Tuesday, June 19th, 2012 at 1:14 pm  |  13 responses

Austin Rivers, No. 14 (Mock)

The Rockets go rolling on the Rivers.

by Adam Sweeney

Call me Bill Murray because as the Houston Rockets general manager heading into the 2012 NBA Draft, I feel like our organization is living out the basketball equivalent of Groundhog Day.

For the third year in a row, the Rockets are drafting in the 14th spot overall, a testament to my recent theory that we’re currently stuck in hoops limbo. While we’re not quite ready to ditch Clutch in favor of Punxsutawney Phil as our mascot, we’re certainly itching to break free of our shadow, because it’s been winter for far too long in H-Town. (No, marginal Playoff runs don’t count.)

A study of our Draft history shows that we’ve been a little forward happy in our picks, which is fine since we’ve found ways to acquire a talented back court (Kevin Martin, Courtney Lee, Goran Dragic and Kyle Lowry all came from other teams). So we can’t talk ourselves into Terrence Jones. I just can’t convince myself to become the Matt Millen of forward picks in the NBA. I’m also not buying the hype about Dion Waiters. Anyone who draws comparisons to “a poor man’s Rodney Stuckey” isn’t quite what we’re looking for this early in the Draft.

In order to break the chains of basketball purgatory, we need a player with the ability to shine when the lights are at their brightest. Of course, it would be nice if the NBA would air the Rockets on more than one national telecast so we would have that opportunity, but I digress. The NBA is an association of names and personalities, and frankly, our team is lacking star power. We have enough lunch pail guys. With any luck and some development, this player will turn enough heads to draw us some attention and maybe, just maybe, he will shape into an NBA All-Star.

With the 14th pick of the SLAMonline Mock Draft, the Houston Rockets select…

Austin Rivers from Duke.

This selection initially kills me but there is something special about Rivers, and when you see that spark you go for it, especially when you’re at the end of the lottery. Plus, I remember another Duke player doing alright when he was with Houston. You may be watching him put on a three-point clinic in the NBA Finals this week.

Yes, there are legitimate concerns about Rivers’ game. He hasn’t figured out how to play offense without the ball, an intangible he could have probably gained with another year of college. His attitude, defensive effort, and strength all are in need of at least a little improvement, and I don’t love his 66 percent free-throw percentage. But for critics who say Rivers isn’t NBA ready, allow me to quote Denzel Washington from Training Day in defending our choice: “The shit’s chess, not checkers!” The selection of Austin Rivers benefits the Houston Rockets on three levels.

Star potential

Everything about Austin Rivers’ game says that he believes he is the man. “Well, don’t all NBA prospects feel this way,” you ask? Allow me to introduce a certain Perry Jones III (who I like, for the record.). Yeah, that’s what I thought. Rivers wants the ball in his hands when the game is on the line, unless you’ve forgotten about the backbreaker over Tyler Zeller that Rivers drained last year in North Carolina.

Some experts have criticized Rivers for being too ball dominant and he definitely could stand to shake some of the AAU mentality in an effort to look for his teammates, but it’s that same alpha dog mentality that could drive Rivers to grow into an All-Star. His crossover’s sick; his jumper is silky; and he’s an explosive scorer with a knack for getting points efficiently. We want a player who can become the face of the franchise. Austin Rivers can be that cat.

National media attention

The NBA loves it stories and Rivers’ father-son connection to Boston head coach Doc Rivers guarantees at least one more game on national TV. Plus, Rivers has the type of personality that exudes confidence. Rookie or not, he is the type of player I’d immediately head to for a quote. Tyler Zeller? Not so much. If there is one truth I know about the NBA when it comes to selecting matchups, it’s that the one thing they drool over (aside from rivalries) are star scorers. Durant, Kobe and LeBron all qualify. Rivers is the only player left in the Mock Draft with a story and style of play that I find appealing as a journalist. And yes, that matters. The NBA is more than a game. It’s also a business. (David Stern nods his head.)

Trade possibilities

It’s no secret that Kevin Martin, who has one more year on his contract, was in Kevin McHale’s doghouse last season. With Rivers on our roster, we have flexibility to move Martin, provided we lock up Courtney Lee. Should Martin somehow improve his attitude and stay healthy, we could move Lee. That’s the beauty of having an endless number of quality players. You can lose one or two without losing too much as a team overall (Aaron Brooks, anyone?).

If the rumors are true, the Rockets were one Early Termination Option clause away from getting Dwight Howard at last season’s trade deadline. It’s time for us to finish that deal and add Howard’s name next to Hakeem and Ming on the list of Center U. We have more than enough pieces to go after Howard this summer and adding Martin or Lee (should the Magic want a reunion) only makes the package sexier for Orlando.

