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Monday, February 25th, 2013 at 1:55 pm  |  4 responses

Feb. 25: NERD Rankings (Player)

James Harden finally cracks the Top 5 in this week’s rankings update.

numberFire is a sports analytics platform that uses algorithmic modeling to better understand sports—and they’ve developed the numberFire Efficiency Rating Derivative (NERD) to better evaluate every player in the NBA using offensive and defensive efficiency numbers. The nerdier, the better, according to these guys. A player’s NERD rating represents how many games above or below .500 an average team would be if they added him to its roster. For example, LeBron James posted an 18.3 rating in the 2010-11 season, which means that if he played on a team with four league-average players, you would expect that team to finish 18 games over .500 (50-32). An average player has a NERD rating of 0, and to qualify, a player must play at least five minutes per game, based on the team’s total games. Visit numberFire to check out a detailed explanation of these statistics and see the full list of NERD rankings.

The NERD power rankings are powered by numberFire, a sports analytics platform that uses algorithmic modeling to better understand sports. Follow Nik Bonaddio at @numberfire, Keith Goldner at @drivebyfootball, and Zach Warren at @ZachWWarren. Check out numberFire on Facebook.

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  • Caboose

    Honestly, these rankings mean so very little to me (and I assume most other readers here). The website doesn’t really explain where they extrapolate these numbers and honestly, Tiago Splitter? This says that on a .500 team, if Splitter was added on, that team would perform better than if Duncan, Kobe, or Melo was added on. No. I do not believe these numbers hold any weight whatsoever.

  • Caboose

    Furthermore, it puts Durant’s ranking at 27.4. That implies that Durant adds a shade over 27 wins to a .500 team. The Thunder are on pace to get 28 wins over .500. Are the Thunder without Durant really a .500 team? The exact same could be said of LeBron and the Heat. I don’t think a Bron-less Heat and a Durant-less Thunder are “league average” teams.

    More complaints: LeBron+Wade+Bosh NERD = 43.1. So that implies if you took a .500 team, and added these three onto it, that team would finish…82-0? You can do all the modeling you want, but this stat really irks me.

    So if you took George Hill off of the Pacers they’re a .500 team? But take out Paul George and they’re still above .500?

    The Knicks are on pace to finish 10 games over .500. Taking Melo off means they’ll still finish well over .500? Funny, since they’ve been under .500 without him this year.

    Durant, Westbrook, Serge, and Martin combine for 49 NERD points, or whatever. So, since the Thunder are on pace for 60 wins, their team without those 4 guys would get 11 wins? And if Thabo was taken off, that team would get 6 wins? C’mon.

    The Spurs are 8-2 without Duncan, 3-1 without Tony, and 16-5 without Splitter. Shouldn’t they be doing worse than that? I mean, all 3 of those records are roughly the same percentage as the Spurs current win %.

  • Caboose

    Rant over. I just don’t see the point to this.

  • RKJ92

    Your not alone.. these NERD rankings are sooooooo dumb.. they make 0 sense whatsoeverrrr

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