Friday, October 16th, 2009 at 8:00 am  |  142 responses

Top 50: Kevin Durant, no. 8

The definitive ranking of the NBA’s best players.

by Ben Osborne

One of my favorite things about working for a magazine that covers basketball from high school through the pros is getting to watch players develop every step of the way, and see hoKevin Durantw my/our projections pan out. When I saw Kevin Durant play in high school, to be honest, I had my doubts. Not doubts about making the League or anything, especially because the scoring was obvious then, but his skinniness drove me to distraction and I could not project NBA greatness for him.

I was impressed like everyone else when I saw what Kevin did at Texas, but I still struggled to see superstardom (as usual, Aggrey knew better than me). By the time Oden v Durant came around, I was calling Durant a “future all-star,” but liked GO more (just check my comment on that Lang Link I just linked to). I thought his best-case scenario was to be the next T-Mac…

Today, nice as Mac was when healthy, I’m ready to call that career arc disappointing for Durant. I’m now firmly in the camp of: this guy barely has a ceiling. To the point that in this poll, I voted Durant 5th (I went: 1-LeBron, 2-Kobe, 3-Dwyane Wade, 4-Chris Paul), and I’m happily sacrificing my first-round pick in fantasy basketball to “keep” him after the promise he showed last season.

What’s the big deal with this guy that, honestly, few fans outside of Seattle or Oklahoma City have seen play more than a handful of times? Obviously the scoring ability is paramount. This 6-9, 230-pounder has the height, shooting touch, skills and mentality to be a 30+-ppg scorer this season. Talk to me about “defense winning championships” till your blue in the face; only a handful of guys on the planet can dream of scoring 30+ per game in the NBA. The rest of his game needs work, but at 6-9 with long arms and great instincts, I see no reason his rebounds, assists, steals and blocks per game won’t all improve this season (KD averaged 6.5, 2.8, 1.3 and 0.7, respectively, in these categories last year). I’m also not feeling the “he’s a horrendous defender” angle, as though he’s been in the League 10 years and we know how what his prime will be like in any part of the game. Kid just turned 21. Think he can’t work his way into being, at worst, an average defender? Come on.

Knowing this piece was due soon, and because of his aforementioned status on my fantasy team, I’ve had Durant on the brain for the past couple weeks. To that end, I liked seeing John Hollinger, a voice I trust more often than not, project Durant as fifth in the League in PER this season.

I also enjoyed the New York Times’ Jonathan Abrams portrait of a humble young man about to become an NBA superstar while playing in a city where he often goes unrecognized.

I did not really enjoy the controversy surrounding the TrueHoop-inspired debate about his value in relation to his +/-, primarily because of the same reasons I defended his defense: it’s too early. Kevin Durant has been the best player, and played the most minutes, on a terrible team for two years running. Now that he has learned the game more, and the talent around him has grown as well, I expect the Thunder to improve, and all of Kevin’s relevant stats to as well.

While it wasn’t part of my criteria in voting “Baby Ice” to be the 5th best player in the NBA this season, I would also like to add for sake of this post that he may rank No. 1 in the most fascinating player to watch this season contest. Think about it: we know what Kobe can do. LeBron and Shaq make the Cavs the team to watch, in my opinion, but we know what those dudes can do individually. Same with most of the other top talents in the League. The one guy who could go from “great young player” to All-NBA this season is Mr. Kevin Durant. He won’t simply be handed the accolades, however. Defenders will be coming after him. Coaches will be scheming against him. Media members will keep looking for blemishes.

Can Kevin Durant attack those who wish to stop him and thrill those now creating all his buzz? Having seen a skinny high school kid I worried didn’t have what it took grow into a young man with the ability and confidence to score on anyone in the world, I say yes.

Notes
• Rankings are based solely on projected ’09-10 performance.
• Contributors to this list include: Jake Appleman, Brett Ballantini, Russ Bengtson, Toney Blare, Shannon Booher, Myles Brown, Franklyn Calle, Gregory Dole, Emry DowningHall, Jonathan Evans, Adam Fleischer, Jeff Fox, Sherman Johnson, Aaron Kaplowitz, John Krolik, Holly MacKenzie, Ryne Nelson, Chris O’Leary, Ben Osborne, Alan Paul, Susan Price, Sam Rubenstein, Khalid Salaam, Kye Stephenson, Adam Sweeney, Vincent Thomas, Tzvi Twersky, Justin Walsh, Joey Whelan, Eric Woodyard, and Nima Zarrabi.
• Want more of the SLAMonline Top 50? Check out the archive

