Tuesday, May 31st, 2011 at 1:37 pm  |  40 responses

SLAM 2011 Finals Picks

Our writers and editors make some predictions.

Irv Soonachan: Heat in 6
It would be great to see JKidd and Dirk get a ring together, but the Mavericks just don’t have enough talent (in its prime) to derail the Big Three. The Mavs’ inspired play will win them a couple of games, but not four of them.

Jonathan Santiago: Heat in 6
No Playoff team has executed their offense more effectively than the Mavs. But as much as I’d like to think otherwise, that trend stops in the Finals against the Heat. Defensively, Miami has the speed and discipline needed to close out against the Mavs’ shooters. And they have a defender (LeBron James) who’s going to have much better success against Dirk Nowitzki than any of the Mavs’ previous three opponents.

Kyle Stack: Heat in 6
Unlike 2006′s Dwyane Wade Foulfest and an epic meltdown from the Mavericks in Game 3, this will be a Heat-Mavericks Finals that fans will want to remember years from now. There are plenty interesting matchups to watch—LeBron on Dirk, Marion on LeBron, Wade and Terry chasing each other all over the court—but the one that will be the difference maker is Miami’s ability to stifle Dallas’ penetration into the lane. Dallas can score in bunches along the perimeter, but Terry, JJ Barea and Marion need to drive the lane to give the Mavericks enough opportunities to out-score Bron, Wade and Bosh.

Maurice BobbMavs in 7
The popular reason to pick against Miami to win it all is simple: hate. People hate the way LeBron left Cleveland, they hate the preening he, Wade and Bosh did on stage and their impish proclamations of multiple titles, blah, blah, blah. I don’t care about any of that. In fact, I don’t hate the Heatles at all. They can preen all they want, do jigs during timeouts and even crowd surf at halftime. All I give a rats ass about is basketball. And while Dallas is the underdog in most predictions, you’ll find traces of fear that the Mavs can also pull it off in those same write ups. That fear is based on the fact that Dirk and Co. have finally figured it out and are the best team. Team, not supergroup of superplayers. There’s a difference. Right now, at this very moment, the Mavs have the best team in these Playoffs and that, SLAM Nation, is what it takes to take home the Larry O’Brien. But hey, I’ll do a little waffling of my own and say I won’t be shocked if the Heat pull it off.

Sandy DoverMavs in 7
A huge reason for this is that while I believe very much in Dallas’ ability to beat any team in the league, including Miami, the fairly recent gelling of the Heat make it difficult to project what they might do, and that makes them dangerous. I don’t really know what to expect of them, but I do feel that the overall strength of the Mavericks can overcome the Heat. Dirk Nowitzki is no longer mentally weak, he is nearly impossible to defend when he’s motivated (and he’s more than motivated now) and the good vibes of Dallas make it seem that even an elite LeBron James and Co. might not be able to overtake the team from North Texas.

Tracy Weissenberg: Heat in 5

I picked the Heat to win it all before the season began, so I’m going to stick with them. With Dwyane Wade, LeBron James and Chris Bosh all able to command double teams, the Mavs are going to have their hands full with defensive schemes. The Heat proved their ability to turn it up a notch, as Boston and Chicago won a combined two games in the postseason vs Miami after compiling a 6-1 record during the regular season.

The main thing about Miami’s best players is that they get it done on both ends of the floor. The Heat have allowed just over 88 points per game in the postseason and have made 46 more free throws than their opponents have attempted. Udonis Haslem emerged as a warrior after logging big minutes against the Bulls, and his presence on the floor alone changes the team’s dynamic.

I think the most important lesson everyone—regardless of profession—can take from the forming of the Heat is that it is good to be great, and it is great to be the best, but never shy away from the opportunity to work with talented people.

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  • http://redoftoothandclaw.ca/ niQ

    Miami in 6.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Eboy

    There’s a view guys on the SLAM roster that may need to move on to writing about a different sport. And Ryne is just being ridiculous with his pick.

  • http://www.bulls.com Rigo Gonzalez

    And who would those be, Eboy?
    Everyone who doesn’t have the Heat winning in 5 or 6?
    It’s their picks, they’re entitled to say whatever.
    I have Miami in 6.
    And Ryne’s pick is ballsy, to say the least.

  • http://redoftoothandclaw.ca/ niQ

    To be honest, if the Mavs win at least 1 of the 2 games in Miami, then it’s not that farfetched… Since the next 3 would be in Dallas. But yes, ballsy. lol

  • Jer dawg

    Who do I less like to win? Heat. Not happy with Dallas, but I like Jason Kidd. So, Ef it.

  • http://pickandroll.tumblr.com/ airs

    lets..go…mavs =*[

  • http://www.slamonline.com Eboy

    Thanks for the heads up, Rigo. Just like I’m entitled to chide them.

  • http://twitter.com/smileyoufckers Bryan

    I hope the mavs win, but I don’t think its going to happen.

  • http://www.bulls.com Rigo Gonzalez

    Just like I’m entitled to say that sh*t makes no sense, but have at it.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Cheryl

    I think it’ll go 7 games, with one or even two of those won during overtime. I take the Heat in 7, just because all the hate and derision has steeled this team to withstand any adversity during the course of a game and the series. They win it at home and then we all go 7 or 8 months without professional basketball to argue about.

  • http://slamonline.com nbk

    “Match-up problems abound for the Heat” After Dirk – UD/CB/LBJ I don’t see a mismatch on the court for Miami…. (and those 3 are the best collection of one on one defenders Nowitzki will have seen this postseason) And there is no slow 2 guard for JKidd to guard in this series. And Miami gets to pull Tyson Chandler away from the hoop with UD and CB on the court together. Uh oh Dallas. I don’t see any logical way to bet against the Heat

  • http://slamonline.com Ben Osborne

    I realize I said home court matters and have a road team winning only two of the games. But I still mean it, in that the 2-3-2 format so heavily favors the home team. Should be a very fun series!

