if you can’t, do not drop him. Keep in mind INDIANA plays the MAXIMUM number of games from here on out. He may not give you Chris Paul like numbers but the fact he plays more games than your opponents Point guards should be worth keeping.
    I mean if you’ve held onto his this long then you should be fine for the rest of the way.
    I would recommend players like Jarret Jack or Foye to replace collison but 1) NO plays the LEAST amount of games in the fantasy playoffs and 2) Foye will only be effective for 7-10 days until Eric Gordon returns…

  • http://www.slamonline.com/ niQ

    And @Charles. Kevin Love for Rondo and Ak47? Not a big fan of that trade.
    You could’ve got way more for Love. He’s currently ranked 2nd on Yahoo. You could’ve tried hooking in a first round pick. And I’m sure you could’ve got Granger easy with Love =P

  • http://staticseth.blogspot.com Seth

    I picked up Omri Casspi a week or so ago and now Francisco Garcia is back in the Kings lineup. Am I right to think they’re gonna cancel each other out value-wise? They both played a little over 20 minutes last night and both had mediocre production.

  • http://staticseth.blogspot.com Seth

    Just a thought – could Toney Douglas have some value? Billups has missed the last handful of games and Douglas has provided some nice numbers. The Knicks will likely get into the playoffs, so maybe they might be cautious with Billups?

  • http://www.stonesthrow.com/madlib Michael NZ

    Is it blasphemy to consider dropping Felton for Foye? I’m seriously thinking about it. Latest from Yahoo re Gordon: “Del Negro said tests revealed no serious damage, but it’s uncertain when he’ll be able to play again. “Let’s just see how he responds to the therapy,” Del Negro said. “It’s his shooting hand, so it might make it a little more difficult. But all signs point to him returning. But when? That’s another story.”

    Any thoughts?

  • http://www.slamonline.com/ niQ

    Seth, yea, they’ll probably cancel each other out. Although I do like what Garcia brings to the table more. If only he could get more minutes..
    Toney D is valuable only until Billups returns, that much is known. I’d recommend either Foye, Farmar (for 2 games), and Jarret Jack as other short term adds.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @Riggs: Yes you can. Congrats.
    -
    @Michael: If you’re fighting to make it into the playoffs, you have to strongly consider parting ways with Reke. Anybody better than Garcia available?
    -
    @Hursty: Keep trying to deal him. I know it’s difficult while he’s playing poorly. The Pacers play max games every week until championship, when they play the fewest. I don’t recommend dropping.
    -
    @niQ: If the championship in your league is the final week and a half of the season then the Pacers are the worst team to own that week. Up until that point they are maxed out.
    As for my trade, it’s definitely not something I would’ve done in a H2H league. It made sense in the Roto league. I NEED to make a push in assists and steals so I picked up Rondo for 21 games in exchange for Love and his 18 remaining games.
    -
    @Seth: I expect Garcia to have more value than Casspi because I believe he was starting over him before he was injured. Like niQ said –
    Once Chauncey returns (Wednesday?), then Douglas probably won’t be worth owning.
    -
    @Michael NZ: You aren’t crazy. That could be a very smart move. Lawson and Felton are locked in a timeshare and Foye is a must-own right now. Now, if Gordon does indeed return in 7-10 days then it wouldn’t be so great.
    -
    @niQ: Agreed. Farmar is a nice pickup for the next 2 ballgames.

  • Patrick

    Charles…my team is in 1st place and it’s definitely because of your posts. I make a pickup from your list probably once a week and they always produce! Thanks!

  • Michael

    @Charles I clinched a playoff spot (the bottom half of our league is inactive), but my G situation right now is Jameer, Lawson and Harden (who I picked up), Ray Allen, Tyreke, and Wes Matthews (traded Odom to get him). Fields, Mayo, George Hill, Ridnour, VC are still available. My bigs are pretty much set (Monroe, J-Smoove, Granger, Bogut, Griffin, Love). Thanks for the help!

  • http://www.slamonline.com Charles Peach

    @Patrick: Thanks for reading, glad it’s paying off!
    -
    @Michael: Good luck in the playoffs! I like Ridnour out of those choices but because of Minnesota’s poor playoff schedule I’d probably go with Fields. Keep your eyes open for any Tyreke news.

  • Michael

    @Charles: thanks, Charles. hopefully Tyreke returns in the next couple of weeks :D

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