Tuesday, May 31st, 2011 at 1:37 pm  |  40 responses

SLAM 2011 Finals Picks

Our writers and editors make some predictions.

nba finals

By now, you’ve probably been inundated with so much Finals coverage that you’re ready for the damn thing to start already. And if you are still perusing for last-minute reading material, chances are you’re only looking for a simple answer to a simple question: “Who the hell is going to win?”

Well, here’s your answer, or as close to one as we could possibly provide. SLAM tallied a handful of our own writers and editors to get their take on the 2011 NBA Finals, and below are those predictions.

But we also want to know who you’ve got, so let us know in the comments who you’re going with and why. And be sure to check back in to SLAMonline tonight, when Lang will be liveblogging the madness straight from American Airlines Arena. Like we always do at this time.

Ben OsborneHeat in 6 (winning games 1, 3, 5 + 6)
I think homecourt will be a factor, I think Miami will play better team defense than the teams Dallas beat to get here, and most of all, I have never seen LeBron James (easily the best player in the world) playing with so much confidence. I don’t see him being stopped this year.

Susan Price: Heat in 5
Ugh. I don’t like the Miami Heat. I grew up a Knicks fan, so we have a little history. But that history has nothing to do with my wish for them to lose. I think LeBron’s a great player, blah blah blah, but I still can’t get last summer’s debacle of a decision out of my head. And so I don’t want Miami to win just for that. Childish? Maybe. Immature? Maybe. But we all know how we (sports fans) can make any ridiculous reasoning make sense. I want the Mavs to win. With the Lakers and Spurs out, this might be the best chance they get, ever. I just don’t think it’ll happen. I think LeBron morphed into some kind of wild, incredible hulk, beast dude at the end of the last game vs Chicago. I think that wild, incredible hulk, beast dude is going to carry his team to the title. Ugh.

Tzvi TwerskyHeat in 6
With all due admiration for Dallas’ incredible run—and I do mean incredible—LeBron is playing like he’s sick of visualizing how the crown might be. So assuming he doesn’t revert back to his sleep-walking ways of yesterPlayoffs, and assuming Dirk Nowitzki doesn’t do them like he did Serge Ibaka, look for James and Co. to be hosting a party on Collins Avenue in a few weeks. Either way, enjoy every last second of these Finals. With a lockout looming, this could be the last NBA basketball played for a long minute.

Ryne NelsonMavs in 5 
Call it a guess, a feeling, but the Mavs may well be capable of sending home the Heat with ease. Why? Because as nice as Miami’s postseason has been, Dirk Nowitzki is really hungry (see: demolitions of the champion Lakers and explosive Thunder). As solid as Udonis Haslem and Chris Bosh have been, they won’t provide nearly enough extra juice to overshadow this well seasoned Dallas squad. Match-up problems abound for the Heat, and Dallas is finally no slouch on defense. Sure, it’s a only feeling, but most of the winner’s intangibles are in Dallas’ corner. Dirk now understands what title winners are made of… and he’s back to prove himself.

Lang Whitaker: Heat in 6
Read why here.

Adam Figman: Heat in 5
As far as I can see, there aren’t nearly enough people talking about how crazy fast both of these teams are storming into the Finals. The Heat took only 10 games to knock out the Celtics and Bulls, while the Mavs pushed away the Lakers and Thunder in nine. Combined, against those four incredibly talented opponents, these two were 16-3. That’s unbelievable. And the two squads have a good habit going where they jump on top early, weather the return fire with ease, and close out series without fail. (That’s been the format every round for these two, except the ECF.) So I see that happening again, and with the first two contests in Miami and LeBron James hungrier than ever, something tells me the Heat will pull through the same way: landing an early haymaker, brushing aside the jab back, and finishing with a strong uppercut. In five games. Maybe six, at most.

Franklyn CalleHeat in 6
LeBron & Wade and Co. took paycuts last summer in order to get a chance at winning championships. And now just four wins away, I just can’t see them letting this one get away from them. Although I do see Dallas giving them a run for their money, after all the ups and down this Heat team went through this season, I just can’t see them folding at this point.

Sam Rubenstein: Heat in 6
This whole year has been about the Heat and their legions of haters. I feel like this is all set up for “King James claimed his throne, but at what cost?” whining, as people decide that he now has to prove he can do it without Wade. Dallas has looked unstoppable in the past, with Dirk peaking on his way to the Finals, on a team with athleticism and depth. For whatever reason (the refs cheating), it didn’t work out. The Heat have moved past their crunch time issues, and their rotation is NBA-caliber now, and all of the denials made by Spoelstra and Bosh and this talk of a “process” turned out to be actual wisdom. Miami gets its title but it’s not convincing enough for some, and people make excuses like “Wake me up when they’re a dynasty.”

Vincent ThomasHeat in 6
I want to say Dallas because they have players that deserve a ring (Dirk, Kidd); but Miami is defying historical arches and proverbial karma. They have rewritten so much and blown up tradition. Keep going.

