Tuesday, November 22nd, 2011 at 10:34 am  |  38 responses

Losers of the Lockout

Ten players who have the most to lose.

6. Rudy Gay

Before the Grizzlies went on their exciting run in the Playoffs led by Randolph and Gasol, the focal point of the team was talented wingman Rudy Gay. Gay had been an effortless player at UConn. He played so smoothly that sometimes you questioned if he was even trying, which might have explained the underachieving 2006 UConn team. But in the ‘10-11 season, Gay was proving his worth as a franchise player. He had learned lessons in teamwork, effort and dedication from the young value driven 2010 US FIBA team and was ready to lead. He was having a fine season (19.8 ppg and 6.2 rpg) before injuring his shoulder in February. When the Grizzlies forged a new identity and had continued success without him, there were some questions about Gay’s actual worth to the team. The ‘11-12 season would have been the litmus test to see if Gay’s return to the lineup would disrupt the fantastic chemistry the Grizzlies found in the 2011 Playoffs. Instead, Rudy’s role and future with Memphis remain a painful question mark.

5. Blake Griffin

As we all know, Blake Griffin, everyone’s new favorite player, had a tremendous ‘10-11 season. In his first full NBA season Griffin averaged 22.5 ppg and 12.1 rpg, had a streak of 27 double-doubles, was named to the All-Star team and blew countless minds with his dunks, including his Jumping Over the Kia dunk in the Dunk Contest. For a few months, America’s National Pastime became watching Baron Davis lob alley-oops to Blake. The excitement was off the charts and you found yourself smiling and laughing each time. In the past 30 years there are only four other rookies who garnered that much excitement and attention: Jordan, Shaq, Iverson and LeBron. And really, the overwhelming awe at Blake was closer to Jordan-mania than anything LeBron attracted in 2003. The question that remained for Blake after the season was whether or not he could repeat his performance. Even as Blake was turning our brains to mush with dunks, we were all holding our breath for his safety after his knee injury before his intended rookie season in ‘09-10. Without a regularly scheduled ‘11-12 season, we are left wondering if Blake can do it all again or if ‘10-11 was some glorious aberration due to the stars and his health aligning. Maybe having Blake on the list is more of an elaboration on what we are losing, because, I mean, don’t you just want to see some new Blake dunks?

4. Chris Paul

I love Chris Paul (hated him when he was in college). You love Chris Paul. Mark Jackson loves Chris Paul. Jeff Van Gundy loves Chris Paul. He is an amazing basketball player and he truly does play point guard the right way. He is a textbook facilitator with the same recognition of the moment that Isiah had and yet still has another gear for innovation that maybe we haven’t ever seen before. But after arthroscopic knee surgery in 2010, there were nagging questions as to whether or not he would be the same dominant player he was. Paul’s performance against the Lakers in the First Round of the 2011 Playoffs silenced a lot of those doubts. Paul’s Game 4 Performance will probably go down as “The Clinic Game.” In Game 4, Paul had 27 points, 13 rebounds and 15 assists and just toyed with the Lakers overall. I mean, it felt like every player on the court was on a string and that Paul controlled both his own teammates and the Lakers’ players. Seriously, rewatch the game. Paul’s series long performance, leading a Hornets team that should have been swept to a six-game scare, was truly the stuff of legend. After that series, it seemed that Paul was back at the peak of his powers and that he would enter ‘11-12 fully healthy, dynamic and heady as ever. And yet, his full ascension back to the top of the point guard head is postponed and he still has to wait to prove if he truly is back and is worth signing to LeBron deal or a potential Dwight Howard deal. Again, momentum is key and Paul was riding high after the ‘10-11 season.

3. Kobe Bryant

Kobe Bryant is an elder statesman at 33 years old. He has played in the League for 17 seasons. He is as heady as they come and has even taken on a Jordanesque transformation in his game with the development of his pivot moves. Yet, Kobe is on the decline. He looked tired and old at times last year while still making some of the sharpest decisions on the court. Though he did go to Germany for secret, experimental knee surgery that his supposed to revitalize his legs, time is Kobe’s greatest opponent now. Losing a year means everything to him, which is why he might be the most frustrated NBA player at the moment. His drive to compete mixed with his ticking clock and the delays of the lockout is probably driving him insane. Kobe knows history and is at the cusp of some extremely rarified air and any time lost only hinders that. Kobe’s losses due to the lockout are fairly simple and probably the most humanistic out of anyone’s. They are directly tied to time passing and our natural inclination to fight against it.