With all that in mind, Austin Rivers is starting to look pretty damn good.

The pick is a low risk, high reward one and that’s the best kind to make as a GM. If Austin Rivers works out, the Rockets have the star scorer they’ve been desperate for since Tracy McGrady was in the red and white. If he busts, well, it’s call the NBA lottery for a reason. Besides, we’re the Houston Rockets. If the fall of the Ming Dynasty wasn’t enough to break us, I highly doubt we’re going to lose any sleep if we can’t make the Rivers flow.

2012 SLAMonline Mock Draft
Pick Team Player Pick Team Player
1 Hornets Anthony Davis 16 Rockets
2 Bobcats Michael Kidd-Gilchrist 17 Mavs
3 Wizards Brad Beal 18 TWolves
4 Cavs Thomas Robinson 19 Magic
5 Kings Jared Sullinger 20 Nuggets
6 Blazers Andre Drummond 21 Celtics
7 Warriors Harrison Barnes 22 Celtics
8 Raptors Damian Lillard 23 Hawks
9 Pistons John Henson 24 Cavs
10 Hornets Jeremy Lamb 25 Grizzlies
11 Blazers Kendall Marshall 26 Pacers
12 Bucks Meyers Leonard 27 Heat
13 Suns Perry Jones III 28 Thunder
14 Rockets Austin Rivers 29 Bulls
15 Sixers 30 Warriors
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  • http://slamonline.com LakeShow

    If he can learn to run a team he can start at point. He really should never be used as a primary 2 guard. He is small, but crafty. Should be 15 plus PPG scorer in a year or 2.

  • http://www.dimemag.com Showtime

    This is what i been saying all alone Houston is like stuck in mediocracy . but either rivers or lamb here makes total sense. Im not sold on waiters either a stucky type we don’t need. With 16 they probaby go Big their..I hoping Moultrie but Leonard or Zeller or even Plumlee will do.

  • cbb_fanatic

    So after reading this article, it’s basically saying that the only REAL reason to draft Rivers here is because he’s more POPULAR than other candidates…that’s kind of a weak argument. I was expecting to see some stats or qualities that would set him aside from other guard prospects such Terrence Ross, Doron Lamb, Will Barton, J’covan Brown, John Jenkins, or even Tyshawn Taylor. I understand the point that the NBA is a business and they need a face, but it could be just as rewarding to CREATE one. And it can also be a risk in allowing another valuable player slip through the cracks and become a steal for another team. But reading the last paragraph, I suspect that’s a risk you’re willing to take. LOL.

  • http://redoftoothandclaw.ca/ niQ

    @Lakeshow. Rivers is 6’5 and his only position is SG. He will never be a point guard.

  • http://www.slamonline.com spit hot fiyah

    i agree with a lot of the stuff in this article, specially the trade possibilty, both picks could possibly be moved. or mevin martin, it wouldn’t surptise me if he is traded on draft day. and rivers is a 2, dude has never had any assist numbers, not even in high school, he is a scorer. the big ? is if he is going to be able to score in the league efficiently, my guess is that it will take a while before that happens

  • http://Slamonline.com Gab

    Not sold on this guy at all. At all.

  • chillout

    I personally think this guy will fade into obscurity in a matter of time (i.e. bassy route).

  • RunNGun

    @niQ He’s 6’3 but supposedly 6’5 in shoes (check the DraftExpress database). 14 is too high for Rivers though. He does have a good crossover but he’s terrible from the perimeter and defense is very questionable. He should have stayed at least one more year at Duke for some seasoning but at the same time I don’t think he was a good fit for Coach K’s system either. I would think that he would at least be in the 18-22 range.

  • fsa

    dragic pg den rivers sg DAYUM killar
    OKC PLS BEAT HEAT

  • http://Roosterteeth.com Caboose

    He’s Nick Young. I see the exact same career arc.

  • http://www.twitter.com/hurstysyd Hursty

    Houston have pick 16 as well. Not surprised. Can make up for in 2 picks time.

  • Rainman

    People don’t realize…he’s actually not that small. He’s 6’5, tallrr than beal and just as tall (and weighs more than) lamb. He’s bigger than we thought, he’s a legit 2 guard with legit 2 guard size

  • http://redoftoothandclaw.ca/ niQ

    @RunNGun, yes I am aware of that. That’s why I said 6’5 cause when is he going to be balling without shoes? But my main point is that he is a shooting guard and not a point guard. If you draft him expecting him to be a pass-first point guard then you will be greatly disappointed. And cosign Rainman.

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