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  • ab_40

    the baby ice nickname is lame. he’s a great ofensive player I tell you that. he isn’t gonna average 30 because westbrook and green are gonna be gunning as well. he’s an even worse pick en roll defender then ilgauskas of the cavs. he can be a good defender but his scoring is gonna go down. and since that is what keeps fans in the stands it’s what he HAS to do. I don’t think he’s top 5 in the L. the thunder are…is? I don’t know what to do with those names hehe. but they’re gonna win between 25 and 30 games this year nothing more nothing lessand then maybe, maybe they take a step next year to a semi playoff team in the west. IN the east they would be a no.6 seed this year.

  • http://idunkonthem.blogspot.com albie1kenobi

    i would really like to watch Durant play, but i still can’t bring myself to watch that team. stupid clay bennett ruined everything.

  • Lu Galasso

    Durant is my favourite player in the NBA. Quibble all you want, maybe #8 is too high, but does it really matter? If he doesn’t deserve #8 today, he will soon.

  • EC

    Durant Makes scoring look easier than anyone ive seen and i mean anyone… just my opinion tho

  • http://www.oprah.com doyouwantmore

    Lebron is Dominique and Kevin is Micheal

  • Twon

    Great spot for KD. hes a BEAST!!!

  • http://www2.gsb.columbia.edu/faculty/jstiglitz/ PANAGIOTIS VASILOPOULOS

    @Allenp……: you write “Y’all have athletes….” I made it clear(or so I thought), I ain’t talking about JUST athletes, I am talking about freaks of nature , the total athletic package to play your position. Tell me who is the one player outside U.S. that has/had Rose’s athetisism at P.G, Kobe’s/M.J’s at SG , Lebron/Pippen at SF, Garnett or Kemp at PF and SHAQ or Robinson at C,….? Maybe you don’t know as much international ball as I do but NOBODY ever came near to have that kind of athletisism. At the same time you need a big number of “freaks” to have serious chances that one of them will one day became ALSO complete player “bball-skill wise”(it is simply statistics). The only guys that came close to my definition of athletic freakiness in the last 20 years are Parker and Kirilenko (if you don’t believe me ask any guy you consider expert on Euro bball). But Kirilenko had to play the SF position to profit from his tools and his game never came close to this, while Tony doesn’t have great outside shooting neither great PG insticts (again: it is pure statistics, you need to “burn” many Hills , Miners, Carters,Riders to get an KOBE or MJ, we almost have nobody you got hundrends ).
    You also write that Lebron’s J improved. Even if it is true it just ain’t enough for “do or die” situation where you either make it from 6 metres coming out of 20 screens and with two defenders hanging on you or you get faulted and you MUST make BOTH freethrows.
    I didn’t understood the soccer situation you describe, explain and I will answer.

  • http://www2.gsb.columbia.edu/faculty/jstiglitz/ PANAGIOTIS VASILOPOULOS

    @ The D train……: Yes and No. You are right on the energy part but MORE than this is the plain fact that when things (& especially defences ) became really complicated (BIG –NO TOMORROW games) you just CANNOT drive to the basket. Team U.S. have the luxury to have all it’s players relatively fresh ,the problem was not that Lebron and Wade were tired in last year’s final, it was simply that they knew that they are not “money” from 6 metres and not 85%+ from the line since there is a high propability you’re gonna get fouled.
    @James the balla…..: you write “….Bron would have to break his shot down and rebuild it over and over again until e has that finesse down… but that is not one of his strengths. That’s why Kobe at age 24-26, when he would dunk, it looked like art. He got up high and used style. Bron does one thing, one hand pull back off one foot. He is to big and strong to have that finesse, Kobe and MJ and those guys have……” I really hate that I’m gonna write this after your 12:21pm comment but after your above observations I say that either you’ve really played ball or you have coached in a good level. This was so simple and so accurate.
    @monkeyball……: you DO NOT develop freak of nature athletes just by playing ball all day long, Greece and Lithouania are the 2 propably most bball crazy nations in the world (having in mind the populations) we NEVER produced anybody NOT EVEN NEAReven near M.J’s Lebron’sKemp’s Miner’s Iverson’setc running/jumping/explodingability. N-O-B-O-D-Y. If you don’t get why this happens I cannot help you more from here.

