Thursday, May 31st, 2012 at 12:20 pm  |  66 responses

How the New Orleans Hornets Won the NBA Draft Lottery


Despite the inevitable and annual round of “CONSPIRACY!” charges from the lunatic fringe (and, to be fair, NBA players themselves), the Draft Lottery is a legitimately random affair. SI.com was in the room last night when the lottery balls were drawn, and describes in great detail how the Hornets came out as big (if surprising) winners: “The balls are drawn from one of those air-powered lottery machines more than an hour before the television broadcast of the lottery, in a room open only to officials from the 14 lottery teams (one from each) and a few media members. Everyone in the room must surrender mobile devices and slip them in yellow packing envelopes, and no one is allowed to leave until ESPN’s telecast is over. [...] Each lottery team is assigned a batch of four-number sequences, of which there are 1,001 in total, all involving various combinations of the numbers ’1′ through ’14.’ The league assigns the sequences chronologically, so that the Bobcats, the team with the best odds of winning the lottery, got the first 250 sequences — all containing the number ’1.’ The Charlotte sequences started with ’1-2-3-4′ and went up to ’1-7-12-14.’ Though the Wizards, the team with the second-best odds, also had some sequences containing a ’1,’ the odds were very high that if a ’1′ came up at all among the four ping-pong balls on Wednesday night, the No. 1 pick would belong to the Bobcats. The machine whirred the balls around for the required 20 seconds and spit out the first number — a ’6.’ Ten more seconds of scrambling passed before a ’4′ emerged. Hornets general manager Dell Demps scanned a worksheet of his team’s sequences and noticed that at least a few were in play after the ’6-4′ drawing. New Orleans had the fourth-best odds of winning the top pick — a 13.7 percent long shot — meaning many of its sequences contained a ’4.’ A lower number, Demps knew, would shift the pick elsewhere. After the mandatory 10-second pause for the remaining 12 balls to bounce around inside the machine, a league official drew out the next ball — a ’9.’ Demps was in business. So was Jeffrey Cohen, vice chairman of the Cavaliers. If the final ball was marked with a ’3,’ the Cavaliers would win the lottery for the second straight season. A ’7,’ Demps knew, would give the Hornets the top spot. Ten more seconds passed, and a man with his back to the machine raised his hand, indicating that the official in charge of the machine should have it suck up the last ball. ‘I was just thinking, ‘Come on, seven! Come on, seven!’ Demps said after the drawing. The ball surfaced: a ’7,’ only the way it came out, it initially looked like a ’1.’ Demps slumped in his chair for a second. ‘I couldn’t tell,’ he said. He then looked more closely and was sure it was a ’7.’ He was getting excited. ‘But then I just told myself I had to wait for them to announce it.’ That came a few seconds later: The Hornets had won the No. 1 pick. Demps responded with a fist pump underneath the table.”

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  • haslem

    And if Stern is such a master puppeteer why did he gift wrap an immature, unskilled 7 footer with tiny hands to his golden boy, MJ with the Wizards pick? Or wait maybe it was a sly double cross and Stern was actually worried Jordan with his popularity would overtake him as commissioner so he hatched a plan to make him the laughingstock of manager related decisions for a decade running now.

  • http://Roosterteeth.com Caboose

    Haslem, not everything is rigged, I won’t argue that. I’m just saying that if a given Draft has something that is “best” for the NBA as a whole, it happens.

  • http://Somethingsomething. Ugh

    @hero – 1) No he didn’t. He indicated that certain referees may have shaved points, in a handful of specific games, for their own profit. His testimony wasn’t taken seriously.
    2) Who’s “they”? The NBA? “They” are 30 owner groups, which adds up to hundreds of people. Considering only ten teams have won a ring in the last thirty years the VAST majority of “they” WOULD want a Kings-Nets finals series over Lakers-Nets because it would show that small market teams can get there!
    @trilla – Why would the NBA conspire to move LeBron away from Cleveland? A much better idea for concentrated profit is to just contract all those teams that nobody wants to play in and have nothing but ten or fifteen Heat, Celtics and Lakers calibre rosters.

  • http://Roosterteeth.com Caboose

    Ugh, did you even read his testimony? He pointed directly (through indirect means) to Game 6 of the 2002 Western Conference Finals. Some things are twisted, but not everything. Nobody should be arguing that the whole league is just a movie playing out. It’s a natural progression with the hand of Stern turning the steering wheel on occasion to ensure the L stays on the most profitable path. Fair?