Khalid Salaam: Heat in 6
The Heat’s success trajectory has been strongly enhanced by the return of Udonis Haslem, enough so that Miami’s rebounding deficiencies isn’t the Achilles heel that I initially envisioned. Granted, I’m not saying rebounding will be a strength against the Mavs, just not a weakness. With that no longer holding them back I think their perimeter defense and late game maneuvering by DWade and LBJ will eventually put them over the top.

Eldon Khorshidi: Heat in 6
You would be insane to pick against a team that just went a combined 8-1 against the Thunder and Lakers, and is on one of those ‘destined’ runs. But the Dallas Mavericks aren’t facing a regular NBA team…they’re facing the Miami Heat.

When your best player (choose LeBron or Wade) is, at worst, just as good as your opponent’s best player, and your second best player (choose LeBron or Wade) is just as good as your opponent’s best player, the scale tips over. Throw in your third best player, Chris Bosh, who is better than your opponent’s second best player and can drop 30 on any single cover in the League, and it becomes overwhelming. All year we’ve heard what the Miami Heat lack, and what they can’t do, and how it’s not their time yet. Face it: The Miami Heat are a real team, with real players, with a real chance to win the title. All the articles, storylines and imaginary roadblocks meant nothing. Rachel Nichols reporting from their locker room means nothing. When dissecting a simple game, all that’s necessary is simple logic. I wouldn’t mind Dirk stealing this series and getting his ice since Miami is forecasted to win like four of the next six, but star power and defense win championships, and that’s exactly what the doctor prescribed for Miami. In the NBA, reality suppresses imagination. Unless the imagination is reality. Imagine LeBron, Wade, and Bosh on the same team… oh wait.

David Cassilo: Mavs in 6
The Heat have silenced all the haters with a trip to the NBA Finals, but that doesn’t mean the trophy is theirs. Miami still has just three consistent scoring options and will need Udonis Haslem and Mike Miller to continue to step up to have a chance to win. While the Dallas offense goes through Dirk Nowitzki, he has a stable full of savvy veterans that help spread the floor and will keep the Miami defense honest.

The Mavericks have been the NBA’s best team all postseason, and that will continue. Could Miami have swept Los Angeles? Not likely. In the end, Dallas’ depth will be the reason it gets revenge for Miami’s 2006 triumph.

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  • http://redoftoothandclaw.ca/ niQ

    Miami in 6.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Eboy

    There’s a view guys on the SLAM roster that may need to move on to writing about a different sport. And Ryne is just being ridiculous with his pick.

  • http://www.bulls.com Rigo Gonzalez

    And who would those be, Eboy?
    Everyone who doesn’t have the Heat winning in 5 or 6?
    It’s their picks, they’re entitled to say whatever.
    I have Miami in 6.
    And Ryne’s pick is ballsy, to say the least.

  • http://redoftoothandclaw.ca/ niQ

    To be honest, if the Mavs win at least 1 of the 2 games in Miami, then it’s not that farfetched… Since the next 3 would be in Dallas. But yes, ballsy. lol

  • Jer dawg

    Who do I less like to win? Heat. Not happy with Dallas, but I like Jason Kidd. So, Ef it.

  • http://pickandroll.tumblr.com/ airs

    lets..go…mavs =*[

  • http://www.slamonline.com Eboy

    Thanks for the heads up, Rigo. Just like I’m entitled to chide them.

  • http://twitter.com/smileyoufckers Bryan

    I hope the mavs win, but I don’t think its going to happen.

  • http://www.bulls.com Rigo Gonzalez

    Just like I’m entitled to say that sh*t makes no sense, but have at it.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Cheryl

    I think it’ll go 7 games, with one or even two of those won during overtime. I take the Heat in 7, just because all the hate and derision has steeled this team to withstand any adversity during the course of a game and the series. They win it at home and then we all go 7 or 8 months without professional basketball to argue about.

  • http://slamonline.com nbk

    “Match-up problems abound for the Heat” After Dirk – UD/CB/LBJ I don’t see a mismatch on the court for Miami…. (and those 3 are the best collection of one on one defenders Nowitzki will have seen this postseason) And there is no slow 2 guard for JKidd to guard in this series. And Miami gets to pull Tyson Chandler away from the hoop with UD and CB on the court together. Uh oh Dallas. I don’t see any logical way to bet against the Heat

  • http://slamonline.com Ben Osborne

    I realize I said home court matters and have a road team winning only two of the games. But I still mean it, in that the 2-3-2 format so heavily favors the home team. Should be a very fun series!

  • bike

    The Heat in four. That’s right, a complete sweep. And LeBron will go for 50 in one of them.

  • http://www.bulls.com Rigo Gonzalez

    Should be a fun series indeed.
    LeBron’s playing like a man possessed. I’m gonna sit back and enjoy it now that it’s not my Bulls he’ll be torturing.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Wayno

    I want Dallas to win badly…Dirk and Kidd need a ring…that being said I’m saying Miami in 6…LeBron is just unbelievable. I think he’ll D up Dirk better than anyone in the playoffs so far.