2. Dwyane Wade

Wade is my favorite player in the NBA, so naturally I am the most afraid for him. He is in a similar situation as Kobe. Wade will turn 30 in January and his physical, almost foolishly driven, play has definitely taken its toll on his body. If he hadn’t been even slightly hampered by his hip in the Finals I still feel that the Heat win that series. Time is not on Wade’s side and unlike Kobe, who really has nothing left to prove, Wade still has the weight of the entire ante of the Miami Heat on his shoulders. His leadership in LeBron’s strange absence in the Finals has bought him some rope, but he still has a small margin for error. And after the disappointment of the 2011 Finals, any continued time passing only adds to the mental pain of the loss. And still he has to keep on eye on the great clock of Time staring at him and the decisions he has made in his style of play. Like Rafael Nadal in tennis, perhaps his inspiring style of play has taken years from his career. Like I said, I love Wade and believe he has plenty of prime left, but I can’t ignore the other side of what I see. I can’t ignore the possibility of the truth tugging at my shirt. (I don’t mean Paul Pierce either.)

1. LeBron James

Who else would it have been? LBJ. Public Enemy No. 1. The most scrutinized athlete on the planet. I was a Heat-backer for all of last season. I thought people overplayed the struggle between LeBron and Wade. I thought people misplaced their own desires on LeBron and crucified him for things they shouldn’t have (obviously The Decision was awful, that goes without saying). But I cannot, absolutely not, explain what happened to him in the Finals. It was baffling. I’m not going to call him a choker or take some sort of satisfaction in his short comings as one would with A-Rod (his closest sports comparison) because LeBron contains come childish innocence, some unawareness, that A-Rod never seemed to have and that makes LeBron slightly easier to forgive. Maybe I’m wrong, but I need to find something to describe why I want to have faith in him. Perhaps its because he captures the imagination more than any player in the NBA or more than any other egotistical-seeming athlete like A-Rod. Even though I don’t love his decisions or his overall style of play, there is something good in LeBron that wants to improve, he just doesn’t completely seem to grasp its total possibility yet.

All of this aside, LeBron more or less blew the Finals. Bosh held up his end of the bargain and Wade left blood and sweat everywhere. If LeBron showed up and played even average that has to swing at least two games. And because his lack of presence was so egregious and because his personality is so present, he has to bear the brunt of the criticism and the scrutiny. He is the one who “took his talents to South Beach” only to fail. Now, a window that seemed open forever already may be closing with a lost season in ‘11-12. This is the man that needs to be on the court sooner than everyone. He needs to succeed. I’m not going to cut him slack because I understand the philosophy of the fan and the consumer wanting him to fulfill their expectations and desires, but any professional, any person with a recognition of History, Time and Circumstance knows what they have to do to succeed. And no one would compete at the highest level and want the best if they didn’t want all the success we want for them. Our desire is not something forged int total darkness. LeBron’s failures can be remedied and since they seem to be so directly tied to his ability to be present in the big moment, only he can do the fixing. And the only way to do that is to play. And he can’t.

*****

Going through this list, the most frustrating thing I’ve realized is how many storylines and themes have been put on pause. Even in this list of 11 players, there are nearly 100 different stories that I am waiting to see play out. I haven’t even touched on Derrick Rose, the Spurs, Westbrook and Durant, the rise of James Harden, the Celtics, the Blazers and Brandon Roy, Dwight Howard or the Knicks. And so we’re all depressed, we’re all losers and the waiting is definitely the hardest part.

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  • http://slamonline.com nbk

    that was really good Matt. I agree with pretty much all of those. I do feel there is more importance to guys like Steve Nash, Tim Duncan, Kevin Garnett than too the Rookies. But Not really a complaint, just an opinion. Good ish.

  • http://nba.com GP23

    I agree, Steve Nash needs a championship.. quickly!! He will be retiring soon, and he does deserve one.