  • bike

    The Heat in four. That’s right, a complete sweep. And LeBron will go for 50 in one of them.

  • http://www.bulls.com Rigo Gonzalez

    Should be a fun series indeed.
    LeBron’s playing like a man possessed. I’m gonna sit back and enjoy it now that it’s not my Bulls he’ll be torturing.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Wayno

    I want Dallas to win badly…Dirk and Kidd need a ring…that being said I’m saying Miami in 6…LeBron is just unbelievable. I think he’ll D up Dirk better than anyone in the playoffs so far.

  • http://slamonline.com LakeShow

    I like the Mavs to win. I have chosen against both these teams in every series. Not because i didn’t think they were good enough to win them but because i don’t like either of them. But the Mavs have grown on me each series and i like their team brand ball. What a concept. A TEAM. If they shoot like they did against the Lakes then obviously they will win. If they don’t but still shoot well they will win. If for some reason they can’t make a bucket then the Heat will take advantage. Mavs in 6 or 7. Durdk with his O’Brien and Finals MVP. And LBJ wondering if he can ever git him self one of them O’Briens. Durdk > LBJ. Mavs > Heat

  • flipnoyce

    If the officials let them play the games without favoring a team over another, I’m taking the MAVS. Miami wins if they get the refs on their side. Charity line was a huge part of Heat’s success during this post season,just sayin! Mavs in 7!

  • http://thetroyblog.com Teddy-the-Bear

    Is Susan Price by any chance related to Captain Price?

  • http://www.facebook.com/kevinwilson16 Kevin Wilson

    It’s interesting that a lot of the SLAM guys are touting the importance of home court, but nobody would give a Game 7 edge to the home team.

  • http://www.facebook.com/joe.l.brewer3 BlackPhantom

    I’ll wait until the end of the first two games to make a prediction.

  • http://slamonline.com Bryan Crawford

    Then it’s not a “prediction,” Phantom. It’s analysis.

  • http://slamonline.com LakeShow

    I’ll wait for the series to end before i make a prediction…

  • http://www.slamonline.com Eboy

    I’ll wait till I pick up the replica trophy at Champs to make my prediction.

  • http://redoftoothandclaw.ca/ niQ

    Lol@BlackPhantom. When the Mavs were up 2-0 in 2006 everyone had written off the Heat. People were even saying that it would be a sweep.

  • http://www.bulls.com Rigo Gonzalez

    I’ll wait till after the lockout ends to make my prediction.

  • http://www.twitter.com/nflem41 Nicolas Fleming

    I think Kobe i going to beat Kanye’s monster team.

  • http://www.slamonline.com/ Myles Brown

    Lakers in 6.

  • Maurice Bobb

    Man, it sure is lonely over here in “Mavs to win it Land”

  • http://theresastatforthat.blogspot.com deron

    I think the Heat will win in 6 or 7, but I’ll be rooting for J-Kidd to get his first ring; he really deserves it. Dirk will do what he wants in this series, but I don’t think it will be enough for the Mavs to win. If he does win, he will move up the all-time great list, but still not top ten.

    http://theresastatforthat.blogspot.com/2011/05/dirk-with-ring-better-than-ringless.html

  • http://www.slamonline.com/online/nba/2011/05/slam-2011-finals-picks/3/ Lakers in 6 LOL

    haha Ima say Heat in 6, with Dirk being the best player in the series, and lebron and wade hungry and going beast all out, and bosh just playin like bosh, consistent and efficient and the heat defense making the difference. go Joel Anthony!

  • http://fkjslf.com Jukai

    I predict that whoever wins, Eboy will be insufferable

  • Pavlek

    that’s not a prediction Jukai, it’s analysis

  • http://www.slamonline.com unf*ckwitable

    Heat in 6, but i think it will be a dope series.

  • http://slam akram

    just like in ’06 HEAT WILL WIN!

  • robb

    The Heat never faced a team like the Mavs during these Playoffs. They are too versatile, they have more size, more experience, a better bench, better 3pt. shooting, a very good defense and a way better coach. I mean, c’mon they went 7-1 against the Lakers and the Thunder combined. LMAO@these Slam guys picking the Heat to win the series.

  • http://www.facebook.com/joe.l.brewer3 BlackPhantom

    Sorry about my bad choice of words yall. I just don’t wanna say anything until Game 3 rolls around.

  • MikeC.

    As long as Wade doesn’t get the “you’re in the building so you must have fouled him” treatment from the refs, then it’ll be a good series. I’m having a rare moment of clarity right now, so I’ll offer my two cents: with the buildup, the Heat simply can’t win, even if they win. If they win it all, then they’re just doing what they were supposed to do after they schemed their way into this situation. If the Mavs win, then they’re the savvy vets who did it the right way. I love watching the Mavs for the same reason I loved watching the Spurs when they were on top. They never panic and just keep working their system. Nobody flings up hero shots unless the shot clock is running down. The Mavs have been tearing it up on the road, which just shows their trust in their system and each other to make the right play. I’ll say it again, as long as the games are decided by the players and not the refs like in ’06, then we’re in for a good one.

  • Groves

    I like both teams a heap, so i don’t care who wins as long as it goes to at least 6 games.

  • http://www.triplejunearthed.com/dacre Dacre

    I’ll wait to see what direction Jason Terry goes in, with his tat to make a prediction…

  • Showtime

    Too easy Heat in 5..that is all

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