  • http://www2.gsb.columbia.edu/faculty/jstiglitz/ PANAGIOTIS VASILOPOULOS

    @The seed …..: I agree with what you say that would have happened if Kobe was not there(it happened in 2006 anyway)but I don’t agree with the Lebron-Dominique-Carter comment. Lebron was flour game that both of them (especially Nique) couldonly dream of.

  • Teddy-the-Bear

    The Seed: Dominique Wilkins couldn’t shoot? Are you kidding me? He had one of the nicest midrange games in the league. He could get that ball in off any angle. What are you talking about?
    LeBron James has a good shooting touch too… But that’s beside the point. And comparing LeBron to Nique isn’t detracting from either one of the two, since they’re both great players…

  • http://slamonline.com tealish

    Who knows, KD could go out and post 30ppg on a good % for a squad that is in playoff contention and I’d be dead wrong — but I doubt it.
    He has talent. Above everything else in his skillset, the fact that his stroke is already nice for a guy with his athleticism shows his incredibly high potential.
    But in this upcoming year, I just don’t seem him putting it all together just yet to justify being 8th best. He is still plenty, plenty raw.

  • http://slamonline.com tealish

    And for what it’s worth, I do think in 3-4 years, he has the chance to be the best in the game. Ahead of LeBron.

  • http://www2.gsb.columbia.edu/faculty/jstiglitz/ PANAGIOTIS VASILOPOULOS

    @all the kindergarden (tavoris,jukai,hursty,etc)…:my answer finally appeared to the shoe-seller “legendary” article….(go to …………………………………………………………………………………. now)

  • http://www2.gsb.columbia.edu/faculty/jstiglitz/ PANAGIOTIS VASILOPOULOS

    Good night to EVERYBODY!!!!!

  • http://www.slamonline.com Pardeep

    He is going to be the best player in the league if he gains 10-15 pounds and that is still not going to make him weigh much. If KD bulks up in the next 3 years the league is his. This guy has that scoring gift that Mike and Kobe and Iverson had. Baby Ice is a beast.

  • http://Slamonline.com Niya-girl-fresh

    I think ESPN posed that question, can Kevin Durant be better than LeBron in the future. LeBron is considered a “Big Man” and most of the time “Big Men” with muscle tend to deteriorate in the long run, which poses a detriment to their abilities, especially those who are known basically for their power and strength and use that to best their opponents. I don’t think Kevin needs to gain that much weight, just enough to give him some kind of upper body strength and leg strength, but he still needs to keep his speed because alot of the smaller physique players in the long run are still able to obtain their quickness. So if he puts on a little more muscle in addition to picking up the missing pieces he needs to be a complete player, shoot the next several years, the league is his.

  • don

    me starting to like those bright orange shoes of durant.

  • http://slamonline.com 360vue

    @monkeyball, i think panigiotis’ comment about “freaks of nature” in the USA refers to the fact most of the animals used for food are jumped full of steroids and testosterone from the day they are born. combine this fact, which harbours physical growth, with the fact that many US ballers, like u said, do nothing but ball during their developing years, and so, they turn into freaks of nature in a technical sense aswell. add to that a relatively giant population (china’s got 1.6billion and ball is rising in popularity but still has a way to go before having player depth of a comparable calibre, india’s 1.3billion have barely heard of ballin), with the benefits of having the best league and supporting infrastructure you can pretty much guarantee american domination of basketball for at least a few more decades, team usa won’t win every tournament but theres no reason why even weakened squads won’t challenge in the final, barring horrendous coaching decisions (which would include creating a next to non-existant team chemistry, which is the primary reason a team of amassed superstars don’t always produce the results they can and should)

    @DAGOMAR – yes yes yes, truest words ive read on this page

  • http://myspace.com/2grownup2beshownup Jack

    All I know is, that Duncan HAS to be next. Then Dwight.

  • bobevans

    It’s really easy to forget how dominant T-Mac was in his prime during that time in Orlando. From 2002 to 2004, he was virtually unguardable…almost supernatural on the court. His game, especially during those stretches when he was putting up strings of 35-7-5-3-2 games, was almost baffling to watch, because he didn’t really seem to be TRYING all that hard. He was also an outstanding athlete, easily matching present-day Durant…comparable to Josh Smith/J.R. Smith. I mean, dude was an animal out there. Dropping 40 points was NOTHING for him. All that being said, Durant is already a superior long-distance shooter. Because of his solid supporting cast, he should have the time to step away from scoring so much and develop defensively. If he does that, and can avoid injury, he will likely eclipse T-Mac.