  • Dizz

    Uhhh, where’s John Wall?!?

  • HowHeDoDat

    The clock is winding down for Deron Williams too and playing for the Nets doesn’t exactly put him in the best position to win a championship.

  • http://slamonline.com nbk

    He’s 27

  • http://redoftoothandclaw.ca/ niQ

    Great read! And I agree with the Nash comments.

  • Detroit Dave

    Plain and simple, Kobe loses out on more that 22mil this season. I believe Kobe, Joe Johnson and Rashard Lewis have the most to lose.

  • Justin

    Kevin Garnett

  • http://theurbangriot.com The NUPE

    Antwan Jamison would be my #1, last year of his monster contract ($15mil+) and he’ll not see anything close to that in the future. That’s a lot of money to lose without the ability to ‘make-up’ for it. I hope he saved and planned – he seems smart enough that he did. But considering after this season, he may possibly retire or at the max get a mid year exception deal – he’s losing a lot more than others. Jason Kidd also said that he may retire if there is no season because he doesn’t know if he can get his body back up to par if he takes a full year off. I’m not sure if that’s just blowing smoke or not, but it would be a shame to have a likely first ballot HOFer end his career on a lock-out season (not to mention his $11mil or so salary). On the other hand, at least he won a championship before he retires. That’s why he’s not my #1 choice. Regardless, I don’t think any rookies should be on the list. But any player who is in the last year of their contract and not likely to get another NBA job – as a catgory, should be #1 (Jamison may have to move to #2 now that I think about it more)

  • fizzbucket

    Crazy that Wade’s hitting his thirties already…

  • http://tempdog1 Tempest

    Quality write up Matt

  • Heals

    Cool piece and nice conclusions. I’d throw Oden in the mix along with bk’s 3, DeRo and Kidd. Not sure when he was expected to be healthy, although maybe a year off would be the best thing for him (Roy as well). Maybe TyChandler too he’s got a good chance to get payed and also link up with a contender (possibly put one over the top). nbk you know I gotta go here; RR so he can prove to bk that last season was not an accurate rep of his shooting ability (in jest)…

  • http://nbaplaybook.com/2011/10/31/how-top-point-guards-in-the-pick-and-roll-are-defended-and-why/#more-16776 nbk

    No stress lol

  • http://nbasobrietystrike.blogspot.com/ CoolWhip

    The Nupe, good call on Antawn, but I wouldn’t go as far as #1.
    As an ‘honourable mention’ there’s gotta be some players who stayed in college an extra year that this could be hurting. An extra year, doesn’t always mean your stock rises. There’s gotta be some ‘fringe’ guys who elected to stay in school.

  • http://cnbc.com JTaylor21

    How was the last superstar to switch teams and win a ring during their first season? Moses Malone with the 82/83 Sixers. If guys like Shaq and Wilt couldn’t win a ring during their first season with a new team, what makes people think that Bron should have?

  • http://cnbc.com JTaylor21

    *Who*

  • MaxIsNative

    I remember when I used to make millions of dollars, and people felt sorry for me for not working.

  • Justin

    Steve Nash needed to be on this list for sure, definitely over someone like Marc Gasol.

  • AD

    i didnt forget what marc gasol did last season….. why would someone who gets paid to watch basketball should?

  • tomtom

    Such a brilliant read, i would still have had Kobe at number 1. And i think Chauncy Billups should have been on the list. But all in all just a really interesting piece, which is a rarity during the lockout.

  • tomtom

    JTaylor21…lets stop human shielding Lebron already, i honestly don’t think Lebron cares about the criticism as much as yourself and Eboy.

  • BlackStar

    @ JTaylor21 – Actually KG and Ray Allen won a ring in Boston during their first year. It’s not easy, but it can be done if everyone buys into the system. Also, the Heat might need a stronger coach that can actually run plays that utilizes the strengths of its players. And with that being said … I so wish this lockout was over. LA all day …

  • http://www.puddlesofmyself.com Matt Domino

    To all commenters: my biggest regret is not putting Nash or Hill up there. Love both those guys, though I didn’t like Nash in his MVP era as I thought he was a bit overrated, but have since seen how amazing a player he is and also how amazing a person too. Game-changing nutritionist AND thoughtful athlete.