  • http://slamonline.com LakeShow

    I like the Mavs to win. I have chosen against both these teams in every series. Not because i didn’t think they were good enough to win them but because i don’t like either of them. But the Mavs have grown on me each series and i like their team brand ball. What a concept. A TEAM. If they shoot like they did against the Lakes then obviously they will win. If they don’t but still shoot well they will win. If for some reason they can’t make a bucket then the Heat will take advantage. Mavs in 6 or 7. Durdk with his O’Brien and Finals MVP. And LBJ wondering if he can ever git him self one of them O’Briens. Durdk > LBJ. Mavs > Heat

  • flipnoyce

    If the officials let them play the games without favoring a team over another, I’m taking the MAVS. Miami wins if they get the refs on their side. Charity line was a huge part of Heat’s success during this post season,just sayin! Mavs in 7!

  • http://thetroyblog.com Teddy-the-Bear

    Is Susan Price by any chance related to Captain Price?

  • http://www.facebook.com/kevinwilson16 Kevin Wilson

    It’s interesting that a lot of the SLAM guys are touting the importance of home court, but nobody would give a Game 7 edge to the home team.

  • http://www.facebook.com/joe.l.brewer3 BlackPhantom

    I’ll wait until the end of the first two games to make a prediction.

  • http://slamonline.com Bryan Crawford

    Then it’s not a “prediction,” Phantom. It’s analysis.

  • http://slamonline.com LakeShow

    I’ll wait for the series to end before i make a prediction…

  • http://www.slamonline.com Eboy

    I’ll wait till I pick up the replica trophy at Champs to make my prediction.

  • http://redoftoothandclaw.ca/ niQ

    Lol@BlackPhantom. When the Mavs were up 2-0 in 2006 everyone had written off the Heat. People were even saying that it would be a sweep.

  • http://www.bulls.com Rigo Gonzalez

    I’ll wait till after the lockout ends to make my prediction.

  • http://www.twitter.com/nflem41 Nicolas Fleming

    I think Kobe i going to beat Kanye’s monster team.

  • http://www.slamonline.com/ Myles Brown

    Lakers in 6.

  • Maurice Bobb

    Man, it sure is lonely over here in “Mavs to win it Land”

  • http://theresastatforthat.blogspot.com deron

    I think the Heat will win in 6 or 7, but I’ll be rooting for J-Kidd to get his first ring; he really deserves it. Dirk will do what he wants in this series, but I don’t think it will be enough for the Mavs to win. If he does win, he will move up the all-time great list, but still not top ten.

    http://theresastatforthat.blogspot.com/2011/05/dirk-with-ring-better-than-ringless.html

  • http://www.slamonline.com/online/nba/2011/05/slam-2011-finals-picks/3/ Lakers in 6 LOL

    haha Ima say Heat in 6, with Dirk being the best player in the series, and lebron and wade hungry and going beast all out, and bosh just playin like bosh, consistent and efficient and the heat defense making the difference. go Joel Anthony!

  • http://fkjslf.com Jukai

    I predict that whoever wins, Eboy will be insufferable

  • Pavlek

    that’s not a prediction Jukai, it’s analysis

  • http://www.slamonline.com unf*ckwitable

    Heat in 6, but i think it will be a dope series.

  • http://slam akram

    just like in ’06 HEAT WILL WIN!

  • robb

    The Heat never faced a team like the Mavs during these Playoffs. They are too versatile, they have more size, more experience, a better bench, better 3pt. shooting, a very good defense and a way better coach. I mean, c’mon they went 7-1 against the Lakers and the Thunder combined. LMAO@these Slam guys picking the Heat to win the series.

  • http://www.facebook.com/joe.l.brewer3 BlackPhantom

    Sorry about my bad choice of words yall. I just don’t wanna say anything until Game 3 rolls around.

  • MikeC.

    As long as Wade doesn’t get the “you’re in the building so you must have fouled him” treatment from the refs, then it’ll be a good series. I’m having a rare moment of clarity right now, so I’ll offer my two cents: with the buildup, the Heat simply can’t win, even if they win. If they win it all, then they’re just doing what they were supposed to do after they schemed their way into this situation. If the Mavs win, then they’re the savvy vets who did it the right way. I love watching the Mavs for the same reason I loved watching the Spurs when they were on top. They never panic and just keep working their system. Nobody flings up hero shots unless the shot clock is running down. The Mavs have been tearing it up on the road, which just shows their trust in their system and each other to make the right play. I’ll say it again, as long as the games are decided by the players and not the refs like in ’06, then we’re in for a good one.

  • Groves

    I like both teams a heap, so i don’t care who wins as long as it goes to at least 6 games.

  • http://www.triplejunearthed.com/dacre Dacre

    I’ll wait to see what direction Jason Terry goes in, with his tat to make a prediction…

  • Showtime

    Too easy Heat in 5..that is all

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