  • http://shawn-kemps-offspring.blogspot.com/ Tariq

    Yeah, I mean… I guess this could be a breakout year for KD. Of course by “breakout” I mean make the leap from budding star into elite status (He’s already a star). I will say this: When SLAM did that Top 50 a few months ago, aside from Wade, this is the one guy I thought could crack that list someday.

  • MR

    @panagiotis – ur logic makes no sense. the reason why america produces so many basketball players is because kids all over america plays basketball. this is also the reason why canada produces the best hockey players – because every kid here follows and plays this sport religiously and they play it competitively at a very high level from a very young age. I mean think bout it canada has a population of 32 million where as the US has a population of 400 million and europe has a population of around 500 million, yet we produce almost half the players in the NHL. the same thing works for basketball, baseball, soccer. How many american soccer players are there huh? not a lot and i don’t think any of them would be considered among the greatest. mj, kobe, lebron they grew up playing basketball and from a very young age they started playing it competitively at a very high level. that’s why they are so good. europe canada asia does not have these kind of facilities and that’s why it takes so long for a european to develop and get accustomed to life in the nba.

  • http://www.slamonline.com Todd Spehr

    I was extremely fortunate while I worked for Aussie-based Handle Magazine that I was able to be in OKC this past January for six-or-so games while doing a piece on Durant. We spoke three times and all I’ll say is this: For a great a player that he is, he’s a better person. 12 months from now we’ll be thinking #8 is an injustice.

  • tmac bandril

    wouldn’t kevin “the asassin” be fitting for him?

  • http://www.hibachi20.blogspot.com Hursty

    ^no.

  • http://Www.facebook.com Joe_king

    Any new rooks on list?

  • http://images.google.ca/imgres?imgurl=http://slamonline.com/online/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/kobe_bryant_top_50.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.slamonline.com/online/category/nba/slamonline-top-50/& James the Balla

    Thanks Pan. I have coached alot.

  • http://www2.gsb.columbia.edu/faculty/jstiglitz/ PANAGIOTIS VASILOPOULOS

    @James…..:that’s how it is,the basic of shooting mechanics don’t get learned from scratch at age 25…M.J and Kobe had perfect style by the age of 20…only videogamers can really hope for guys to develop them at age 25…. (dear Jukai, you’re gonna wait A LOT for Howard to develop anything close to Pau’s offensive game. Pau was playing SMALL FORWARD in the Paul Pierce mode, in the Euroleague for Barcelona at age 19 !!!)

  • MR

    @panagiotis – why would howard need gasol type skills? lol – he is a dominant big man and all he needs is power. he is the shaq prototype – they don’t need finesse. what they use is power.

  • BIRDMAN JR

    All this bs bout kobe’s game looking sexy and bron’s looking mean is straight BullS**T. Who cares whether kobe’s game is sexy and bron is not , this is a pro game not some beauty pageant, I rather have a player who attacks the d on every play, either by passing, rebounding and driving . It is becoming a shame to see greatness like lebron being hated on. Stop watching SC top 10 plays and watch the actual game.

  • http://www.hoopchina.com/ 宇文轩

    KD has been given so much expected….

  • EC

    Pau with Kobe “Hes the best big man in the league”…. every year before last year …… Pau without kobe*** “crickets” ***…

  • Jay-G

    A top 10 players on a team that won’t win 30 games. Does that makes sense to anybody?

  • Da Hood

    IDK, if I disagree here, the boy is tough and only gonna get betta.

  • Ace

    Durant ahead of BROY?
    Portland is such a small market he never gets seen a lot, the same can be said for Durant. However, BRoy MAKES people notice him. And not by flashy play and sky high dunks, but by flawless play, a sick jumper, and showing up when it counts.

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  • Sam

    What the hell? Everyone here talking about how KD is too “high” on the list? That’s bullcrap. Kevin Durant should be number 2!!

  • Sam

    What the hell? Everyone here talking about how KD is too “high” on the list? That’s bullcrap. Kevin Durant should be number 2!!

  • Ken

    Now that he’s first team all nba, this looks pretty smart.

  • dknox

    wow, pretty much everything predicted in this article happened. nice work

  • http://slamonline.com Ben Osborne

    Thanks for recognizing dknox!

  • http://zenguuuu max

    LOOK AT HIM NOW HAHAH!
    He’s the leader of de US team xD

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