  • matt the jazz fan

    nice article. agree with a lot of this, though i think you could make the case for some aging spur and celtic too… (but who do you leave off? probably the rooks and wade)
    anyway about the second half of this sentence:”This has been one of the most poorly handled negotiations not only in sports history, but also in history in general.”
    it’s been over 530 days since our legisltive elections here in Belgium, and still no government. So I’m not so sure about that…….

  • http://nba.com/celtics lights out

    how has nobody pointed out that chris paul looks like satan in the link to this article?

  • http://SLAMonline.com GotHandles?

    chris paul looks like a dinosaur in that homepage pic.

  • Matthew Richardson

    what about the celtics?

  • CubicleWorker

    C’mon Slam, get off of LeBrons d!k. What Kobe is trying to accomplish, and he does have a fighting chance, has far greater importance for the NBA history, for his legacy and for our generation of the game than what Lebron could do this year.

  • CubicleWorker

    Kobe -> chasing Michael Jordan’s total champions, proving the Lakers are still a formidable threat, chasing the all time point scoring record.

    LeBron -> Trying to win a championship to vindicate leaving Cleveland and going frmo the most loved player in sports into one of the most hated. Trying to prove that he hasn’t been over-rated and has the cajones to actually live up to potential.

    LeBron is only fighting for his own legacy NOT to be tarnished, Kobe is playing for NBA history.

  • CubicleWorker

    What I want to see is a write up of which players have the most to gain from the lockout and then compare that list to the list of players fighting for what they “believe” in.

  • blakos

    How about Gilbert Arenas. He be missing some serious $

  • http://theurbangriot.com The NUPE

    ^ I agree, what players have the most to gain would be interesting. I’d go with Oden as a guy who can use the time to really get healthy again. Maybe Amare too IF his back still isn’t right. Last years lottery teams have a lot to gain as well – assuming they go into the lottery again with the same chances of getting the #1 pick. If Cleveland and Minnesota get the top picks again, that would be HUGE wins for either team. They got the only two ‘clear’ talents in last draft and next draft is goig to be Deep. The Cavs would have 3 top 10 picks under rookie contracts with money to spend due to Jamisons contract being gone and Davis only having one more year (unless they can dump him). So I’d say the Cavs could really be a ‘winner’ as far as teams go.

  • CubicleWorker

    @ the NUPE, im assuming they would have a similar system to what the NHL did after the lockout,

    As a lockout cancelled the games of the 2004–05 NHL season, the draft order was determined by lottery on July 22, 2005. Teams were assigned 1 to 3 balls based on their playoff appearances and first overall draft picks from the past three years. According to the draft order, the selection worked its way up to 30 as usual; then instead of repeating the order as in past years, the draft “snaked” back down to the team with the first pick. Therefore the team with the first pick overall would not pick again until the 60th pick. The team with the 30th pick would also get the 31st pick.

  • golakeshow

    fuc$ you slam. This is bull$hit. Kobe and lebron and wade should not be there.

  • Chukaz

    Kobe hasn’t been in the L for 17 seasons. Last season was his 15th. I know the lockout feels like it has gone on forever but it hasn’t been 2 years

  • Justin

    golakeshow, how can you possibly say Kobe should not be there? As CubicleWorker pointed out, Kobe’s window to accomplish the goals he’s chasing is closing. Not to mention he is also missing out on $22M or so but you know damn well he NEEDS to get out there and get at it

  • Rainman

    Steve Nash shud 1000000% be on this list

    Dude needs that ring, and with the lockout theres no way for team management to show him they are committed to improving the team, they kinda dropped the ball last offseason, this offseason they havent even had an oppurtunity to pick it bak up. So, if the lockout lasts the whoel season, theres no way for Nash to know whether he shud or shudnt re sign with the suns, as he has no idea how the past season woulda worked out.

    And if we’re talking from a statistical point of view, thats a whole lot of points, assists, 3 pointers, and another great shooting season percentage wise off Nash’s Career statistics…

  • Niio

    I would have to add Vince Carter to the list of electrifying rookies! Also wouldn’t an extra 9 months of rest be beneficial to players coming off of surgery? I would think so, am I wrong?

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