Thursday, March 31st, 2011 at 4:06 pm  |  10 responses

Final Four: Top Draft Prospects

More Cinderellas than draft prospects.

by Jeff Fox / @HoopsManifesto

While this year’s NCAA Tournament has lived up to its nickname (has there ever been a year as mad as this one?), it’s been a little disappointing for followers of the NBA Draft. While having “Cinderella” teams like Butler and Virginia Commonwealth in the Final Four is exciting, the number of future NBA players competing this weekend in Houston is limited because of all the madness that ensued throughout the early rounds.

With two mid-major schools knocking off big boys on their way to the final quartet, NBA draftniks are left with a field lacking in prospects. With that being said, here’s who you — and the scouts — should keep an eye on this weekend (and, no, we didn’t forget to include VCU — unlike previous years, they are bereft of NBA prospects on their current roster).

CONNECTICUT

Kemba Walker — Point Guard — Junior

Projected draft range: Top 10 to mid-first round

We propose a new nickname for Kemba Walker — “Mr. March.” Four times this month Walker has topped the 30-point mark in a game, including twice so far in the NCAA Tournament. How’s this for a statline — in four tourney games this year, Walker is averaging 26.8 ppg, 5.3 rpg and 6.8 apg. The diminutive NYC product has shown that the bigger the stage, the bigger his game, which will only help his draft stock. While it is never a smart idea to judge a player on one game alone, how he does against Kentucky on Saturday could provide insight into how he’ll perform in the NBA, as the Wildcats have a big, athletic point guard in Brandon Knight, the type of player Walker will have to deal with in the League.

Other prospects: Alex Oriakhi — Power Forward — Sophomore (mid-second round, 2012), Jeremy Lamb — Shooting Guard — Freshman (Top 10, 2012)

KENTUCKY

Terrence Jones — Small Forward/Power Forward — Freshman

Projected draft range: Top 10 to late lottery

While Terrence Jones has had a quiet NCAA Tournament (10.3 ppg, 6.8 rpg), there is no denying his talent. With the size and strength of a power forward, Jones also excels at putting the ball on the floor and creating for himself off of the wing. While his steep dropoff in production over the past two months of the season might indicate that he isn’t quite ready for the NBA yet, with him being projected as a sure-fire lottery pick don’t expect to see him back in Lexington in the fall. But can he go out a winner?

Brandon Knight — Point Guard — Freshman

Projected draft range: Lottery to mid-first round

It’s still up for debate which Wildcat will be the first off the board at June’s Draft — Jones or Brandon Knight (or will it be their ineligible “teammate,” Enes Kanter?). While Knight has been lauded for his two game-winners so far in the Tournament for Kentucky, he has had an up and down performance — 2 points one game, 30 the next; 9 points one game, 22 the next. But he still was confident and skilled enough to shake off horrible shooting nights to come through in the clutch when his team needed him the most, showing very important intangibles in regard to his NBA stock — his basketball IQ and his mental toughness.

Other prospects: Doron Lamb — Shooting Guard — Freshman (early second round, 2012)

BUTLER

Shelvin Mack — Point Guard — Junior

Projected draft range: Late first round to late second round (2012 Draft)

Shelvin Mack was one of the mid-major draft prospects that we identified before the Tournament began — however, little did we know he, and Butler, would still be balling this late in the proceedings. Mack has contributed what he always does to the Bulldogs — points on the scoreboard. He’s averaging 21.3 ppg thus far in the Tourney, including 30 points and 7 three-pointers in Butler’s upset win over top-seeded Pittsburgh. But can he play point guard in the NBA?

Read more of Jeff Fox at The Hoops Manifesto and The MMA Manifesto.

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  • http://nobulljive.com Enigmatic

    No love for Joey Rodriguez?!?!?
    Nah, I’m just playing.
    But what about Jamie Skeen?
    Kid was a top recruit in high school and played for Wake Forest before transferring.
    Could he have a shot in the second round?

  • http://www.hoopsmanifesto.com Jeff Fox

    It doesn’t look like Skeen will get drafted. However, he’ll no doubt get some looks in the NBA Summer League and maybe even fall training camp.

  • http://google c_cantrell

    Jeff man..
    kemba walker? top ten to mid first round? try top 5 bud

  • http://www.slamonline.com/ niQ

    lol c_cantrell. I have him as top 10-15. If he actually gets drafted top 5 you definitely deserve a prize. A lot of people saw him as a shorter Ben Gordon (combo guard). Which is sort of why people are scared how he’ll transition into the NBA level game. But his March play has definitely helped his stock.

  • http://nobulljive.com Enigmatic

    c_cantrell – I personally can see Walker going only as high as like, 6 or 7.
    He’s undersized even for a point but plays more like a 2, and him being a junior will hurt him too cause teams might think he has less room to improve.
    My top 5 in no particular order are Derrick Williams, Kyrie Irving, Perry Jones, Enes Kanter and Jan Vesely.
    But I’m no draft expert.

  • http://nobulljive.com Enigmatic

    I mean, Jameer Nelson was like the Kemba Walker of his time, and dude was drafted 20th overall.
    The best college players don’t always get picked the highest.

  • http://google c_cantrell

    ^enny
    you do have a good point in his age, but if a team is needing a point man, then the only other point they would draft in front of him would be irving.. but anything can happen in the draft, we all know that

  • http://nobulljive.com Enigmatic

    C, if my team needed a point guard and Kyrie Irving was off the board, I’d pick Brandon Knight over Kemba Walker if he declares.
    And if you look at the lottery teams, you got the Wizards who have Wall, the T-Wolves who still think Rubio is the answer, the Pistons who still think Stuckey is the answer, the Kings might still wanna try Evans at the point, the Cavs have B. Diddy, Gibson, AND Sessions at the point.
    Kyrie Irving might be too good for them to pass up, but with them having two lottery picks, I can definitely see them passing on Kemba to draft someone at another position they need to strengthen, like shooting guard.
    For the most part, though, I think this draft will be big-man heavy at the top of the lottery. Lots of 3s and 4s.

  • connor

    i hope knight ends up with the bobcats he holds great size over augustin and with his stroke could be a go to guy fr the franchise

  • add

    shelvin mack is a big dude, maybe he can out muscle some guards ,but how fast is he?

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