  • http://Somethingsomething. Ugh

    @Caboose: FACEPALM. “everyone must surrender mobile devices” doesn’t equal “it is not filmed”. It’s not so they can’t film it – it’s so they can’t leak the results ahead of time. Seriously.

  • http://Roosterteeth.com Caboose

    Ugh, it’s not filmed. Period. End of story. Ok? The L has said that.

  • haslem

    @Caboose: so which NBA draft narratives do you think have been manipulated by Stern and which haven’t? In 2009 why did Stern decide the Clippers would make for the best story when Griffin grew up and played college basketball in OKC? With their history of injuries, the Clipper ‘curse’ and the worst owner in sports, it seems that if anything Stern would try to ensure Blake didn’t go to the Clippers. It just seems that in hindsight you’re saying it was manipulated to make an LA franchise relevant, but were you saying this in 2009? And how come Stern waited 30 years to decide the Clippers deserved a shot?

  • haslem

    I’ve read comments saying Stern gift wrapped the ‘second coming of Shaq’ for the Magic in 2004. Why not his hometown team the Hawks, or why not Chicago trying to stay relevant after the Jordan years? What makes the Magic getting that pick evidence of a conspiracy?

  • http://Somethingsomething. Ugh

    I’ll spell it out for you. It’s a lottery. The participants aren’t ticket buying citizens from a particular state, but are the teams from the NBA. The legislation that covers cash-winning lotteries also cover non-cash lotteries – which means the event has to be witnessed by the relevant authorities *and recorded*. Considering state lotteries that hand out winnings of only tens of thousands of dollars have multiple witnesses and are filmed for transparency I think it’s safe to assume the winner of the NBA draft lottery, which has value in the millions in revenue, minimum, would have at least that amount of security and transparency, not to mention attention from anti-corruption and gaming industry officials, wouldn’t you say? The draft isn’t televised because nobody would watch it. There are no serious claims of corruption against the NBA draft from anyone other than miserable Kings fans. People who own casinos have much more to lose if the draft is rigged than people who sit in the 45th row at a Pacers game yet they aren’t challenging the validity of the results. Senators and DAs who want easy popularity aren’t taking on the corruption obvious in the NBA office, are they? (And don’t come at me that the NBA is too valuable – it’s a drop in the bucket compared to the alcohol or drug industries revenue.)
    The theories aren’t rational and they aren’t informed. What’s way more relevant to the fact your team sucks is that there are bad business people running them. It doesn’t take good acumen to own an NBA team, just cash, and you can find rich idiots in every state capitol in the US. That’s why your team sucks and somebody else’s team doesn’t. Get a helmet.

  • haslem

    Hah thank you I didn’t need spelling out I agree with you. I was just trying to tease out a defense of these ‘theories’ because anything longer than 3 sentences would demonstrate how silly they are. Appreciate your post though. As others have said, you could come up with a ‘theory’ for any lottery team getting the top pick this year.

  • everything
  • http://www.slamonline.com/online/nba/2012/05/how-the-new-orleans-hornets-won-the-nba-draft-lottery/ thePhoenix

    @ Ugh. I have two words for you. AMEN, brother.

  • http://slamonline.com Allenp

    Yall do realize that the Bobcats are picking second right? So the team with the best chance of picking first is picking second and the team with third best chance of picking first is picking first.
    That is only suspicious because of the narratives around the teams, not because of the math. Lol.

  • Saku 39

    @Ugh. The article says the drawing took three minutes, not hours. I think people would watch.

  • http://Roosterteeth.com Caboose

    Sigh, I’m not going to argue with someone who is unwilling to examine other points of view and still has his facts wrong. Haslem, if I had to pick concrete examples of manipulation, I’d say 2012 Draft, 2008 Draft, 2003 Draft, 1985 Draft, 2002 WCF, 2006 Finals. And Ugh, you can read press releases from the NBA, there aren’t cameras in the lottery room. Why is that such a difficult concept? You’re fast becoming a condescending, pretentious, rush-to-judgment, over-assuming blowhard. Which I understand if you’re trying to make a name for yourself on this site, but tone it down and look at all points of view.

  • hero

    once again caboose, you left game 7 2010 finals.

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